Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:
This ticket is very very valuable right now -- Cavs favored to win it all and even if you got the 5 to 1 tickets you now can still hedge and guarantee profit. It was easily the best value future in the NBA and the Cavs have a REALLLY good chance to win it all.
Thanks for the breaking news at game 82 Bob.
Unfortunatley your statement, "good chance to win it all" has a ton of backstory.
When this thread was created the team as constructed was not a championship team. And I stood by that and created the thread.
Lebron begged Ray Allen to come out of retirement. He denied them.
So the knicks stepped right in and gave them two of their three best players, an excellent permeter defender and a better three point shooter at this point than Allen could have been (and a far better scorer overall in general).
So the permiter was locked up.
Still need a center?
No problem. The nuggets have the answers to you woes with a competent one for heavily protected draft picks that can actually be used when the earth turns to dust.
The center is was one of the main reasons the Heat didn't beat Dallas. No matter. Nuggets solved that problem.
So to sit here and laud the value of the ticket for what is 'luck' (ie getting a TON of extras on your 30-1 bet when that bet was made just for Lebron and not to mention, you got Love too). It was a lottery ticket.
And that ticket got even better when:
1) Rose when down with an injury and he is just getting back, if he ever gets 'back' to the Rose we knew
2) Lowry has severe back spasms that will derail any chance of the Raptors making any upset bid
3) Hawks have two players arrested and now their leading scorer in Milsap isn't 100%.
The basketball gods have smiled upon the Cavs haven't they.
And still, the ticket has paid nothing since they need to beat the best in the west. And still, there is a detailed conversation in this thread about effective hedging, especially for the $100 bettor who took a shot at 30-1 before the Cavs came (and that is the overwhelming majority of ticket holders) and something they haven't hedged out of for a single dime as of today and something they will have trouble doing in the playoffs given their alleged finances (which isn't much for $100 who likely will let it ride).
So the ticket is worth nothing until it does what every other ticket needs to do....cash.
I'll get to Moe Larry and Curly above you in due time but I suggest you keep everything I said in perspective before genuflectIng at the alter of Lebron and the Cavs because the missing puzzle pieces for this run were freely provided. And those were very important pieces.