Happy Thanks Giving everyone. Here's for Friday, I think they're pretty easy on the eye. All three plays really looking like some trap line with such low lines. I personally think that they are a point and a half lower than where they should be. Anyway, i'll break them down a bit for you guys:
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 OKC plays Philly the next day so I don't think they'd save up for that game. Boston is say under performing and is only at 6-6 on 3-7-2 ATS despite what is supposedly a roster revamp that would bring them more depth and scoring punch. The line is just right since the Celtics are at home and they are pretty much hitting .500 in FG% while averaging close to 100 per game. No need to discuss how the Thunder are going about with their offense. I think key into this game is rebounding. Boston averages -7 in rebounding but makes up for it by keeping the ball from errors. OKC isn't a team that really forces TO but they are lengthy and have the body to bang with the Celtics. I see Durant and Co. following up their win against the Clippers but in the same close manner. If only the total is a couple of points lower, that would be the better play. Boston seem to almost always start slow and builds up as they go along and so you can always expect them to mount a comeback. Thunders 101-95.
Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 Like I said in the earlier writeup I had against the Nets, they have yet to see the better teams in the league. Clippers plays Atlanta the next day but will probably try and get back on track after a horrible showing against OKC. I think the scheduling affects this line coming from tough battles in San Antonio and OKC. Clippers-Nets are just about even in terms of size and Deron cancels Paul out which leads us to both team's bench. Clippers' bench is a lot better with Jamal Crawford coming off it. It should be the difference in this game as well as how well the Nets is on both ends of the court. They've been allowing teams (even on wins to hit close to .500 in FG%) but at least they defend the 3point range well. Nets probably start out strong only to let up in the 2nd half. Clippers 92-85.
San Antonio Spurs -2.5
If there's one team that can go around injuries, short rotations, and getting good results out of what they have and that's the Spurs. I think the short line is attributed to injuries. No real look ahead spot for the Spurs and the Pacers so you can expect both teams to go all out. Spurs front court seem to almost always play their younger counterpart well. Also, it's not a secret that the young Pacers team is weak against team who plays really good defense. Spurs controls this one from start to finish. Spurs 98 - 84.
Honorable Mentions: Charlotte Bobcats +3.5 - I see another close one with the Hawks possibly looking ahead to a match against KD.
Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 - Cavs are playing well and has always kept game close and should be able to keep it close and cover.
Toronto Raptors +2.0 - Lowry looks well and fading the Pistons.
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 - You know the Grizz are looking forward to this one. I think they will surprise a lot of people here again.
BOL.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Happy Thanks Giving everyone. Here's for Friday, I think they're pretty easy on the eye. All three plays really looking like some trap line with such low lines. I personally think that they are a point and a half lower than where they should be. Anyway, i'll break them down a bit for you guys:
Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 OKC plays Philly the next day so I don't think they'd save up for that game. Boston is say under performing and is only at 6-6 on 3-7-2 ATS despite what is supposedly a roster revamp that would bring them more depth and scoring punch. The line is just right since the Celtics are at home and they are pretty much hitting .500 in FG% while averaging close to 100 per game. No need to discuss how the Thunder are going about with their offense. I think key into this game is rebounding. Boston averages -7 in rebounding but makes up for it by keeping the ball from errors. OKC isn't a team that really forces TO but they are lengthy and have the body to bang with the Celtics. I see Durant and Co. following up their win against the Clippers but in the same close manner. If only the total is a couple of points lower, that would be the better play. Boston seem to almost always start slow and builds up as they go along and so you can always expect them to mount a comeback. Thunders 101-95.
Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 Like I said in the earlier writeup I had against the Nets, they have yet to see the better teams in the league. Clippers plays Atlanta the next day but will probably try and get back on track after a horrible showing against OKC. I think the scheduling affects this line coming from tough battles in San Antonio and OKC. Clippers-Nets are just about even in terms of size and Deron cancels Paul out which leads us to both team's bench. Clippers' bench is a lot better with Jamal Crawford coming off it. It should be the difference in this game as well as how well the Nets is on both ends of the court. They've been allowing teams (even on wins to hit close to .500 in FG%) but at least they defend the 3point range well. Nets probably start out strong only to let up in the 2nd half. Clippers 92-85.
San Antonio Spurs -2.5
If there's one team that can go around injuries, short rotations, and getting good results out of what they have and that's the Spurs. I think the short line is attributed to injuries. No real look ahead spot for the Spurs and the Pacers so you can expect both teams to go all out. Spurs front court seem to almost always play their younger counterpart well. Also, it's not a secret that the young Pacers team is weak against team who plays really good defense. Spurs controls this one from start to finish. Spurs 98 - 84.
Honorable Mentions: Charlotte Bobcats +3.5 - I see another close one with the Hawks possibly looking ahead to a match against KD.
Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 - Cavs are playing well and has always kept game close and should be able to keep it close and cover.
Toronto Raptors +2.0 - Lowry looks well and fading the Pistons.
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 - You know the Grizz are looking forward to this one. I think they will surprise a lot of people here again.
I decided on those top 3 games as soon as I saw the lines (before I saw your thread). so I definitely agree that those are the best bets on the night. Also, I really liked ATL. GL everyone!
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I decided on those top 3 games as soon as I saw the lines (before I saw your thread). so I definitely agree that those are the best bets on the night. Also, I really liked ATL. GL everyone!
I like your score predictions, it makes you a better handicapper, that way you know what went wrong with your analysis and make better picks in the future.
Anyways love your games, but i like Toronto more than Clippers.
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CMM,
I like your score predictions, it makes you a better handicapper, that way you know what went wrong with your analysis and make better picks in the future.
Anyways love your games, but i like Toronto more than Clippers.
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