CoachKarter's NBA Betting Thread (Statistical Approach)

Hey All,

I have been working on an NBA betting system that used statistical methodologies to pick winners. The model developed was tested for 2013, 2014, and 2015 season. For these seasons, the strategies developed yielded a win rate of 60-65% for three consistent years. So far for 2016, the record is 20-8 (71% win rate). 

The model is based upon the concept of mean reversion. NBA teams will not be playing in these extremes for consecutive games and eventually revert back to their average. This is the most I will be willing to provide on the model and will not repeat myself, mainly because I know that users will ask questions based upon my previous thread.

I will be posting my picks shortly before tip-off of each game. There will be times where there will be no picks in a day and I will broadcast that shortly before 4pm PST. I do not suggest you parlay any the picks, the whole concept of this is to maintain a 60-65% win rate over 150-200 games. This should yield a return on money wagered between 15% and 25%. Keep your bets to straight bets. If you want use my picks and supplemental them with your knowledge, go for it.

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Current 2016 NBA Record:

Overall: 20-8 (71%)

ATS Bets: 17-3 (85%)

OU Bets: 3-5 (37%)

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Background:

I am a huge basketball fan. I have played and coached the game, mind you nothing too serious, and understand the little nuances about it. When I did pick up sports betting it was all based on line-ups and match ups but it became discouraging when you hit bad slumps and wiped out a good amount of your bankroll. You would begin to question your approach and everything. Therefore, I started developing a system that took the emotion out of it and that was shown to work consistently, almost eliminating the anxiety involved in this activity.

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All I ask is please do not ask me questions for more detail on the model. 

I have three picks today. Best of Luck to all.

-Coach Karter

Smart-behind after smart-behind.....and they all revert back to the same silly comment when these types of threads appear. 

Thanks Coach K!  I'll check out SMF soon.  It should save mass amounts of tedious time!