Yesterday i wrote in my previous thread that i'm finished with Rockets for this season. Yep i know that they somehow cover against Meloless Knicks but that doesn't change my mind that this team is just horrible... no defense... simply painful to watch. Well coached Pistons team won't have any problems tonight and will bounce back comfortably against these soulless scrubs. Give me:
Detroit Pistons - 4
Two bad teams face each other. Taking points is always good idea. Kidd can't figure out this team so far in the season. It seems he can't find the right rotation. Knight trade was the corner stone for this team... Bucks are complete fade material as favorites until they somehow proof to me that they are capable of winning and of course covering... I will take:
Denver Nuggets + 4.5
I completely agree that Utah Jazz are one of the teams that can bring the Warriors first loss in the season. Their defense is one of the best in the league... the pace they try to dictate is slow... tough opponent for my team indeed. And so what ? Why we continue to fade Warriors and continue to lose money ? Any bet at any line right now against Warriors is sucker bet. I won't try to be smart and sharp with chasing the first loss of GS. I just will continue to pound this covering machine and will cash money until the golden train derailed. Simple:
Golden State Warriors - 7.5
I will be also on Bulls but wait if i can catch 4.5
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Yesterday i wrote in my previous thread that i'm finished with Rockets for this season. Yep i know that they somehow cover against Meloless Knicks but that doesn't change my mind that this team is just horrible... no defense... simply painful to watch. Well coached Pistons team won't have any problems tonight and will bounce back comfortably against these soulless scrubs. Give me:
Detroit Pistons - 4
Two bad teams face each other. Taking points is always good idea. Kidd can't figure out this team so far in the season. It seems he can't find the right rotation. Knight trade was the corner stone for this team... Bucks are complete fade material as favorites until they somehow proof to me that they are capable of winning and of course covering... I will take:
Denver Nuggets + 4.5
I completely agree that Utah Jazz are one of the teams that can bring the Warriors first loss in the season. Their defense is one of the best in the league... the pace they try to dictate is slow... tough opponent for my team indeed. And so what ? Why we continue to fade Warriors and continue to lose money ? Any bet at any line right now against Warriors is sucker bet. I won't try to be smart and sharp with chasing the first loss of GS. I just will continue to pound this covering machine and will cash money until the golden train derailed. Simple:
Golden State Warriors - 7.5
I will be also on Bulls but wait if i can catch 4.5
kolespdpSince 2013 (when Hornacek became head coach) as road favorites Phoenix Suns are 23-5 SU and 19-9-0 (67.9%) ATS with avg line of - 4.4. This is very solid trend and that's one of the reasons i love Phoenix tonight. The another one of course is that Brooklyn are just pathetic team which won last three at home. Can't see how they will go with 4 against stable team like Suns.
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kolespdpSince 2013 (when Hornacek became head coach) as road favorites Phoenix Suns are 23-5 SU and 19-9-0 (67.9%) ATS with avg line of - 4.4. This is very solid trend and that's one of the reasons i love Phoenix tonight. The another one of course is that Brooklyn are just pathetic team which won last three at home. Can't see how they will go with 4 against stable team like Suns.
Situational play against Orlando tonight. Since 2012 Magic are 0-8 SU at road after two straight up wins. This situation was active two times so far this season. Loss against Pacers by 13 points and loss against Wizards by 9 points. It seems Orlando can't handle the pressure of the good winning streak (2+ wins) when they play at road. Now Magic are even on three home games winning streak (really impressive wins over Knicks, Bucks and Celtics) with avg margin of 17.33 ppg. I will write down this as pure overachievement for Magic and expected letdown tonight when they travel to Minny for the future 0-9 trend Love the situation so just give me:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 2
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Situational play against Orlando tonight. Since 2012 Magic are 0-8 SU at road after two straight up wins. This situation was active two times so far this season. Loss against Pacers by 13 points and loss against Wizards by 9 points. It seems Orlando can't handle the pressure of the good winning streak (2+ wins) when they play at road. Now Magic are even on three home games winning streak (really impressive wins over Knicks, Bucks and Celtics) with avg margin of 17.33 ppg. I will write down this as pure overachievement for Magic and expected letdown tonight when they travel to Minny for the future 0-9 trend Love the situation so just give me:
kolespdpSince 2013 (when Hornacek became head coach) as road favorites Phoenix Suns are 23-5 SU and 19-9-0 (67.9%) ATS with avg line of - 4.4. This is very solid trend and that's one of the reasons i love Phoenix tonight. The another one of course is that Brooklyn are just pathetic team which won last three at home. Can't see how they will go with 4 against stable team like Suns.
Phoenix Suns - 3
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
kolespdpSince 2013 (when Hornacek became head coach) as road favorites Phoenix Suns are 23-5 SU and 19-9-0 (67.9%) ATS with avg line of - 4.4. This is very solid trend and that's one of the reasons i love Phoenix tonight. The another one of course is that Brooklyn are just pathetic team which won last three at home. Can't see how they will go with 4 against stable team like Suns.
Situational play against Orlando tonight. Since 2012 Magic are 0-8 SU at road after two straight up wins. This situation was active two times so far this season. Loss against Pacers by 13 points and loss against Wizards by 9 points. It seems Orlando can't handle the pressure of the good winning streak (2+ wins) when they play at road. Now Magic are even on three home games winning streak (really impressive wins over Knicks, Bucks and Celtics) with avg margin of 17.33 ppg. I will write down this as pure overachievement for Magic and expected letdown tonight when they travel to Minny for the future 0-9 trend Love the situation so just give me:
Minnesota Timberwolves - 2
I hate to be on the opposite side but
Orlando money line +120 is the play here
With u on the Phoenix -3
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
Situational play against Orlando tonight. Since 2012 Magic are 0-8 SU at road after two straight up wins. This situation was active two times so far this season. Loss against Pacers by 13 points and loss against Wizards by 9 points. It seems Orlando can't handle the pressure of the good winning streak (2+ wins) when they play at road. Now Magic are even on three home games winning streak (really impressive wins over Knicks, Bucks and Celtics) with avg margin of 17.33 ppg. I will write down this as pure overachievement for Magic and expected letdown tonight when they travel to Minny for the future 0-9 trend Love the situation so just give me:
Very cold indeed... I was confident about both plays yesterday and look what happened.
Pendo I consider taking Nuggets at double digit point dog tonight. Bulls seems to play great against best teams in the league and the game after that they struggle against worse teams... i can give you many examples last seasons for that. The bad thing here is that Nuggets are just awful. Here are some numbers maybe you will like. Since 2012 Bulls as home favorite after they win at home last game against good team with over .500 winning balance (like Spurs) are 4-8 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line of - 6.9 (2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS against teams under .500 like Denver). Both covers are against teams on zero rest. In these 12 games Bulls scored just 87.4 ppg... It seems Chicago really struggle to score and cover at home against bad teams after they won against good team in the previous game Maybe this is something like psychological letdown spot... as I said the worse thing here is that Denver are just awful right now... but maybe I will take them cause i really like my numbers.
kolespdp My other leans are to the Pacific teams. Like Warriors and Clippers to cover. Warriors line again is inflated as hell but i have strong numbers that point GSW will win by double digits tonight. Hornets overachieve at home so far in the season... without Big Al Warriors will control the paint and the boards which will give extra opportunities to the best shooting team in the league. Hornets defense is far from Jazz so i expect the backcourt to go nuts again tonight. Clippers lean is only if Chris Paul is good to go.
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Very cold indeed... I was confident about both plays yesterday and look what happened.
Pendo I consider taking Nuggets at double digit point dog tonight. Bulls seems to play great against best teams in the league and the game after that they struggle against worse teams... i can give you many examples last seasons for that. The bad thing here is that Nuggets are just awful. Here are some numbers maybe you will like. Since 2012 Bulls as home favorite after they win at home last game against good team with over .500 winning balance (like Spurs) are 4-8 SU and 2-10 ATS with avg line of - 6.9 (2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS against teams under .500 like Denver). Both covers are against teams on zero rest. In these 12 games Bulls scored just 87.4 ppg... It seems Chicago really struggle to score and cover at home against bad teams after they won against good team in the previous game Maybe this is something like psychological letdown spot... as I said the worse thing here is that Denver are just awful right now... but maybe I will take them cause i really like my numbers.
kolespdp My other leans are to the Pacific teams. Like Warriors and Clippers to cover. Warriors line again is inflated as hell but i have strong numbers that point GSW will win by double digits tonight. Hornets overachieve at home so far in the season... without Big Al Warriors will control the paint and the boards which will give extra opportunities to the best shooting team in the league. Hornets defense is far from Jazz so i expect the backcourt to go nuts again tonight. Clippers lean is only if Chris Paul is good to go.
Like the Thunder as well Funk. Not so sure about the Jazz though. They looked pathetic last time they played Magic in Orlando but I guess being at home is a different story.
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
Today first sight leans:
Thunder, Nuggets and Jazz
Like the Thunder as well Funk. Not so sure about the Jazz though. They looked pathetic last time they played Magic in Orlando but I guess being at home is a different story.
Tigers2013 Hope you will hit Curry's prob bet. I also think he is without competition for the first place right now. Paul George is the other guy who play great so far in the season. Really impressive performance by him after missing almost whole last campaign. I think KAT will put the best numbers in the rookie of the year but Porzingis is good choice too. Young players sometime are glassy with the injuries (look what happened with Jabari and Randle last season... and i'm not even mention Embied). so my suggest is to stay away from these probs and concentrate to the games and matchups. About FH totals 2 games are far from trend. I suggest you to wait at least 10-15 games if you are so impatient with these bets. If i was on your place i will start put wagers on that bets from next season when i have really good database behind the numbers.
AussieDownUnder Jazz are my weakest lean and maybe it's more "fade Magic" play. Orlando overachieve in my opinion... it's question of time they fail. I really thought that Minny will handle them last game but my 8-0 trend i posted in post #9 gone in the toilet. It seems with the new coach Orlando finally found they groove but for me they stay the inconsistent team that just can't win 5 in a row against great defensive team like Jazz. The worst thing here is that Gobert will be out till end of the year and Utah will have more trouble with guarding the dash but i still think Favors can do the center job excellent and Utah will find a way to beat that Orlando team.
Already locked:
Oklahoma City Thunder - 2
cause i saw they moved to 2.5 in some places.
BOL friends
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Tigers2013 Hope you will hit Curry's prob bet. I also think he is without competition for the first place right now. Paul George is the other guy who play great so far in the season. Really impressive performance by him after missing almost whole last campaign. I think KAT will put the best numbers in the rookie of the year but Porzingis is good choice too. Young players sometime are glassy with the injuries (look what happened with Jabari and Randle last season... and i'm not even mention Embied). so my suggest is to stay away from these probs and concentrate to the games and matchups. About FH totals 2 games are far from trend. I suggest you to wait at least 10-15 games if you are so impatient with these bets. If i was on your place i will start put wagers on that bets from next season when i have really good database behind the numbers.
AussieDownUnder Jazz are my weakest lean and maybe it's more "fade Magic" play. Orlando overachieve in my opinion... it's question of time they fail. I really thought that Minny will handle them last game but my 8-0 trend i posted in post #9 gone in the toilet. It seems with the new coach Orlando finally found they groove but for me they stay the inconsistent team that just can't win 5 in a row against great defensive team like Jazz. The worst thing here is that Gobert will be out till end of the year and Utah will have more trouble with guarding the dash but i still think Favors can do the center job excellent and Utah will find a way to beat that Orlando team.
As i said in my previous post i love Jazz to cover tonight even without Gobert. Favors will do great job against Vucevic. Gobert play better defense against more "post-up" type centers so i think Derrick is great for the job tonight to guard great shooting type center like Nikola. Orlando are on 4 game winning streak and if you think they will continue to win and cover again and again you are wrong. They cause me money two days ago when i back Minny but tonight my money are on much better team than Wolves. I think great Jazz defense will find a way to shut down the Magic offense.
Utah Jazz - 4
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As i said in my previous post i love Jazz to cover tonight even without Gobert. Favors will do great job against Vucevic. Gobert play better defense against more "post-up" type centers so i think Derrick is great for the job tonight to guard great shooting type center like Nikola. Orlando are on 4 game winning streak and if you think they will continue to win and cover again and again you are wrong. They cause me money two days ago when i back Minny but tonight my money are on much better team than Wolves. I think great Jazz defense will find a way to shut down the Magic offense.
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