Good start of the season. Hitting over 60% in 25 games stretch isn't big deal cause the sample size is still small but most of the people here who follow covers for years know that this record is not coincidence. Later will post my sweet favorite winner for Monday.
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NBA Regular Season ATS: 15-9-1 + 5.9 units
Good start of the season. Hitting over 60% in 25 games stretch isn't big deal cause the sample size is still small but most of the people here who follow covers for years know that this record is not coincidence. Later will post my sweet favorite winner for Monday.
Just looking at western conference teams and thinking the conference is the weakest it has been for a long time. After top 3/4 teams it drops away. Maybe this year eastern conference teams will match up better. Vs the west
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Good start funk. Long year though so stay alert
Just looking at western conference teams and thinking the conference is the weakest it has been for a long time. After top 3/4 teams it drops away. Maybe this year eastern conference teams will match up better. Vs the west
Just looking at western conference teams and thinking the conference is the weakest it has been for a long time. After top 3/4 teams it drops away. Maybe this year eastern conference teams will match up better. Vs the west
Stay tune. My bet will be on WC/EC matchup today.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tigers2013:
Good start funk. Long year though so stay alert
Just looking at western conference teams and thinking the conference is the weakest it has been for a long time. After top 3/4 teams it drops away. Maybe this year eastern conference teams will match up better. Vs the west
Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Chicago Bulls - 3 (-115)
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Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Chicago Bulls - 3 (-115)
Damn, I'm on the other side. I'm all goes for Portland.
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Chicago Bulls - 3 (-115)
Damn, I'm on the other side. I'm all goes for Portland.
Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Chicago Bulls - 3 (-115)
My god, this is just spectacular analysis.
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
Great rare situational spot tonight. We have great rebounding team against poor rebounding team. Since 1995 after first 8 games of the season home favorites with more than 5 rebounds difference per game (Chicago Bulls which are 2nd best rebound team in the league) against road underdogs with less than minus 3 rebounds difference per game (Portalnd Trailblazers which are 25th) are 101-9 SU (91.8%) and 66-41-3 ATS (61.7%) with avg line of – 9.8. Favorites outscored underdogs with 11.7 ppg in these 110 games. As you see the avg line of this situation is -9.8. Sportbooks offer us to lay only 3-4 points tonight so we definitely have edge with the line pregame.
Portland already lost at home against Bulls this season. 67-49 (18 dif!) Chicago advantage in rebounds. Total supremacy under the glass. I can’t see how Blazers with their soft bigs will win the rebound battle tonight against such good rebound team. Expect Bulls to pound them hard and the advantage to be again for the home side. Since 2014 Portland are 27-62-4 ATS (30.3%) when they lost rebound battle. This season they are 0-3 SU and ATS as road underdogs when they lost rebound battle. All three were big losses by 31 (against Clippers), by 17 (against Rockets) and by 12 (against Cavs). Last time we cashed on Blazers against Heat and if I have to be honest I’m not sold on what I saw. That cover was pure luck. I don’t need luck tonight.. the numbers will do the job. Rondo is out but he is not important key for this game. He actually didn't play on the previous game between these two. My sportbook offer me - 3.5 for -105 or + 3.5 for - 115 but I really hate half lines so will buy half point and will put the bet on - 3.
Do u think the under would be good too in such a situation??
Really can't say... I suck very bad at totals and that's the reason I bet only ATS,.. that's what I'm good. It could be over shootout who knows... only thing I know is that Bulls must kill Blazers under the dash which will bring us more FGA which is more percentage chance for points and of course for the cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by outoforder:
You convinced me Funk Tailing you on this.
Do u think the under would be good too in such a situation??
Really can't say... I suck very bad at totals and that's the reason I bet only ATS,.. that's what I'm good. It could be over shootout who knows... only thing I know is that Bulls must kill Blazers under the dash which will bring us more FGA which is more percentage chance for points and of course for the cover.
Really can't say... I suck very bad at totals and that's the reason I bet only ATS,.. that's what I'm good. It could be over shootout who knows... only thing I know is that Bulls must kill Blazers under the dash which will bring us more FGA which is more percentage chance for points and of course for the cover.
ok FF, thanks
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
Really can't say... I suck very bad at totals and that's the reason I bet only ATS,.. that's what I'm good. It could be over shootout who knows... only thing I know is that Bulls must kill Blazers under the dash which will bring us more FGA which is more percentage chance for points and of course for the cover.
50-38... rebounds were never in question. Turn overs and big difference in FG% cost us the win. Will take Chicago at this spot any day so no regret. Will post my Tuesday play later.
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50-38... rebounds were never in question. Turn overs and big difference in FG% cost us the win. Will take Chicago at this spot any day so no regret. Will post my Tuesday play later.
50-38... rebounds were never in question. Turn overs and big difference in FG% cost us the win. Will take Chicago at this spot any day so no regret. Will post my Tuesday play later.
I understand your angle on this Bulls team and why u took Chicago-3 but I was leaning on Portland+5 but by time I decided to pull trigger on Portland line wasn't available for me to bet on it and seeing your writeup made me have 2nd thoughts to take new line Portland+3.5, I tend to notice any team that is consider above half descent = playoff bound team & gets embarrassed in their previous game within a month apart will tend to bounce back in their next game vs same opponent their opponents if next game vs same opponent are played within a month apart. Chicago came in to Portland less than a month ago and embarrassed Portland on their own home court and I consider Portland to be above half descent team or by my definition playoff bound team will always tend to bounce back and beat their opponents that they get embarrassed by. My English writing isn't the greatest so hopefully anyone reading this will understand what I'm trying to say. I'm not disrespecting you FunkFreaker just trying work together and help each other make money. I have lots of respect for you FunkFreaker when it comes to NBA capping.
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Quote Originally Posted by FunkFreaker:
50-38... rebounds were never in question. Turn overs and big difference in FG% cost us the win. Will take Chicago at this spot any day so no regret. Will post my Tuesday play later.
I understand your angle on this Bulls team and why u took Chicago-3 but I was leaning on Portland+5 but by time I decided to pull trigger on Portland line wasn't available for me to bet on it and seeing your writeup made me have 2nd thoughts to take new line Portland+3.5, I tend to notice any team that is consider above half descent = playoff bound team & gets embarrassed in their previous game within a month apart will tend to bounce back in their next game vs same opponent their opponents if next game vs same opponent are played within a month apart. Chicago came in to Portland less than a month ago and embarrassed Portland on their own home court and I consider Portland to be above half descent team or by my definition playoff bound team will always tend to bounce back and beat their opponents that they get embarrassed by. My English writing isn't the greatest so hopefully anyone reading this will understand what I'm trying to say. I'm not disrespecting you FunkFreaker just trying work together and help each other make money. I have lots of respect for you FunkFreaker when it comes to NBA capping.
I understand your angle on this Bulls team and why u took Chicago-3 but I was leaning on Portland+5 but by time I decided to pull trigger on Portland line wasn't available for me to bet on it and seeing your writeup made me have 2nd thoughts to take new line Portland+3.5, I tend to notice any team that is consider above half descent = playoff bound team & gets embarrassed in their previous game within a month apart will tend to bounce back in their next game vs same opponent their opponents if next game vs same opponent are played within a month apart. Chicago came in to Portland less than a month ago and embarrassed Portland on their own home court and I consider Portland to be above half descent team or by my definition playoff bound team will always tend to bounce back and beat their opponents that they get embarrassed by. My English writing isn't the greatest so hopefully anyone reading this will understand what I'm trying to say. I'm not disrespecting you FunkFreaker just trying work together and help each other make money. I have lots of respect for you FunkFreaker when it comes to NBA capping.
Your angle is also great but I really prefer numbers. I can't check how teams went in your situation cause it will take long work without knowing if the results will be impressive. I think Bulls win 7 out of 10 times against Portland at the current rosters. Of course both teams need to be healthy. Just love the matchup... last night it didn't work but in long term I believe in my rebound trends cause they bring me money last seasons.
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Quote Originally Posted by Chauster:
I understand your angle on this Bulls team and why u took Chicago-3 but I was leaning on Portland+5 but by time I decided to pull trigger on Portland line wasn't available for me to bet on it and seeing your writeup made me have 2nd thoughts to take new line Portland+3.5, I tend to notice any team that is consider above half descent = playoff bound team & gets embarrassed in their previous game within a month apart will tend to bounce back in their next game vs same opponent their opponents if next game vs same opponent are played within a month apart. Chicago came in to Portland less than a month ago and embarrassed Portland on their own home court and I consider Portland to be above half descent team or by my definition playoff bound team will always tend to bounce back and beat their opponents that they get embarrassed by. My English writing isn't the greatest so hopefully anyone reading this will understand what I'm trying to say. I'm not disrespecting you FunkFreaker just trying work together and help each other make money. I have lots of respect for you FunkFreaker when it comes to NBA capping.
Your angle is also great but I really prefer numbers. I can't check how teams went in your situation cause it will take long work without knowing if the results will be impressive. I think Bulls win 7 out of 10 times against Portland at the current rosters. Of course both teams need to be healthy. Just love the matchup... last night it didn't work but in long term I believe in my rebound trends cause they bring me money last seasons.
Agree it was a solid play backed by a very good angle. But as with any sport, anything can happen which is why we love sport.
Of course Next time Bulls will cover cause they are on pace to be very impressive rebound team this season and I believe they will be money as home favorites against bad rebounding teams this season.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tigers2013:
Agree it was a solid play backed by a very good angle. But as with any sport, anything can happen which is why we love sport.
Of course Next time Bulls will cover cause they are on pace to be very impressive rebound team this season and I believe they will be money as home favorites against bad rebounding teams this season.
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Later will post my sweet favorite winner for Monday. 
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