Yeah... i think it will be bad day for betting. Over on Mavs now is 206.5 so now we have line which is more near to the real line....
I have just one leaning today:
Wizards + 1.5
I don't know if i will play it. I'll post right before the game because there are many injuries and really want to see starting rosters. Maybe if Webster is ok... i'll pull the trigger but i don't know. Mavs - 4.5 looks good but really can't thrust a team like Mavericks to win road against the spread. This team sometimes is awful... yo-yo effect on their spreads... they leads 20 points and after 3 minutes the spread would be 2... I catch them on Portland's game but that was different... now they are favs... which scares me. So for no now NO PLAY for me today... maybe Wizards but right before the game
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Yeah... i think it will be bad day for betting. Over on Mavs now is 206.5 so now we have line which is more near to the real line....
I have just one leaning today:
Wizards + 1.5
I don't know if i will play it. I'll post right before the game because there are many injuries and really want to see starting rosters. Maybe if Webster is ok... i'll pull the trigger but i don't know. Mavs - 4.5 looks good but really can't thrust a team like Mavericks to win road against the spread. This team sometimes is awful... yo-yo effect on their spreads... they leads 20 points and after 3 minutes the spread would be 2... I catch them on Portland's game but that was different... now they are favs... which scares me. So for no now NO PLAY for me today... maybe Wizards but right before the game
Man i want you to observe more closely utah... They re a play for me :) After i like clips/gsw/Dallas unders... And Orlando over seeing the lack of defenders in griz team. .
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Man i want you to observe more closely utah... They re a play for me :) After i like clips/gsw/Dallas unders... And Orlando over seeing the lack of defenders in griz team. .
MoreGeezer Utah are one of the mysterious teams in the league to me. I avoid to cap their games because they are different team since last season... Lack of defenders is not bad spot to take over on Memphis game but don't forget the winning trend from last and this season: when b2b is at road against MEM the best value is to take the under. I stick to this trend but tonight there will be no play here for me because Gasol and Pondexter are out. Allen who is great defender is questionable... that really could ruin the trend tonight but i don't want to risk it. Totals are coin flip here. Don't have any opinion on the other games... GL mate
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MoreGeezer Utah are one of the mysterious teams in the league to me. I avoid to cap their games because they are different team since last season... Lack of defenders is not bad spot to take over on Memphis game but don't forget the winning trend from last and this season: when b2b is at road against MEM the best value is to take the under. I stick to this trend but tonight there will be no play here for me because Gasol and Pondexter are out. Allen who is great defender is questionable... that really could ruin the trend tonight but i don't want to risk it. Totals are coin flip here. Don't have any opinion on the other games... GL mate
Martell Webster (ankle) and Nene (foot) won't play against the Nuggets on Monday.
Monday: No play. This is the best value bet for today. Thrust me fellas
For these who like player probs (i never play such bets but have good feeling about this one) i think John Wall - Over 22.5 points has good value. Lawson is out for Nuggs so this could be advantage for John. Don't think Miller and Robinson could stop him. Wall and Ariza will make most of the shots tonight because three of the top scorers are out: Beal, Webster and Nene. Wall is the only weapon tonight for the Wiz.
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Martell Webster (ankle) and Nene (foot) won't play against the Nuggets on Monday.
Monday: No play. This is the best value bet for today. Thrust me fellas
For these who like player probs (i never play such bets but have good feeling about this one) i think John Wall - Over 22.5 points has good value. Lawson is out for Nuggs so this could be advantage for John. Don't think Miller and Robinson could stop him. Wall and Ariza will make most of the shots tonight because three of the top scorers are out: Beal, Webster and Nene. Wall is the only weapon tonight for the Wiz.
Utah at home last season was money…this season they have been mush. Is Dallas really good enough to blow out SAC at home when home is the only place SAC plays ball?
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Utah at home last season was money…this season they have been mush. Is Dallas really good enough to blow out SAC at home when home is the only place SAC plays ball?
My numbers told me that Dallas - 4 is the play tonight BUT there is something fishy in this game. I just don't want to put money on Dallas team at this spot. It could be my mistake but i'll take it. My feeling is that tonight won't be my night so i'll stay away. I was on good profit last week... every day i was ahead (more of the times 2-1). I don't want to sink again with this poor schedule. In november i played big cards every day and you see that the results are not so good. I know my good profit months are january and february but i expect better record than .500. This big cards and every day action was my mistake and now is the best spot to fix it. I change that in december and my results improve... from 6-8 games below .500 now i am one game far from my green color in overall section. GL with Mavs tonight
My numbers told me that Dallas - 4 is the play tonight BUT there is something fishy in this game. I just don't want to put money on Dallas team at this spot. It could be my mistake but i'll take it. My feeling is that tonight won't be my night so i'll stay away. I was on good profit last week... every day i was ahead (more of the times 2-1). I don't want to sink again with this poor schedule. In november i played big cards every day and you see that the results are not so good. I know my good profit months are january and february but i expect better record than .500. This big cards and every day action was my mistake and now is the best spot to fix it. I change that in december and my results improve... from 6-8 games below .500 now i am one game far from my green color in overall section. GL with Mavs tonight
Never even consider apologizing for disciplined capping…it is the essence of staying in the game. I have played for more than 3 years on the same bankroll which has increased 4 - 5 fold even after yesterdays disgusting NFL…NE Under 48…SF -2.5 …barf
Your discipline is what makes you a winner.
bol
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Never even consider apologizing for disciplined capping…it is the essence of staying in the game. I have played for more than 3 years on the same bankroll which has increased 4 - 5 fold even after yesterdays disgusting NFL…NE Under 48…SF -2.5 …barf
Never even consider apologizing for disciplined capping…it is the essence of staying in the game. I have played for more than 3 years on the same bankroll which has increased 4 - 5 fold even after yesterdays disgusting NFL…NE Under 48…SF -2.5 …barf
Your discipline is what makes you a winner.
bol
You should start posting!
Agree that no need to force a play. We have plenty of time.
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Quote Originally Posted by Vituperate:
Never even consider apologizing for disciplined capping…it is the essence of staying in the game. I have played for more than 3 years on the same bankroll which has increased 4 - 5 fold even after yesterdays disgusting NFL…NE Under 48…SF -2.5 …barf
Your discipline is what makes you a winner.
bol
You should start posting!
Agree that no need to force a play. We have plenty of time.
My numbers told me that Dallas - 4 is the play tonight BUT there is something fishy in this game. I just don't want to put money on Dallas team at this spot. It could be my mistake but i'll take it. My feeling is that tonight won't be my night so i'll stay away. I was on good profit last week... every day i was ahead (more of the times 2-1). I don't want to sink again with this poor schedule. In november i played big cards every day and you see that the results are not so good. I know my good profit months are january and february but i expect better record than .500. This big cards and every day action was my mistake and now is the best spot to fix it. I change that in december and my results improve... from 6-8 games below .500 now i am one game far from my green color in overall section. GL with Mavs tonight
My numbers told me that Dallas - 4 is the play tonight BUT there is something fishy in this game. I just don't want to put money on Dallas team at this spot. It could be my mistake but i'll take it. My feeling is that tonight won't be my night so i'll stay away. I was on good profit last week... every day i was ahead (more of the times 2-1). I don't want to sink again with this poor schedule. In november i played big cards every day and you see that the results are not so good. I know my good profit months are january and february but i expect better record than .500. This big cards and every day action was my mistake and now is the best spot to fix it. I change that in december and my results improve... from 6-8 games below .500 now i am one game far from my green color in overall section. GL with Mavs tonight
Thanks fellas.... As you see most of the game were close to the spreads last night. There were three hard public favs on the road and the results were 1-2 (GS and Dallas lost...). I were having good feeling about this crappy monday games... My lean only posted lean Was + 1.5 was winning side but how... with two missed FTs from Faried 5 seconds before end ? Denver backers which catch Nuggs on - 1.5 are really mad...
I have three leanings so far:
Pacers - 3 (sure play... Indiana dominates Heat last season at home. Miami struggles against big teams last years especially at road and the Pacers are the biggest of all. I'll take the home fav better and deeper team in this situation.) Timberwolves + 1.5 (almost sure play... Wolves had the most bad schedules last weeks if you look. They game with SA even was cancelled... and still their schedule was awful. Now they are well rested... Kevin Love will be back in the roster and it's normal for them to get back on the track. Detroit are perfect opponent for that.) Lakers - 3 (fishy game, fishy line but like that LA dominates Suns at home during the years.... and three straight losses at Staples Center ? That will be too much.. even for weak team with good chemistry like Lakers. Maybe i'll be one of the fishes in west coast tonight )
SAS - 7 is not so bad but i have feeling that this game would be too close to the line 6-8 points win for SAS... so no play here for now. I don't want to mess for now with NYK games... they are bad coin flips with 4 sides and just one winning side... if you know what i mean. Cavs - 2 looks like only play here but i'll never pull the trigger at this spot on NYK game. Attention to Hawks/Thunder game. Thunder could have problems with strong Atlanta team (i like them more this season with Millsap instead Josh Smith). No play here. Nets/Celtics game... haha... same situation like NYK games. You really don't want to mess with this game... thrust me No lines on Chicago yet.
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Thanks fellas.... As you see most of the game were close to the spreads last night. There were three hard public favs on the road and the results were 1-2 (GS and Dallas lost...). I were having good feeling about this crappy monday games... My lean only posted lean Was + 1.5 was winning side but how... with two missed FTs from Faried 5 seconds before end ? Denver backers which catch Nuggs on - 1.5 are really mad...
I have three leanings so far:
Pacers - 3 (sure play... Indiana dominates Heat last season at home. Miami struggles against big teams last years especially at road and the Pacers are the biggest of all. I'll take the home fav better and deeper team in this situation.) Timberwolves + 1.5 (almost sure play... Wolves had the most bad schedules last weeks if you look. They game with SA even was cancelled... and still their schedule was awful. Now they are well rested... Kevin Love will be back in the roster and it's normal for them to get back on the track. Detroit are perfect opponent for that.) Lakers - 3 (fishy game, fishy line but like that LA dominates Suns at home during the years.... and three straight losses at Staples Center ? That will be too much.. even for weak team with good chemistry like Lakers. Maybe i'll be one of the fishes in west coast tonight )
SAS - 7 is not so bad but i have feeling that this game would be too close to the line 6-8 points win for SAS... so no play here for now. I don't want to mess for now with NYK games... they are bad coin flips with 4 sides and just one winning side... if you know what i mean. Cavs - 2 looks like only play here but i'll never pull the trigger at this spot on NYK game. Attention to Hawks/Thunder game. Thunder could have problems with strong Atlanta team (i like them more this season with Millsap instead Josh Smith). No play here. Nets/Celtics game... haha... same situation like NYK games. You really don't want to mess with this game... thrust me No lines on Chicago yet.
Leanings so far (from strong to weak) with writeups in previous posts:
Pacers - 3 Wolves + 1 Lakers - 3
Add:
Bucks + 8 (too many points IMO here.... probably Deng again will be out...) Possible Under 182.5 here...I can't see who is gonna put the points in this game... Bucks struggle of injuries too....
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Leanings so far (from strong to weak) with writeups in previous posts:
Pacers - 3 Wolves + 1 Lakers - 3
Add:
Bucks + 8 (too many points IMO here.... probably Deng again will be out...) Possible Under 182.5 here...I can't see who is gonna put the points in this game... Bucks struggle of injuries too....
No more plays. Just these two. In fact i love them
I remove my original lean Lakers. They are the fishiest line tonight but i can't pull the trigger on Suns. The game is awful for predict. I'll avoid my other leaning Bucks + 7.5... this game would be real crap... to much injuries both sides... like Nuggs/Wash game last night... Still like the Bucks but they still don't prove to me that deserve my money this season So let's go Pacers and Wolves
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No more plays. Just these two. In fact i love them
I remove my original lean Lakers. They are the fishiest line tonight but i can't pull the trigger on Suns. The game is awful for predict. I'll avoid my other leaning Bucks + 7.5... this game would be real crap... to much injuries both sides... like Nuggs/Wash game last night... Still like the Bucks but they still don't prove to me that deserve my money this season So let's go Pacers and Wolves
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