Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NBA Record:
84 - 61 @ 58% for +16.9 Units
Tue, 02/22
#1: Indiana Pacers -1.5
Prior to the break Pacers have been on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Sure they had 2 straight losses in a row, but the first one was a tough home defeat to the Heat when Pacers were on ‘revenge’. Indiana played well in that game, but just couldn’t pull away in the 4th quarter against a superior opponent. A “let-down” was expected next day @ Detroit, where the Pacers lost in overtime. I’m not concerned about this 2 game losing streak. On the other hand, we have a Wizards squad that has gone 2-10 in their last 12 games. They were finally able to snap their ‘road-losing’ streak by defeating the Cavs, after which they promptly got blown out @ Orlando. The Pacers are currently in the 8th playoff spot in the East, and every game is crucial. I expect them to play well tonight. As bad as the Wizards have been this year, they are actually pretty decent at home, 14-13. Even so, Pacers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Pacers are 13-9 ATS as a favorite this year while Washington is only 16-28 ATS as a dog. In addition, the Wizards have struggled against high scoring teams going 12-18 ATS on the season, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8.
These teams have played each other once already with each winning on their home court. In the game Washington won, Hibbert only played 15 minutes due to foul trouble. Wizards took advantage and had 8 more offensive rebounds and 13 more shots. Also, the 17 to 8 turnover discrepancy in Washington’s favor, didn’t help the Pacers as they lost that game. In the rematch, Hibbert played 31 minutes, had 17 points and 5 offensive rebounds, helping the Pacers control the boards, and preventing many 2nd chance opportunities for Washington. Since Vogel took over as coach, Hibbert has been averaging 18 ppg to go with 8 rpg. I expect him to play well tonight as well, which will be key to Indiana’s success in this one.
Bottom line, we have a Pacers team that is playing some of its best ball of the season facing a Wizards squad that has some injury concerns and is not in great ‘form’ right now. Young players like Wall and McGee were participants during the All-Star game, while none of the Pacers’ players made the trip to LA. Instead, I expect this team took some time off, but also got a few much needed practices in, to work on their defense. It shouldn’t be too difficult to contain the Wizards who have scored 100+ points in only 3 of their last 10 games. Pacers, on the other hand, have reached triple-digits in 10 straight. Indiana is 4-1 ATS following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS on the road against teams with winning home records. Wizards are 2-5 ATS as a home ‘dog’ in a 0 – 4 point range, 2-7 ATS versus a team with a losing record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. I like the Pacers to take this one tonight.
84 - 61 @ 58% for +16.9 Units
Tue, 02/22
#1: Indiana Pacers -1.5
Prior to the break Pacers have been on fire, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Sure they had 2 straight losses in a row, but the first one was a tough home defeat to the Heat when Pacers were on ‘revenge’. Indiana played well in that game, but just couldn’t pull away in the 4th quarter against a superior opponent. A “let-down” was expected next day @ Detroit, where the Pacers lost in overtime. I’m not concerned about this 2 game losing streak. On the other hand, we have a Wizards squad that has gone 2-10 in their last 12 games. They were finally able to snap their ‘road-losing’ streak by defeating the Cavs, after which they promptly got blown out @ Orlando. The Pacers are currently in the 8th playoff spot in the East, and every game is crucial. I expect them to play well tonight. As bad as the Wizards have been this year, they are actually pretty decent at home, 14-13. Even so, Pacers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Pacers are 13-9 ATS as a favorite this year while Washington is only 16-28 ATS as a dog. In addition, the Wizards have struggled against high scoring teams going 12-18 ATS on the season, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8.
These teams have played each other once already with each winning on their home court. In the game Washington won, Hibbert only played 15 minutes due to foul trouble. Wizards took advantage and had 8 more offensive rebounds and 13 more shots. Also, the 17 to 8 turnover discrepancy in Washington’s favor, didn’t help the Pacers as they lost that game. In the rematch, Hibbert played 31 minutes, had 17 points and 5 offensive rebounds, helping the Pacers control the boards, and preventing many 2nd chance opportunities for Washington. Since Vogel took over as coach, Hibbert has been averaging 18 ppg to go with 8 rpg. I expect him to play well tonight as well, which will be key to Indiana’s success in this one.
Bottom line, we have a Pacers team that is playing some of its best ball of the season facing a Wizards squad that has some injury concerns and is not in great ‘form’ right now. Young players like Wall and McGee were participants during the All-Star game, while none of the Pacers’ players made the trip to LA. Instead, I expect this team took some time off, but also got a few much needed practices in, to work on their defense. It shouldn’t be too difficult to contain the Wizards who have scored 100+ points in only 3 of their last 10 games. Pacers, on the other hand, have reached triple-digits in 10 straight. Indiana is 4-1 ATS following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS on the road against teams with winning home records. Wizards are 2-5 ATS as a home ‘dog’ in a 0 – 4 point range, 2-7 ATS versus a team with a losing record, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. I like the Pacers to take this one tonight.
0
) I can see den coming out w emotion but I feel they will fizzle out and Memphis will grab the win..
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