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Posts: 123

choll240

Rookie

Joined: Feb, 2010

Posts: 766

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:15 PM ET #101

Hooray for the NBA! Nice work Bodio

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jspac

Prospect

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 231

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:15 PM ET #102

HAT TRICK, BO WAY T0 GO WAS ON 2 WITH YOU

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1gonwild

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 84

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:28 PM ET #103

nice denver win u were correct

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alohac75

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 400

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:29 PM ET #104

Congrats Bodio on your wins! Awesome day for you!

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AlwaysLearning

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 117

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:31 PM ET #105

Hooray for Bodio!! 3-0 to start the 2nd half of NBA season.

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Reach

Veteran

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 1447

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:31 PM ET #106

Thanks Bodio for a nice 3 for 3 day in the NBA.

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BradshawSomeTDs

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 358

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:32 PM ET #107

Awesome job Bodio

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Dam_IT_Man

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2011

Posts: 300

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:33 PM ET #108

It's Official 3-0 NUGGETS

Great job bedio

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:34 PM ET #109

Thanks fellas. Great night.

Good to have NBA back.

Time to cap tomorrow's games....

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chasman

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 620

Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 11:34 PM ET #110

Bodio

Great night, man

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bodio

Banned

Joined: Apr, 2009

Posts: 7370

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:03 AM ET #111

Quote Originally Posted by chasman:

Bodio

Great night, man

Thanks Chas. I'm glad you didn't play that Wizards lean.

They came out very flat today...

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nepatriots_12

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 2304

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:37 AM ET #112

Awesome job buddy

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PizzaBoyRick

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2007

Posts: 1434

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:43 AM ET #113

Great Day!!! Thanks!!!

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bigDe1002003

Prospect

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 478

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:50 AM ET #114

Great stuff Bodio. We both went undefeated tonight!

I also hit my parlays. Good night. Time to look into tomorrow. Thanks for the Denver play

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JavierVasquez

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 3556

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:53 AM ET #115

I LOVE THIS GAME!

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JavierVasquez

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 3556

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:53 AM ET #116

NBA IS MUCH EASIER THEN COLLEGE..YOU CANT HAVE ALL FAVS WINNIN IN COLLEGE IN 1 DAY..

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JavierVasquez

Banned

Joined: Sep, 2010

Posts: 3556

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 12:56 AM ET #117

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

#2: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

At first glance, the line in this game looked a bit low to me. I checked the line in the previous meeting between these 2 squads (November 3rd – early in the season), and Okie City were -8.5 road favorites in that one (Clippers won the game). Normally, with ‘standard adjustments’ you’d expect them to be -14.5 point favorites at home but not so. Okie City is again -8.5 point favorites, but this time at home. Hmmm… Let’s analyze this a bit. Obviously, Okie City was over-valued by the bookmakers early in the season while Clippers were under-valued. I definitely agree there. But now we have a ‘revenge’ scenario for Thunder, while Clipps are playing without their leading scorer, Eric Gordon. Still, the line is only at -8.5. Were the bookies 6 points off early in the season? I definitely feel that there’s some ‘line-value’ here, albeit not the full 6 points from the hypothetical ‘standard adjustments’ scenario.

Speaking of ‘revenge’, Thunder are 15-7 ATS this season revenging a loss. This team takes those losses ‘to heart’, makes the necessary adjustments, and plays with an added edge. Obviously the first game was very early in the season but I don’t expect Durant to forget. Why? Well, because he had one of his worst performances of the year in that one. KD went 6-24 form the field. 0-10 from the 3PT line, with 16 points and 6 turnovers. Westbrook wasn’t much better going 5-16 with 16 points. When your 2 superstars combine to shoot 27% from the field, you’re not going to win many games. Fortunately, it doesn’t happen very often, and I’m willing to bet their performances will be much better tonight. I’ve mentioned earlier that Eric Gordon is not playing tonight. Well, in that first meeting he went 10 for 17 for 27 points, 5 rebs and 4 assists. His production will be hard to replicate. In addition, Baron Davis missed that first game. I actually think it’s an advantage for the Thunder to have Davis play, as I just don’t see him being able to hang with the quicker and younger Westbrook. I expect Westbrook to drive to the basket all game long, kicking out to Green and Durant for open looks.

I know I’ve mentioned Durant’s and Westbrook’s performance in the first meeting, but as a team Okie City went 37% from the field and 15% from 3PT line. Clips shot 53% in that one with 50% from ‘downtown’. I expect a ‘regression to the mean’ to occur for both teams tonight. One positive from that first meeting was the 16 to 7 discrepancy in offensive rebounds in Thunder’s favor. As poorly as they played, the fact that they were able to get 16 offensive boards is a very good sign for today’s game. I know Kaman is playing, but he played in that first meeting as well, and was a complete non-factor: 2 for 9 for 4 points and 6 rebounds (1 offensive) in 24 minutes. He won’t be a difference-maker tonight, as he’s just gradually getting acclimated to the team again.

Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, 1-4 ATS following a win, and 0-4 ATS playing a team with a .600+ winning percentage. Thunder is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games playing a team with a losing record, indicating that they’ve been ‘taking care of business’ against inferior opponents.

I expect Durant and Co. to play really well. Even though Durant struggled in the first meeting with the Clippers I expect him to be much better tonight. He did warm up for this one with 34 points on Sunday, didn’t he?

#3: Denver Nuggets -1

Now that Carmelo has ‘taken his talents’ to New York, there are 2 ways to look at this Grizz/Nuggz matchup: 1) Denver is short-handed and in ‘shock’ so Grizz will get an easy win or 2) Denver is still a talented club and playing at home, as the remaining players will want to showcase their talents in front of the home fans. I actually think this one will play out based on scenario #2.

First of all, Carmelo leaving is a major blow for this team, but it’s not like it was unexpected. The city, the fans, and the players were prepared for this. There’s a reason why the fans would ‘boo’ Carmelo at home. He turned his back on them. Well, today I expect the fans to come out strong, and really show some support for the remaining players. There is nice talent on this squad and guys like Nene, Afflalo, Martin, JR Smith, and Ty Lawson will step up their games. With fans’ support, these guys will be very motivated tonight.

Second of all, the ‘depleted’ bench shouldn’t be too big of a problem. These guys had 5 days off and should be rested tonight. In addition, this is a young team so I don’t expect the players (not Martin, but ‘Bird-Man’ should provide solid backup for him) to get too tired playing a few extra minutes tonight.

Third of all, Ty Lawson should be a fine replacement for Billups. In Lawson’s 6 starts this year, he shot 52% from the field, 50% from 3PT line, 93% from the FT line, scoring 16 ppg with 6 apg and 3.7 rpg, averaging 35 minutes-per-game. He should be able to effectively run this offense tonight, as Afflalo, Nene, and Smith pick up the scoring in this one.

Finally, just want to point out that even though Denver lost their superstar, so did the Grizzlies. Rudy Gay won’t be playing in this one, as he’s out for a few weeks with a shoulder injury.

Bottom line is we have a Denver team that is 22-7 (76%) at home this season playing a Grizz squad that is only 12-18 (40%) on the road. At the same time Memphis has only won here 1 time, going 1-24 in the last 25 meetings, losing 7 straight in Denver. Even without ‘Melo, Denver has plenty of talent to win this game. These teams last met here on December 5th, with Denver being a -6.5 point favorite. So, now we have both ‘Melo and Gay out for this one, and the line is at Denver -1? Is Carmelo worth 5 points? Possibly. But how much is Rudy Gay worth? There’s definite ‘line-value’ on the Nuggz tonight and I expect Carmelo’s former teammates to make a ‘statement’.

_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFL: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFLP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 145-112 @ 56% for +$23,730

"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."

"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."

I AGREETHATS WHY WE ARE FUCKEN GAMBLERS 4 LIFE!!!!

0

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

#2: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

At first glance, the line in this game looked a bit low to me. I checked the line in the previous meeting between these 2 squads (November 3rd – early in the season), and Okie City were -8.5 road favorites in that one (Clippers won the game). Normally, with ‘standard adjustments’ you’d expect them to be -14.5 point favorites at home but not so. Okie City is again -8.5 point favorites, but this time at home. Hmmm… Let’s analyze this a bit. Obviously, Okie City was over-valued by the bookmakers early in the season while Clippers were under-valued. I definitely agree there. But now we have a ‘revenge’ scenario for Thunder, while Clipps are playing without their leading scorer, Eric Gordon. Still, the line is only at -8.5. Were the bookies 6 points off early in the season? I definitely feel that there’s some ‘line-value’ here, albeit not the full 6 points from the hypothetical ‘standard adjustments’ scenario.

Speaking of ‘revenge’, Thunder are 15-7 ATS this season revenging a loss. This team takes those losses ‘to heart’, makes the necessary adjustments, and plays with an added edge. Obviously the first game was very early in the season but I don’t expect Durant to forget. Why? Well, because he had one of his worst performances of the year in that one. KD went 6-24 form the field. 0-10 from the 3PT line, with 16 points and 6 turnovers. Westbrook wasn’t much better going 5-16 with 16 points. When your 2 superstars combine to shoot 27% from the field, you’re not going to win many games. Fortunately, it doesn’t happen very often, and I’m willing to bet their performances will be much better tonight. I’ve mentioned earlier that Eric Gordon is not playing tonight. Well, in that first meeting he went 10 for 17 for 27 points, 5 rebs and 4 assists. His production will be hard to replicate. In addition, Baron Davis missed that first game. I actually think it’s an advantage for the Thunder to have Davis play, as I just don’t see him being able to hang with the quicker and younger Westbrook. I expect Westbrook to drive to the basket all game long, kicking out to Green and Durant for open looks.

I know I’ve mentioned Durant’s and Westbrook’s performance in the first meeting, but as a team Okie City went 37% from the field and 15% from 3PT line. Clips shot 53% in that one with 50% from ‘downtown’. I expect a ‘regression to the mean’ to occur for both teams tonight. One positive from that first meeting was the 16 to 7 discrepancy in offensive rebounds in Thunder’s favor. As poorly as they played, the fact that they were able to get 16 offensive boards is a very good sign for today’s game. I know Kaman is playing, but he played in that first meeting as well, and was a complete non-factor: 2 for 9 for 4 points and 6 rebounds (1 offensive) in 24 minutes. He won’t be a difference-maker tonight, as he’s just gradually getting acclimated to the team again.

Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog, 1-4 ATS following a win, and 0-4 ATS playing a team with a .600+ winning percentage. Thunder is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games playing a team with a losing record, indicating that they’ve been ‘taking care of business’ against inferior opponents.

I expect Durant and Co. to play really well. Even though Durant struggled in the first meeting with the Clippers I expect him to be much better tonight. He did warm up for this one with 34 points on Sunday, didn’t he?

#3: Denver Nuggets -1

Now that Carmelo has ‘taken his talents’ to New York, there are 2 ways to look at this Grizz/Nuggz matchup: 1) Denver is short-handed and in ‘shock’ so Grizz will get an easy win or 2) Denver is still a talented club and playing at home, as the remaining players will want to showcase their talents in front of the home fans. I actually think this one will play out based on scenario #2.

First of all, Carmelo leaving is a major blow for this team, but it’s not like it was unexpected. The city, the fans, and the players were prepared for this. There’s a reason why the fans would ‘boo’ Carmelo at home. He turned his back on them. Well, today I expect the fans to come out strong, and really show some support for the remaining players. There is nice talent on this squad and guys like Nene, Afflalo, Martin, JR Smith, and Ty Lawson will step up their games. With fans’ support, these guys will be very motivated tonight.

Second of all, the ‘depleted’ bench shouldn’t be too big of a problem. These guys had 5 days off and should be rested tonight. In addition, this is a young team so I don’t expect the players (not Martin, but ‘Bird-Man’ should provide solid backup for him) to get too tired playing a few extra minutes tonight.

Third of all, Ty Lawson should be a fine replacement for Billups. In Lawson’s 6 starts this year, he shot 52% from the field, 50% from 3PT line, 93% from the FT line, scoring 16 ppg with 6 apg and 3.7 rpg, averaging 35 minutes-per-game. He should be able to effectively run this offense tonight, as Afflalo, Nene, and Smith pick up the scoring in this one.

Finally, just want to point out that even though Denver lost their superstar, so did the Grizzlies. Rudy Gay won’t be playing in this one, as he’s out for a few weeks with a shoulder injury.

Bottom line is we have a Denver team that is 22-7 (76%) at home this season playing a Grizz squad that is only 12-18 (40%) on the road. At the same time Memphis has only won here 1 time, going 1-24 in the last 25 meetings, losing 7 straight in Denver. Even without ‘Melo, Denver has plenty of talent to win this game. These teams last met here on December 5th, with Denver being a -6.5 point favorite. So, now we have both ‘Melo and Gay out for this one, and the line is at Denver -1? Is Carmelo worth 5 points? Possibly. But how much is Rudy Gay worth? There’s definite ‘line-value’ on the Nuggz tonight and I expect Carmelo’s former teammates to make a ‘statement’.

_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFL: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFLP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 145-112 @ 56% for +$23,730

"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."

"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."

I AGREETHATS WHY WE ARE FUCKEN GAMBLERS 4 LIFE!!!!

Jhon96

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 716

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 2:38 AM ET #118

great job bodio!

wat time will u post your play for tom??

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Jhon96

Rookie

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 716

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 2:39 AM ET #119

HOPE SOON.

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DILIGENT

Veteran

Joined: Apr, 2007

Posts: 2032

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 3:22 AM ET #120

ur money bodio buddy

“Nothing has meaning except for the meaning you give it.”

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JohnnyY83

Rookie

Joined: Mar, 2010

Posts: 694

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 5:01 AM ET #121

Again great job Bodio. An "EASY" 3-0 in the NBA is as rare as a virgin in a person house yet you pulled it off day one after the break.

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jcjcjc24

Rookie

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 625

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 9:19 AM ET #122

Awesome, once again

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chasman

Rookie

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 620

Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 11:24 AM ET #123

Originally Posted by bodio Thanks Chas. I'm glad you didn't play that Wizards lean.

They came out very flat today...

Your write up was directly responsible for that, along with reversing my lean towards the Clips.

0

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