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If you bet against the cavs in game 6 you deserve to lose your entire bankroll

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

 
Good post as evidenced by the lack of any sort of riposte!



But you gotta have faith and patience when it comes to the "script" theorists... they have an "answer" for everything!
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

Public money is riding Warriors large you moron -- say bye to your money
By that logic, shouldn't the NBA make sure every NBA Finals series goes 7 games?  Michael Jordan was in the Finals 6 times, but the NBA never made it go 7  games... In fact, in the last 21 NBA Finals, there have only been 3 series that made it to game 7, which is the same number of sweeps!In fact, the same people on this forum who have kept telling us the NBA is scripted, also said the NBA cheated the Cavs out of the 2007 NBA Finals... a series that ended 4-0!  Why would the NBA want the series to end after 4 games?In the past 16 years there have been exactly the same number of outcomes that were 4-0 or 4-1 as there have been outcomes that were 4-2 or 4-3... explain that in the context of your "script theory!"


I made a similar post like this a year or two back. You're spot on... I mean if they rig series to go longer wouldn't we at least see a general skew in favour of the 4-2/4-3 results, especially considering that the finals are each year the best team from each conference? It's almost like they rig it to be shorter ;)
 
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Posted: #28
From a statistics point of view, we can break down Finals history like this:

First of all, a 4-0 outcome should be considered anomalous and unexpected, since this is a matchup of the (supposedly) top two teams in the NBA.  We shouldn't expect these to occur very often...

If we look at the other 3 possible outcomes (5, 6 or 7) games, we would expect them to essentially follow a "Normal Distribution," if there is no manipulation taking place.  There have been a total of 69 NBA Finals matchups to date... with 8 of these resulting in a sweep!  That leaves 61 remaining, with a distribution that looks like this:


5 games:   -----------------
6 games: --------------------------
7 games: ------------------


69 may not be a massive sample size, but it's enough to assume a decent level of reliability... and as it turns out, these results are perfectly in keeping with a Normal Distribution.  6 games is the most frequent result, with 5 or 7 games occurring in almost identical frequency.

Basically, (not including those anomalous sweeps) about 42% of the games have ended in 6 games... about 28% have ended in 5 games and 29% in 7 games...

In conclusion: there is no apparent manipulation taking place, and (one would think it is "needless to say") it would definitely not be parsimonious to assume that these results have been manipulated this way to make it SEEM like there has been no manipulation!

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Posted: #29
Damn Covers formatting screwed up the graph, of course!  Let me try again...



5 games: -----------------
6 games: --------------------------
7 games: ------------------
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by YoungBuckman:

 

I made a similar post like this a year or two back. You're spot on... I mean if they rig series to go longer wouldn't we at least see a general skew in favour of the 4-2/4-3 results, especially considering that the finals are each year the best team from each conference? It's almost like they rig it to be shorter ;)


Exactly!  And in fact, I assume most "script theorists" would say that it hasn't been going on for 69 years, but that this is a more recent practice... but if we look at the past 20-30 years, the number of 7 game series' is very small (even less frequent than in the early years), and there is a very unprofitably high number of 4 and 5 game series.

In the past 27 years, there have been 11 (40.7%) series that didn't make it to a game 6... that's a lot of money down the drain for a league that is supposedly manipulating the outcomes for greater profit!
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

Phillies, are u stubborn or just not understanding how percentages work?  I posted the data in another thread. You need to quit selling your bs bro. Public is all over the dubs to WIN this game tomorrow. Public is on Cavs about 60/40 for spread. I would  say that is a good difference yet 7/10 are on dubs to WIN. Can't be any clearer witht this. 

Pretty sure you are not reading these forum posts. Warriors picks are scarce. You are a bookie no doubt. Thank you though for the easy fade.
 
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Posted: #32

I guess they care more about taking the bettors money who thinks it will go 7....rather than scripting the series to all go 7...then the bettors get a much more predictable bet.

But when will the public perception catch on to these the series rarely go 7? When that happens we will see a lot more 7 game series.

It definitely has something to do with the bettors IMO

 
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Posted: #33
Petition to get this useless thread boxed
 
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Posted: #34
Cavs series price = free money
Cavs -3 +100 game 6= easy money
 
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Posted: #35
I repeat if you bet anything other than Cavs ML tonight you deserve to lose your entire bankroll
 
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Posted: #36
Last year Bob claimed to leave Covers forever if Warriors won the championship. This was at the beginning of the playoff. Yet, he's back here rambling away.
 
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Posted: #37
You are jealous and my pending futures in that thread will cash -- it all started going downhill with the nutpuncher flagrant -- you will be gone from this thread tonight BET ON IT
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by YoungBuckman:

Quote Originally Posted by Duderonomy:

Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

Public money is riding Warriors large you moron -- say bye to your money
By that logic, shouldn't the NBA make sure every NBA Finals series goes 7 games?  Michael Jordan was in the Finals 6 times, but the NBA never made it go 7  games... In fact, in the last 21 NBA Finals, there have only been 3 series that made it to game 7, which is the same number of sweeps!In fact, the same people on this forum who have kept telling us the NBA is scripted, also said the NBA cheated the Cavs out of the 2007 NBA Finals... a series that ended 4-0!  Why would the NBA want the series to end after 4 games?In the past 16 years there have been exactly the same number of outcomes that were 4-0 or 4-1 as there have been outcomes that were 4-2 or 4-3... explain that in the context of your "script theory!"
I made a similar post like this a year or two back. You're spot on... I mean if they rig series to go longer wouldn't we at least see a general skew in favour of the 4-2/4-3 results, especially considering that the finals are each year the best team from each conference? It's almost like they rig it to be shorter ;)


I wouldn't necessarily say the nba rigs it but I have no doubt Vegas has influenced many outcomes. The GS scoring second half of last game was ridiculous compared to the 1st with Curry and Clay getting the same looks. Also if every series went to 7 then it would be obvious lol. These are 2 power house team, rematch from last year, tons of money to be made if it goes 7. We'll see how the calls look tn. I dont really care, I wont pick a winner maybe 1stQ/1stH and depending maybe a live bet in there but nothing crazy, just a little to make the game fun because I do believe it's scripted to a point. Very well cuould end tn tho. But I think it goes 7.
 
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Posted: #39
bobmaloo kill yourself.

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by TheTruth976:

But you said you would never come back and now you're here???
You've lost all credibility pal, when a man gives his word and doesn't do what he says, what is he???

 

Possible he meant it at the time, and then just changed his mind. I did that before myself. I left for a year and then I just decided I wanted to post again

But some jerk here offered me $1000 to stop posting...and then didn't hold to his word. So I have every right to post

If he had actually paypal my the $1000 I would of never posted here again. That is my word, I would never go back on that if someone actually paid me money. That would be a very wrong thing to do and if I did that, I'd surely get what I deserved...

 
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Posted: #41
aaaaaaaannnnnnndddddd i was so so so so so so so so right
 
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Posted: #42
anyone want to chime in now?
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

anyone want to chime in now?

Sure, I will...Who still thinks the NBA isn't scripted? Both teams in foul trouble early and Curry fouls out for the first time in his career? 
 
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Posted: #44
YOU HOPEFULLY HAVE NO MORE BANKROLL DUMMMMMMY
 
 
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Posted: #45
Script or no script this is a gambling forum -- play the script or QUIT GAMBLING

LeKing wins the 2016 MVP on the Warriors court
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