Interesting info about the Heat's 12-0 ATS trend that might be useful tonight in Game 6

I am always considering things like that, always trying to anticipate the unexpected possibilities.  As I mentioned in the post above to guiltyascharged, I have been guilty as charged of trying to break the Heat's "off a loss" streak the last three times they've followed a loss, and of course I've gotten punished for it each time, taking 7.5 with the Pacers in Game 7 and losing 99-76, taking the Spurs on the moneyline in Game 2 and losing 103-84, and finally, the most regrettable bet of all, my ridiculously huge bet on the Spurs +2 and ML +110 in Game 4.  So it is with tongue-in-cheek (sort of) that I created this thread.  It is my surrender to the Heat's dominating trend, a trend I cannot seem to defeat.  I see no reason why the trend won't work again tonight, but I am mindful, too, that maybe this is finally the spot where the Heat can't bounce back off a loss.  But I don't want to see that happen because I'm really hoping this trend stays strong just one more time, but not solely for the sake of my unwanted Heat series that I still haven't gotten rid of, but moreso so I can make up for my Game 4 mistake by placing an even bigger bet on the Spurs moneyline in Game 7.  I am convinced that if the Heat win by 10+ tonight, the Spurs will win the championship on Thursday night.  Spurs off a double-digit loss with rest.  That's the nuts. 

streak ends

If anyone caught Stephen A. Smith yesterday on ESPN's "First Take" from San Antonio, you have to wonder if this loudmouth mush may have broken the Heat's back by insisting that the Spurs "will get annihilated" in Game 6.  He went on and on with his prediction, displaying an assuredness that usually results in egg all over his face.  I was listening to him and just wished he'd stop.  But he wouldn't stop.  So Stephen A's bluster is another thing that had me wondering if this is finally the spot in which the Heat can't rebound from a loss.

I think that's a profitable idea, too.  I think it's safe to bypass the points in Game 7 and just take the phattest Spurs moneyline you have access to.

Just to be clear, THAT post was most certainly written with tongue-in-cheek.

I'm still staunchly anti-Heat, and I definitely believe the Spurs will hoist the trophy, but I hope it's not tonight, when as a potential Spurs bettor, I'd have to "hope" that tonight's the night the Heat finally falter following a loss, whereas as someone betting on the Spurs on Thursday, I won't be "hoping" I have a winning bet - I'll know I do.

Bator i took spurs first half +4 and my plan is to unload on the heat 2nd half.

Heat should cover the 6.5 tonight, i do think the spurs will cover game 7 in which i believe will come down to the last few possessions but ultimately I see the Heat prevailing.

Still we both can come out on top here and you more so with a Heat win tonight and a Spurs ML Thurs. but I am done trusting them.

I feel that this game has already been decided without yet being played. If ever there was a game to watch the ref's this is it. Just see who goes to the bench 6 min into the game with 2 fouls. Or get's to the free throw line more time's than normal. Just wish I knew what I belive is already known.

I know you thought of everything in my post and are great at catching those wells running dry.  It was meant more food for thought from a Joe covers poster not playing.  Take it how you will.

Good stuff.  My prediction is zig zag stays in full effect tonight.  Until game 7 where it finally comes to an end and everyones worst nightmare of the heat winning another championship comes true.  And bators initial miami series bet which caused multiple incorrect double guessing bets proves to be the correct bet after all.  And everyones hatred for this team, myself included, rises to an all time high. 

Since miami is 7-5 ats first half in these games yet 12-0 in full and 2nd half.  I think another solid strategy would be to take miami -6.5 full game and if they have a sizable lead at half just let it ride.  But if the game is in question at halftime throw down another bet on miami with the likelyhood of winning both bets. 

Unfortunately there is something that puts the spanner into any system and that's human error. Not you - the gambler - it's the little mofo's that play the games and that human error is as a result of pressure. 

For all you conspiracy theorists out there, the last time that Joey Crawford ref'd a game in this series resulted in an even 14 free throws for both teams and even had 3 more personal fouls called on MIA thank SAS.

Food for thought.

42 posts in 10 years

Great work by the bator as usual. Who cares if Miami falters in the second and loses, odds are they covered the first half...

so MrBater

whom do you pick for tonite ?

+6.5 or -6.5

thank you

PS : first time asking ?

I hope the zig-zag ends tonight. Bring out the philly blunt, roll up the Heat & smoke em'

Heat 4thqtr should be a good bet IMO