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Johnson's NBA Plays - Wednesday 12/15

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Legend
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Posted: #51
Miami Heat OVER 54 Points 1st Half

The last 7 road games for the Cavs...this is what they have allowed.

vs. Sixers            66
vs. Pistons          51
vs. Wolves           73
vs. Magic             62
vs. Pacers            62
vs. Spurs              64
vs. Hornets           62

That would be an average of 62.85 points allowed.  Heat should not have a problem putting up this many points.

Prediction:  Miami Heat 58  Cleveland Cavs 44
Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by QuickFind:

CMJohnson, BOL to you

Always enjoy reading your threads.

I have a strong lean on Minn/Phoenix UNDER 223.5 ..any thoughts?



I was actually leaning towards the OVER on that one if anything...but too tough to call IMO.


 
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Posted: #53
3 TEAM PARLAY

Los Angeles Lakers ML
Philadelphia 76ers ML
New Orleans Hornets ML

Risk: 1 unit to win 1.54 units
 
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Posted: #54

Quote Originally Posted by MasterCapper87:

Boston -1 1st QTR. If my numbers are correct

Celtics 1st qtr on the road : 8-4
Celtics 1st qtr road favorite: 5-3

Knicks 1st qtr at home: 3-6
Knicks 1st qtr home favorite: 0-2

You think this warrants a play?

mastercapper if you don't mind me asking, where do you go to get the Q stats avgs?

G
 
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Posted: #55
Best of Luck tonight  
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by ginochambers:

mastercapper if you don't mind me asking, where do you go to get the Q stats avgs?



Covers scoreboard, click the team name and go through each game lol. It takes a while but you really learn a lot. I assume that's where CMJ gets his numbers too, if not CMJ, please share.
 
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Posted: #57

Quote Originally Posted by MasterCapper87:



Covers scoreboard, click the team name and go through each game lol. It takes a while but you really learn a lot. I assume that's where CMJ gets his numbers too, if not CMJ, please share.

...yea I figured that, damn, you guys do some MAJOR cappin' for that bread...that's why I respect some of the guys on here so much!

G
 
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Posted: #58
Following on most CMJ. I told myself after a few days ago I would never lay over 1.5 to 1 on halves and qtrs ML and that one is 1.9 to 1 for me. I know you like the stats it's just way too easy for a team to have a good half and fav to have a bad one and fav is down 1 or 2 and you're out that much you know? I don't think it's a bad play but for me I'm trying to avoid that, laying that juice doesn't bother u?
 
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Posted: #59
Actually I keep my own spreadsheet of each game quarter by quarter...don't use too much of the Covers matchup page.

As far as laying that much juice...I know it can hurt at times, but I'm doing really damn well on the ML Plays this year, so I'll keep going with it.  For me it makes it a lot easier towards the end of quarters.  If you bet on a ML instead of a 2.5...and they are up by 4 with 20 seconds left, you are feeling a lot better.  If it loses, then you were just so far off on the spread, that you deserve to lose more.
 
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Posted: #60
BOL tonight CM
 
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Posted: #61
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

Actually I keep my own spreadsheet of each game quarter by quarter...don't use too much of the Covers matchup page.

As far as laying that much juice...I know it can hurt at times, but I'm doing really damn well on the ML Plays this year, so I'll keep going with it.  For me it makes it a lot easier towards the end of quarters.  If you bet on a ML instead of a 2.5...and they are up by 4 with 20 seconds left, you are feeling a lot better.  If it loses, then you were just so far off on the spread, that you deserve to lose more.


Well put, check out a couple of my picks in my thread for me coming up? Would like to know what u think.
 
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Posted: #63

If my book doesn't offer quarter, TT and ML plays, would you still recommend the -2.5? also first half over for miami?

 
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Posted: #64
oilfan...2.5 for what?


 
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Posted: #65
GL Johnson
 
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Posted: #66
 
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Posted: #67
for Sixers first half
 
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Posted: #68
 
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Posted: #69
Sixers 1st Half should be alright IMO...I just would rather play it a little safer in case the Clippers feel like showing up
 
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Posted: #70
really like that Sixer 1H too, might be on it with you...gl tonight bud
 
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Posted: #71
 
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Posted: #72
Thanks for the help
 
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Posted: #73
Cm good luck tonite love the first q plays gonna ride you with the Lakers
 
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Posted: #74
 
 
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Posted: #75
Thanks for the support guys.  Like the plays big time tonight.
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