Posted:
#1
Another nice win last night on my GOM on the 76ers. Tonight we will follow a similar sort of methodology when the Cavs visit the Celtics. The Cavs come into tonight off two ATS victories, though they have had no luck SU since 12/18/2010. Trust me, tonight may be the night the Cleveland comes completely undone as a basketball franchise as they are about to get pummeled by what could be one of the most lopsided NBA games of the entire season.
Now I know everyone is going to say (based on my above comments) that I just jinxed myself. However, I am not really a believer in that sort of thing. I believe in math algorithms + human factors.
In reality, the starts are just aligning for an ambush. The Celtics are coming of an SU and ATS loss at Washington on 01/21, and historically speaking that is good news for their backers the next time out as the Celtics are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest and they are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss.
Now I am aware that the Celtics have not fared well as a double digit favorite of late, but thats considering that their opponent is made up of professional NBA Players. Tonight Clevelands roster will only feature a handful of real pros through bad management and injuries. As far as I am concerned, the Celtics back-ups could cover the 17 tonight if given the chance, and they may very well be out there in the 2nd half doing just that.
The Cavs, who managed to cover last night against the Nets are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win. Here is the real kicker for tonight. As bad as the Cavs are in this spot situationally as opposed to the Celtics good fortune, consider this:
The Celtics have had three days to rest and think about their loss to the Wizards. The Cavs will be playing tonight for the 4th game in five night, their second of a back to back and in the their consecutive road game.
If your concerned about a "sleepwalk" mentality from the Celtics, be assured they will be on all cylinders due to the first home start for their Turkish Semih Erden (who will be starting in place of Shaq.) A fresh face is always a spark plug for the veterans as it provides a fun and different environment for the team and fans.
Here is a look a tonights starting line-ups, look at how bad the Cavs match-up size and talent wise. Its almost sad:
SF Christian Eyenga (6-5, 210) vs. Paul Pierce (6-7, 235)
PF Antawn Jamison (6-9, 235) vs. Kevin Garnett (6-11, 253)
C J.J. Hickson (6-9, 242) vs. Semih Erden (7-0, 240)
SG Daniel Gibson (6-2, 200) vs. Ray Allen (6-5, 205)
PG Ramon Sessions (6-3, 185) vs. Rajon Rondo (6-1, 186)
PF Antawn Jamison (6-9, 235) vs. Kevin Garnett (6-11, 253)
C J.J. Hickson (6-9, 242) vs. Semih Erden (7-0, 240)
SG Daniel Gibson (6-2, 200) vs. Ray Allen (6-5, 205)
PG Ramon Sessions (6-3, 185) vs. Rajon Rondo (6-1, 186)
Take the Celtics -17 and enjoy.
Good Luck!
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