Memphis opening line +2.5 at home???

will lay off game 1, will prob come down to last shot. this is prob a series to zig zag. most of money coming on warriors early, doesn't necessarily mean it's square and wrong. let's see how the line steams before tip off. the last steam is usually the right one.

so far this playoffs short public road favorites have been winning and covering

Very Surprised at the line..Its not like GS dominated Denver on the road...Denver is not even a good team missing their 2nd and 3rd best players....1 man team.. Game 3 was a close game and game 4 Nuggets won.....GS was -2.5 game 3 and -4.5 game 4....Complete disrespect to the #2 seed... Remember now..Styles makes fights... Memphis matches up well with GS IMOH...

@davemsh

 feels like warriors the line is telling us it's a situational revenge/statement game spot, would not be surprised if warriors won game 1, and then game 2 line is memphis -1.5.

Warriors d is way better than the wolves 

@DoubleUp4Life

 Hedge that easter conference with Miami Heat 

 why wouldn't GSW be the favorite? They're the ones with 3 Hall of famers and rings. They're the ones coming off 6 days rest while Memphis was in Minnesota a day ago, smiling and dancing their butts on a logo for a Round 1 win. 

Game 1 is the best one to steal. Who knows what the warriors gameplan will be. And Memphis will likely stick in a more predictable comfort zone with so little time to prepare.

Did you see how Minnesota rained 3's on Memphis and built double digit leads? Minnesota just bailed them out every 4Q with their poor decision making. I saw Memphis throughout the series make the same dumb mistakes, with turning it over and bad shots. If they do that tomorrow, they're toast. It wont be Pat Bev all by his lonesome in the corner. It will be Klay, Poole, or Wiggs knocking it down. Memphis had a great regular season but once playoffs hit, both their off/def efficiencies went down while GSW's turned up. It's not like Minnesota had a stellar defense either. Memphis just took bad shots consistently so there were plenty of rebounds to go around. And not to mention plenty of free points missed at the charity stripe.

All I see is a Splash Party tomorrow. Warriors play smart basketball while Memphis continue their bad habits from the last series. 

Tough game to predict

Seems like a pros vs joes line. Joes can still be right 35-45% of the time. I just dont see a young team off a quick turnaround, in an AFTERNOON tip-off taking this, against this Warriors team. 

That being said, if the Griz DO win Game 1, with everything working against them, I'm taking them for the series. The Warriors theoretically SHOULD win this, with everything in their favor.

-2 +2 it doesn’t matter cause u still have to essentially win the game. It’s not rocket science to realize all faves will win the series again this round barring injuries and there’s 2 things u wannabe sharps can do about it absolutely nothing and like it.

6 days rest is probably more than most coaches would want.  Should be a great series. I hope it goes 7

Thank you much RESPECTED BROTHER 

As usual you're spot on , so much basketball left to played ...If Grizz take game 1 , maybe hedge a little on GS ..Can't do much hedging this round anyways .

APPRECIATE YOUR INPUT and TIME !!

Home playoff teams in game 1 in round 2 or greater, off one day's rest have been 10-20 ATS, and if the line is less than -4, they been 3-7 ATS, 4-7 straight up.

Morant will have to have a good series for the Grizz to win.

@GTD

i hope so for the sake of my warriors/suns wcf future and for the sake of the best possible matchup

another thing is i rewatched the jazz grizz series last year. grizz are aboslutely terrible at guarding the perimeter, they play this lazy 3-2 zone where 3-4 players collapse to the lane quickly whenever someone drives. they do a good job locking up the paint this way but it leaves 1-2 shooters open from 3 every single time.  

saw this against the wolves too who just couldnt hit open 3s in the 4th quarters, and then fell into the trap of driving 1 on 3 and trying to finish instead of kicking out to open shooters, and getting blocked or stripped every time. 

The Warriors are better in the half court and are well rested.. I got them yesterday at -1.5 ..Lets see what happens 

Ja is not going to be able to get away with having no jump shot this series....

He literally missed every one last series 

If GS wins today, everyone will prolly be on the Grizz to win Game 2... That is why if i was running the show, i would always have the home team win Game 1 unless over 90% of the bets were on them... 

@begginerboy

@ScriptedTheater

 what they usually do is move the line 2-3 pts for the home team, making it much harder to take them

I really like rhe Heat -1.5 games over the 76ers ...Far Harden better pass rhe ball to Maxey and stop dribbling with his head down ....

Remember, past playoff results mean little if the 2020 fake bubble games aren't excluded.

Give me the Grizz ML today.