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NBA 2008-09, Week 7 thread...

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Posted: #26
 great tread Brewer! Keep up the good work
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by PatsDyNASTY:

 great tread Brewer! Keep up the good work

 

**thread, my bad

 
Legend
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Posted: #28
But I wonder if this the classic "brewers7 was against Cleveland one game too early" spot and Philly is indeed the play

exactly, we know its coming, but alas not when....I've actually said this to myself at least twice already during the Cavs streak, losing each time of course, its starting to get expensive.....with that said, I'm on Philly tonight
 
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Posted: #29
I think tonight may be the night. I am putting a small wager on Philly
 
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Posted: #30
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 27-21, +$1237
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 154-154-5
#1 picks: 23-20

Totals: 160-146-7
#1 picks: 19-23-1
=====================================

Day 44:

Totals ice, ice cold right now and Sides (14-4 with all picks before last night and 5-4 last night) hot...LAL 4-0 ATS in back-enders...Chart-play for Minny and the Minny Under (as DEN had an Over-7 snapped)...Chart-play also for the CLE Over as their Under-6 snapped...

Debating a play right now...Might be a 1Q Over, but I haven't decided...Nothing jumping off the page and I am turning gutless to against CLE again...I almost hope they cover because I will definitely fade them against Philly on the back-end of this home-and-home on FRI with Philly getting double-digits...

Sides:

#1 LAL -12.5
#2 NY +8
#3 Phi +6.5
#4 Tor -3
#5 Char +12.5
#6 Atl +6
#7 Min +12.5
#8 Memp -2
#9 Milw +1

Totals:

#1 NY ov 214
#2 Phi ov 186.5
#3 Milw ov 220
#4 Min un 207.5
#5 Atl un 189
#6 Char un 185.5
#7 Memp ov 201
#8 Tor ov 210
#9 LAL un 216

No BETs yet...

GL...

================================================== =====================
Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
 
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Posted: #31
Really thinking this Lakers game will be a slaughter...2 bets for now...

BET:

Level 1 -- Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5, laying $250 to win $250 -- No Kenyon Martin and Melo will have limite minutes...Chart-play for Minny after covering last night to snap the NC7...Chart-play stronger when the team breaks the NC streak with a loss that covered, rather than a win that covered...New coach McHale looking for that first win, so this tream will be giving effort tonight...

Level 1 -- Minnesota/Denver Under 208.5, laying $252.50 to win $250 -- These 2 teams have net twice already and both stayed Under this number...The game at Denver was a 174 if I remember correctly...Again, no K'Mart and Melo may be limited...Minny 4-1 to the Under in back-enders this season...Again, a chart-play to the Under here as DEN went Under last time out after 7 straight Overs...I could be wrong, of course, but I really hope I don't get swept here with 2 chart-plays like this, not to mention the other factors in my favor, IMO...
 
Prospect
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Posts: 99
Posted: #32
hi,
 
new to the basketball forum, i usually play football.  I have been following brewer7 and love all you info. Want to tell you my picks i made tonight after looking at your ideas along with "rodsteel"
 
tor-3 
knicks +7
over ny 214
clev -6.5 
clev over 187
memph  -2
memph over 201 
atlanta +6.5
atlanta over  (not looking good)
minn +12.5
mill +1.5
 
Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 161
Posted: #33

brewers7,

thank you for opening this weekly threads and sharing your knowledge with us and especially in this quality.

but it really would be a special gift if you could just post your BETS a little bit earlier.

it is hard to follow your bets if you post them late like today.

i know you have to take your time and i can not rush you but once again it would be much easier for followers to play your bets.

i really like your system and your thoughts and would like to follow you a while this season

 
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Posted: #34
Has there ever been a team that has been involved in 3 consecutive games that were decided by 1 point as a result of the team trailing by 2 hitting a game winning 3 pointer?
 
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Posted: #35
brewers7..............

been following you for a while!!!!!!!!!

way back in another forum ;-)

Anyways, i seem to always see you worst picks in both sides and totals, winning,if you take the opposite.............last night for instance

worst total was lakers under.........the over hit 

worst side was milwaukee.........and golden st hit....


do you have the stats on this?
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by vighb:

brewers7,

thank you for opening this weekly threads and sharing your knowledge with us and especially in this quality.

but it really would be a special gift if you could just post your BETS a little bit earlier.

it is hard to follow your bets if you post them late like today.

i know you have to take your time and i can not rush you but once again it would be much easier for followers to play your bets.

i really like your system and your thoughts and would like to follow you a while this season

90% of my bets have been posted either the night before or early in the afternoon...last night was an exception...That may or may not change depending on my available time...

 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by susany1970:

Has there ever been a team that has been involved in 3 consecutive games that were decided by 1 point as a result of the team trailing by 2 hitting a game winning 3 pointer?

My database cannot answer THAT question...I would say off the top of my head that the answer would be "NO"...

 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by caduff24:

brewers7..............

been following you for a while!!!!!!!!!

way back in another forum ;-)

Anyways, i seem to always see you worst picks in both sides and totals, winning,if you take the opposite.............last night for instance

worst total was lakers under.........the over hit 

worst side was milwaukee.........and golden st hit....


do you have the stats on this?

I do somewhere, but would have to dig through my filing cabinet...I do know that a lot of times, the pick that I absolutely cannot decide on, OR Iliked the other side first and changed my mind OR it's the pick that I absolutely hate to take OR I just hate the pick and that goes in the last slot and there are stretches where fading that pick will make some money in the short term...

 
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Posted: #39
 
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Posted: #40
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 28-22, +$1234.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 158-158-6
#1 picks: 23-21

Totals: 164-151-7
#1 picks: 20-23-1
=====================================

Day 45:

Totals had their 4th straight losing night, but the #1 Total did win...Work getting busier, so time may be more limited, but I do want to make money at this as it is still a hobby for me after doing it full-time for a few years...I don't like the board at all tonight, but if you held a gun to my head, I would take the Port/Utah game Over as it a chart-play that way for PORT...WASH looks tempting as Boston has NO tomorrow...WAS swept BOS last year in the regular season I think (goign from memory on that one)...I may have to start posting before I get to work, because now that the busy season is about to hit, once I get here, time is becoming much more limited...

No bets unless a 2H play presents itself...And I am hoping this weekend presents some good opportunities...

Sides:

#1 Was +10
#2 Port +2.5
#3 Char +13

Totals:

#1 Port ov 194
#2 Was ov 196
#3 Char un 191

GL...

================================================== =====================
Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
 
Prospect
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Posts: 99
Posted: #41
hey does anyone know brews bets for tonight?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #42
thanks!!!!!
 
Captain
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by dental582:

hey does anyone know brews bets for tonight?

Looks like no action....

 
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Posts: 2188
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by dental582:

hey does anyone know brews bets for tonight?

I don't bet unless I see something worthwhile to me...

GL...

 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 23
Posted: #45
[Quote: Originally Posted by vighb]

brewers7,

thank you for opening this weekly threads and sharing your knowledge with us and especially in this quality.

but it really would be a special gift if you could just post your BETS a little bit earlier.

it is hard to follow your bets if you post them late like today.

i know you have to take your time and i can not rush you but once again it would be much easier for followers to play your bets.

i really like your system and your thoughts and would like to follow you a while this season

Brewers, First...Let me say THANK YOU........  I fully appreciate the input you provide.  I can not understand why there are those who  feel as though they are entitled to the info/data and expect it by a certain time. Without turning this thread into a tit for tat ....all I can say is keep up the good work. I'm sure the majority of us realize the burden is on us and we are responsible for each of our selections.    Thanks again !!

 
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Posts: 1854
Posted: #46

 
Veteran
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Posts: 2188
Posted: #47
================================================== =====================
Amateurs work until they get it right...Professionals work until they can't get it wrong... ================================================== =====================
Pride and Poise...Commitment to Excellence...Striving towards handicapping perfection...
================================================== =====================
Preseason bets: 5-1, +$395 (flat-bet for $100) | All picks: 62-41-2 | #1 picks: 12-7
================================================== =====================
Bets record:
================================================== =====================
Level 3 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-0
Level 2 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 0-1, -$530
Level 1 bets (starting BR = 10K) -- Record: 28-22, +$1234.50
================================================== =====================
Strict Betting Rules are posted here: Link
==============================
Sides: 159-160-6
#1 picks: 23-22

Totals: 166-152-7
#1 picks: 20-24-1
=====================================

Day 46:

Getting busier for me, but I will continue write-ups whenever I can...sy season is about to hit, once I get here, time is becoming much more limited...Like one play...hate to go against CLE, but...

Sides:

#1 Phi +10.5
#2 NO +6.5
#3 Min +8
#4 Det -6
#5 Memp +2
#6 LAC +8.5
#7 LAL -16.5
#8 Tor +2.5
#9 Atl +2.5
#10 Phoe -1.5
#11 GS +1.5

Totals:

#1 Phoe ov 209.5
#2 Memp ov 199.5
#3 Det ov 200#4 Tor ov 205
#5 Phi ov 189.5
#6 Atl ov 193
#7 NO un 189
#8 LAC un 189
#9 Min ov 192.5
#10 LAL un 215
#11 GS un 215

BET:

Level 1 -- Philadelphia 76ers +10, laying $250 to win $272.50 -- Hate to go against a C10, but the Cavs cannot cover forever...This is the back-end of a Home-and-Home and where is the motivation here for CLE compared to Philly?...CLE just beat them at Philly...The Sixers might think they "had them" last game, but the Cavs outscored them by 17 in the 3Q to pull away a bit...Philly still got back in it in the 4Q, making it a 2-possession game...The Sixers have been incredibly flaky, losing 5 straight Home games, but they have actually won their last 2 road games...Only 7 teams since 1991-92 have gone beyonf a C10, which doesn't really anything for this particular instance, but I like taking teams who lost the first of a home-and-home series, especially gettign double-digits...

GL...

================================================== =====================
Please note: Actual game results may vary from the opinions stated above...
================================================== =====================
Database sample links: TeamSample, SeasonSample
================================================== =====================
Words of advice: Past results do not guarantee future performance...Tail me when I am hot...
Fade me when I am cold...Nobody wins every day...Only bet what you can afford to lose...
Try not to chase losses...Tomorrow is another day...This is a marathon, not a sprint...
Patience and Persistence...Do your homework...Use Money Management…Stay humble…
Bet with your head, not over it...Act professional…
================================================== =====================
 
All-Star
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Posts: 14495
Posted: #48
 
Legend
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Posts: 36843
Posted: #49
GL   
 
 
Captain
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Posts: 5770
Posted: #50
GL brew, I had this checked already, as I knew you would go against a C10....
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