NBA 22-23 Picks

Leans 

Lillard over 31.5 points

Curry over 27.5 points

Harden over 10.5 assists

1 locked in

Lillard over 31.5 points @1.80  0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 5 of last 6

76ers d nothing special

Should be motivated against embiid/harden

Like him to play 33+ mins and put up 20+ shots unless its a blowout

Like that he at home might get extra call or 2

Like him to make 10+ buckets with 4+ 3s mixed in and 6+ made free throws

Like him in the 30-35 range

GL all

Lillard

On a good run of bad luck both leans were winners of course 

Leans since after new years 9-5...bets 1-2....keep betting the losers outta leans

1 locked in

Randle over 13.5 boards @2.05  0.5 to win 0.525

Over this in 7 of last 10

He's been pounding the glass last 10 games 

Should play 35+ mins unless its a blowout

Not sure if I prefer Robinson playing or not...Randle might have to deal with capela now which might effect his rebounding looks

Like him in the 12-15 range 

GL all

Looking at jokic...my book doesn't offer PRA which is shitty as that might be the proper play instead of picking a single one of those....he has triple double in 6 of last 9

@dubz4dummyz

 Jokic is questionable for Friday's game against the Pacers due to left hamstring tightness.

1 locked in

Randle over 12.5 boards @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 8 of last 10

3rd game vs raps in 2023...he had 15 and 11....the game he had 11 Robinson had 18....Robinson out tonight 

He went under last game but both teams shot over 55% which is pretty wild

Should play 34+ mins unless its a blowout

Typically these teams play pretty tight, should be some misses and some rebounds to grab

Like him in the 12-14 range

GL all

Ice cold on bets....leans doing good tho...crazy lol

Other leans

Curry over 26.5 points

Lillard over 31.5 points

Sga over 28.5 points

Kyrie under 30.5 points

Forgot to mention raps on b2b. Knicks have fresh legs

Randle 

Leans went 1-3 ...bets went 1-0....don't like much tonight 

Leans

Cha/Utah over 239.5

Atl/chi over 240.0

Sa/port over 240.5

Derozan over 26.5 points

Trae over 10.5 assists

Thinking 2 of the 3 totals go over...don't like derozan on front end of b2b but good numbers vs hawks...wanted Trae 9.5 not 10.5

1 locked in

Vucevic over 12.5 boards @2.00 0.5 to win 0.5

Over this in 8 of last 10

Been hard on the off. glass last few games

Pacers one of worst rebounding teams in league

Bulls on b2b but they had 4 days off before last night's game. Looking for vooch to play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 12-14 range

GL all

1 locked in

Cp3 over 9.5 assists @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

11 in his 1st game back vs tough Memphis d 2 nights ago. Played 38 mins

Had 16 vs hornets earlier this month (booker played)

Hornets allow most assists per game in league

Hornets on b2b

Prefer if ayton plays as that gives him a way better target down low than bismack...but I still like it as cha def sucks compared to grizz

Like that suns at home

Only worry is blowout...but if it is blowout hopefully he has bunch of assists ...assisting the blowout

Like him in the 9-12 range 

GL all

1-1...unlucky with vooch...lucky with cp3

Leans in order I like em

Sabonis over 13.5 boards @1.95

Sga over 29.5 points @1.75

Trae over 10.5 assist @1.85

Harden over 10.5 assist @1.75 ( only if embiid plays but it is also revenge game for him)

1 locked in

Sabonis over 13.5 boards @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 5 of last 9

Raps not great on the glass

Expecting a big game on the glass from him

Should play 35+ mins unless its a blowout

Was hoping for 12.5 but will risk 13.5

Like him in the 12-16 range

GL all

Terrible effort from sac last night...sabonis only got 8 kinda surprised. Figured 10+ in his sleep 

Leans

Cp3 over 9.5 assists 1.95

Duren over 10.5 boards 1.70...hate the odds...would play it at 1.85+

1 locked in 

Cp3 over 9.5 assists @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in both games since return from injury

Good reg.season numbers vs mavs

No booker or payne or shamet. Ball should be in cp3 hands a lot 

Ayton supposed to be back down low. If he plays huge upgrade on offense over biyombo

Like him to play 32+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 9-12 range

GL all

Cp3

Doubt i will like the board today. Maybe sga prop but I doubt it

sga ended up hitting...oh well

Early leans

Randle over 11.5 boards 1.70

Cp3 over 9.5 assists 1.70

Both juiced heavy. Required win rate for profit at 1.70 odds is 59%...I got both around 60%+ chance of going over...not a huge edge with 59% win rate required long term 

Slackin on updates

overall 39-36 -1.085 units

39-35 -0.085   0.5-unit plays

0-1 -1    1-unit plays

2 locked in

Vucevic over 11.5 boards @1.90  0.5 to win 0.45

Over this in 3 of last 5

Playing his old team, should be motivated

Over this in 4 of last 5 vs magic including 16 in november

Magic on b2b

Bulls talking about playing with more intensity ...see if they back it up

Should play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

If it is a blowout hopefully its the magic missing the shots giving vooch rebound oppos...magic decent rebounding team too

Like him to get a double-double vs his old team

Like him in the 11-13 range 

Derozan over 26.5 points @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this 2 of last 4 . Both unders he had exactly 26.

Magic allow most points per game to SF in the league

Demar over this in 4 of last 5 vs magic including 41 in November

Should play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

If it is a blowout hopefully he sinking buckets to make it a blowout

Like him to sink 9+ buckets with maybe 1 3 mixed in and 7+ made free throws 

Like him in the 25-30 range 

GL all

Voochie

Derozan

Couple leans....in order I like em

Sga over 31.5 points @1.90

Kyrie over 30.5 points @1.85

Lillard over 33.5 points @1.90