NBA 22-23 Picks

Just 1 lean

Don.mitchell over 24.5 points....worried he rusty and heat d stingy so prob no play

overall 41-36 -0.21

41-35 +0.79   0.5-unit plays

0-1 -1    1-unit plays

3 locked in

J.brown over 26.5 points @1.90  0.5 to win 0.45

Over this in 2 of last 4

Had 34 vs nets in December and coming off 37 vs lakers

Nets allow 6th most points per game to SG

Smart out. More shots to go around. 

Like him to play 34+ mins and put up 19+ shots unless its a blowout

Like him to make 10+ buckets with 2-3 3s mixed in and 3+ made free throws. 

Like him in the 25-30 range

Cp3 over 10.5 assists @1.95  0.5 to win 0.475

Over this in 3 of last 5

Had 12 and 13 vs hawks last year (booker played both,  ayton played 1)

Had 9 vs a tough raptors d last time out

Like that suns at home, teams typically shoot/play a little better at home

Like that he playing against Trae, they might try to one-up each other (more-so Trae)

Should play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him for a dbl-dbl tonight

Like him in the 10-13 range

Trae over 9.5 assists @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 6 of last 9

Over in 1 of 2 vs suns last year

Should be motivated against cp3...2 of the top 5 dishers in the league

Couple of his teammates shooting well, looking for him to look for them

Should play 34+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him to get a dbl-dbl as well

Like him in the 9-12 range 

GL all

Leans...doubt ill play em 

Sga over 31.5 points

Curry over 28.5 points

Fox over 25.5 points

Lillard under 32.5 points

1-2......found both blowouts somehow.....lost brown on missed free throws...5th or 6th loss on a missed free throw

Other leans went 2-2 

1 locked in

Derozan over 26.5 points @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 3 of last 6 Including 28 vs cha 

Cha allow 6th most points to SF

Should play 34+ mins and put up 19+ shots unless its a blowout 

Like him to make 10+ buckets with maybe 1-2 3s mixed in and 5+ made free throws 

Like him in the 25-30 range

GL all 

Derozan

Leans

Sabonis over 21.5 points

Tatum over 30.5 points

Sabonis over 13.5 boards

Haliburton over 10.5 assists

Haliburton over 20.5 points

Don't like that Haliburton on b2b, revenge game for him and sabonis..tatum should put up 28+ but phx has good numbers vs forwards

1 locked in

Sabonis over 21.5 points @1.85  1 to win 0.85

Over this in 2 of last 3

First game back in indy since trade, should be motivated

Fox out, 20+ shots to go around else where

Potential for a triple-double

Like him to put up 16+ shots and play 34+ mins unless its a blowout

Pacers allow 6th most points per game to centers and they on a b2b

Like him to make 8+ buckets with maybe 1 3 mixed in and 3+ made free throws

Like him in the 20-26 range

GL all

1 locked in

Edwards over 27.5 points @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 5 of last 7. 1 under vs tough Memphis d and he still had 25

Had 35 vs orl earlier this season 

Only thing I dont like is orl numbers vs guards. And I don't like his free throw attempts per game

Should play 34+ mins and put up 20+ shots unless its a blowout 

Like him to sink 10+ buckets with 2+ 3s mixed in and 4+ made free throws

Like him in the 26-30 range

GL all

On a sweet little 1-5 run

Dunno how sabonis went under last night....brutal....

edwards was a bad play 2/11 from 3 the previous game was the warning sign

Leans

AD over 25.5 points....juiced heavy

Jv over 9.5 boards....tough matchup vs AD

1 locked in

Duren over 9.5 boards @2.00 0.5 to win 0.5

Over this in 2 of last 5

Duren usually fairly active on off. glass

Suns allow 10.3 offensive rebound per game. Around middle of pack 

Both teams on b2b. Only thing I don't like cause it could limit duren minutes

Had 5 in 14 mins earlier this season vs phx

Like him to play 28+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 9-11 range

GL all

Other leans

Claxton over 11.5 boards

Lebron under 28.5 points 

Sga under 32.5 points

Lavine under 24.5 points

Lillard under 33.5 points 

Leans went 4-4 bets went 0-1

Ice cold...crazy season of runs...went on 12-3 run..now on a 1-8 run

Early leans

Embiid over 32.5

Waiting on few others

Leans

Embiid over 32.5 points

Garland over 21.5 points

Don.mitchell over 25.5 points

Sabonis over 12.5 boards

2 locked in

Embiid over 32.5 points @1.85  0.5 to win 0.425

Over this in 2 of last 4

Had 35 at msg in December

Robinson out for Knicks and they on b2b

Like him to play 32+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him to put up 20+ shots

Like him to sink 10+ buckets with maybe 1 3 mixed in and 8+ made free throws

Like him to score 30+ tonight

Sabonis over 12.5 boards @1.90   0.5 to win 0.45

Over this in 2 of last 4

Zion out and potentially JV. 2 of pels better rebounders. Jv not 100% if he plays

Only thing I don't like is sac on front end of b2b

Pels on b2b, looking for some misses with tired legs

Should play 33+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him in the 12-14 range

GL all

1 locked in

Ingram over 23.5 points @1.75  0.5 to win 0.375

Over this in 2 straight , seems to have found rhythm after rocky start to return from injury

Sac allow 3rd most points to SF

Should play 32+ mins unless its a blowout

Like him to put up 19+ shots

Like him to make 9+ buckets and 4+ made free throws

Like him in the 22-28 range

GL all

0-2...lost embiid by basket and sabonis sitting in a blowout....ice cold

Ingram voided

Early leans

Lillard under 34.5 points

Allen over 10.5 boards 

Early leans

Cp3 over 8.5 assists....worried booker steals assists/mins and effects chemistry 

Ad over 12.5 boards....good matchup v okc...wanted 11.5 tho

Lavine under 24.5 points 

Lebron under 32.5 points....are oddsmakers telling us he breaks record tonight?

Tons of leans...locked 1 in see next post

Haliburton over 9.5 assists 2.05

Harden over 10.5 assists 2.05

Randle over 23.5 points 1.85

Lesser leans 

Randle over 10.5 boards

Jv over 9.5 boards

Allen over 10.5 boards

Cp3 over 9.5 assists

Mitchell over 24.5 points

1 locked in

Haliburton over 9.5 assists @2.05  0.5 to win 0.525

Over this in 3 of last 4. 1 under he had 9

He said he is excited to play against cp3, definitely wants to put up some assists against one of the assist kings

Like that Pacers at home, players typical shoot little better at home.

Slightly worried about blowout or Pacers having a bad shooting % game 

Should play 34+ mins unless its a blowout 

Tj mcconnell had 12 assists vs suns last month....looking for Haliburton to put up a dbl-dbl

Like him in the 9-12 range

GL all

3 leans for tracking

Min/mem under 234.5

Mil/lac under 226.5

Cha/bos over 226.0

1 locked in

Ingram over 25.5 points @1.80 0.5 to win 0.4

Over this in 4 of last 6. 1 under had 25

Another revenge game against his old team. He has good numbers vs lakers

Prefer if lebron and cj play. Gives him motivation against lebron and cj opens the court up for him

Lakers D nothing special 

Like him to put up 19+ shots and play 32+ mins unless its a blowout

Pels playing good ball...looking for them to carry that into the break

Like him to make 9+ buckets with maybe 1-2 3 mixed in and 4+ made free throws 

Like him in the 24-30 range

GL all

Hooked again...on another missed free throw

Down 5 units....update coming at all star break

May retire from nba shit show....bleeding nhl/nfl profits