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NBA MOJO PLAYS FOR DECEMBER 2016

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Legend
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Posted: #1
Spreadsheet & ledger:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14FX3D4dTwXxh5SzP4U1S-YVBA8ncFWXTK9HSwHQ8Kw0/edit#gid=1554741587
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
One and a half month into the season and we get a clearer picture of the lay of the land. Mostly same 'ole stuff. Pistons and Knicks finally over .500 but watch them struggle to stay relevant. Charlotte making a push in the East. Play-off seeding in the West will be competitive as ever, Dallas exempt.

I've a few remarks in observance of tonight's slate of teams.


Detroit: Pistons: least turn-overs commited in the league, right above Charlotte. #2 defense, right behind Utah. 11 straight games limiting opponents to less than 100 points at home. 8-3 ATS at home, 4-8 ATS on the road.


Charlotte: Hornets: defense lacking a bit recently but still very decent under Clifford's tenure.


Revenge spot for Charlotte tonight. They will meet again on Jan 5 and Feb 23.


Orlando eam improvements: offensive rebound, 3-point defense, overall defense. Got a little win streak going.


Denver: offense have improved at the sacrifice of defense as Will Barton replaces Gary Harris as starting guard. Harris may return next week. 11 games on the road and Denver have covered 8 of those. Still a great rebounding team; will keep them in most games. 


Brooklyn: no improvements; metrics show a regression actually. 

Miami: team is riddled with injury. Dragic playing gimpy, might have over exerted himself against New York. Haslem called out of the retirement home last night. Interior defense is still very good as long as Whiteside is there to anchor the position. But 3-point defense has been porous with the absence of Winslow. Derrick Williams is a terrible sub -- lazy player overall; limited talent ceiling.


Atlanta: I am pretty sure Dwight Howard is a curse to whatever team he goes to. Lots of regressive metrics: 3-point shooting is highly off the mark as well as rebounding. This team have no hustle. Middle of November the team was 11-2. Stay clear. 2-8 ATS last 10 games.
 
Legend
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Portland: lots of offense, not enough defense; will loses lead in the 4th quarter -- can't close.


Milwaukee: problems closing games also. 4th quarter runs fall short. Much improved rebounding after a very slow start for Greg Monroe. One superstar point-guard away from being a perennial contender.


Lakers: Brandon Ingram improving (most likely because of the absence of DeAngelo Russel and Nick Young) but backcourt is getting thin. Probably played their best defense against the Bulls. Much improved offensive rebounding; Luke Walton keeps his guys amped and hustling. Best bench scoring in league.


Houston: Quietly making strides in the West. Bench have been tremendous, particularly Eric Gordon and Montrezl Harrell. Very good rebounding team: Donatas Motiejunas making a come-back.
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
Cleveland: Once a top-5 defense is just very mediocre now.


Knicks: Hot! Carmelo season high against the Heat. Derrick Rose left early, did not return -- remains questionable.


Kings: can't win games but they're trying. 7-3 ATS last 10.


Pacers. Not much hustle from this team. They have to score 110 points a night to win games.


Suns: haven't touched the Suns all season long.


Warriors: highly improved metrics, particularly rebounding on both ends.


Clippers: sloppy defense as of late. 


Will most likely just have a small play on the Warriors tonight. Like Thursday's card better.
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
The character limit is annoying. Makes copying and pasting a chore.


 
Legend
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Posted: #6
Wednesday, Dec 7 NBA:

REGULAR PLAY, 1 unit
Golden State Warriors -4 -110

Going with the public. But the books have plenty of other games to cash in on.

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #7
Yes sir dubs or nothing in this one. Good luck kane
It's all probabilities
 
Veteran
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:

Wednesday, Dec 7 NBA:

REGULAR PLAY, 1 unit
Golden State Warriors -4 -110

Going with the public. But the books have plenty of other games to cash in on.

 




 
Legend
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Posted: #9
Plays posted on the spreadsheet for Thursday, Dec 8.

Nuggets
Warriors
Spurs
 
Legend
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Posted: #10
0-3 on Thursday.

Friday, December 9 NBA:

REGULAR PLAYS, 1 unit
Orlando Magic +7½ -117
Heat/Cavaliers Under 207½ -105

DOUBLE PLAY, 2 units
Houston Rockets -1 -117

FADE THE PUBLIC PLAY OF THE DAY
Boston Celtics Moneyline -125 

 

Looking to play Knicks 2nd Half. Sandwhich game for Sacramento -- first game at home after a long road trip. Next game on the road again.
 
Captain
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Posted: #11
F@ck yea man. Good luck
It's all probabilities
 
Legend
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Posted: #12
Saturday, December 10 NBA:

DOUBLE PLAY: MILWAUKEE +2½ -115 for 1st HALF $115 to win $100
DOUBLE PLAY: UTAH -3½ -110 for 1st HALF $110 to win $100

Double-up on Milwaukee 2nd Half if 1st Half bet loses.
Double-up on Utah 2nd half if 1st Half bet loses.

You get the idea.

Two chance to be right instead of one chance when betting the whole game. Two chances to be wrong but lets have the ledger speak for itself at the end of the season.

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #13
Brutal schedule for SAC. Just got home from a long road trip. Now on the road again. In high elevation, of all places.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #14
 
Legend
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Posted: #15
Haftime

SAC 50
UTA 52

Play:

UTAH -4 -110for 2nd HALF 
 
Legend
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Posted: #16
Monday, December 12 NBA:

I think the Pacers blew their wad to get a win last game. Hornets steaming.

REGULAR PLAY
Charlotte Hornets -½ -105 for 1st Half

1unit play. Price on the sheet.

Double-up on Hornets 2nd Half if 1st Half bet loses.

One more play coming.

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #17
Monday's updated NBA card:

REGULAR PLAY: HORNETS -½ -105 for 1st HALF $75 to win $71.43
DOUBLE PLAY: NUGGETS -½ -105 for 1st HALF $75 to win $71.43
REGULAR PLAY: TRAILBLAZERS +5½ -110 for 1st HALF $55 to win $50

Not sure if all these are 1st Half winners but... there always a chance to make the money back on the 2nd Half line. We shall see.


 
Legend
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Posted: #18
Should be REGULAR PLAY on Nuggets.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #19
gl
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
Thanks HK! Spreadsheet is dope!

Q: Why'd you pass on HOU and TOR? Both are really awesome @ home and currently ATS worthy.
 
Legend
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Posted: #21
Tuesday, December 13 NBA:

REGULAR PLAY: WARRIORS -4 -110 for 1st QUARTER $55 to win $50
REGULAR PLAY: TIMBERWOVES +3½ -115 for 1st HALF $55.20 to win $48
DOUBLE PLAY: THUNDER +1½ -115 for 1st HALF $115 to win $100
REGULAR PLAY: THUNDER PK for 4th QUARTER $-110 $55 to win $50

Warriors haven't covered the 1st Quarter in a while now. Lets see if they come out firing against a soft defensive team.

The magic number for the Indiana Pacers is 110 -- they score that much, they win. The magic number for the Portland Trailblazers is somewhere in the 200 range. They score 120 points and still can't win a game. Same 'ole problem -- can't close out a game. I will take Thunder 1st Half for now and 4th Quarter, knowing what i know about the Trailblazers.

7 is always a key number. Timberwolves can't stop the Bulls but if they hit their shots they will stay within range. Remember, Minnesota is one of the worse 2nd Half scoring team in the league. Bet accordingly. 

There may be some 2nd Half plays, there may not depending on how the teams perform. I expect a tale-of-two-halves and several lead changes in the OKC/POR game. 

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by TSBTBasketball:

Thanks HK! Spreadsheet is dope!

Q: Why'd you pass on HOU and TOR? Both are really awesome @ home and currently ATS worthy.

Yeah. Toronto is that one team the books lose money on and they just have to swallow the loss 8 times out of every 10 games.

I should have bet on the Raptors if not just to test my luck because i am 0-for with games involving the Raptors. Forgot about it.
 
Captain
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Posted: #23
GL tonight HK. 
 
Legend
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Posted: #24
At it again.

Thursday, December 15 NBA:

TNT PRIMETIME SPECIAL: BULLS PK -110 $175 to win $159.09
DOUBLE PLAY: PELICANS MONEYLINE -135 $135 to win $100
TNT PRIMETIME SPECIAL: WARRIORS -5 -115 for 1st QUARTER $115 to win $100
TNT PRIMETIME SPECIAL: WARRIORS -16½ -120 $150 to win $120

GL!

 
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #25
Bulls prime time choke artist unbelievable smh
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