I am definitely a homer..dont know what it is just love this team. Promised myself last year after i lost over 2 large NO MORE Knicks! Well, you know how that goes, cruising along with college football and NFL holding my owm...and then BAM..NBA -- NY Knicks.......my buddy just asked me how am I doing, i said great aside from the $1500 i am down on the knicks again. if I ever post, JUST FADE Best of luck... great posts
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:
Yep. Game Over.
most TNT games = one-sided easy winners; no come-back possible
Counted my loss already.
Bulls couldn't handle Minnesota's speed and now they face another hungry young team. Hindsight, huh.
I don't want to see the Warriors win by 15 points tonight. Either they blow out the Knicks or the Knicks win straight-up w/o Rose & Melo.
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I am definitely a homer..dont know what it is just love this team. Promised myself last year after i lost over 2 large NO MORE Knicks! Well, you know how that goes, cruising along with college football and NFL holding my owm...and then BAM..NBA -- NY Knicks.......my buddy just asked me how am I doing, i said great aside from the $1500 i am down on the knicks again. if I ever post, JUST FADE Best of luck... great posts
Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:
Yep. Game Over.
most TNT games = one-sided easy winners; no come-back possible
Counted my loss already.
Bulls couldn't handle Minnesota's speed and now they face another hungry young team. Hindsight, huh.
I don't want to see the Warriors win by 15 points tonight. Either they blow out the Knicks or the Knicks win straight-up w/o Rose & Melo.
Another losing day on TNT Thursday. I was right to take the Warriors 1st Quarter and i should have just taken Warriors 1st Half and leave it at that. 70% of the public on Golden State you can just feel that imminent back-door cover. Anytime you see that huge percentage on one side on a beloved team -- buyer beware.
Friday, December 16 NBA:
Not sure what i want to do with the Bulls today. Public all over the Bulls again so i might just make a small play on the Bulls.
A few things to keep an eye on.
The King's December schedule is absolutely brutal -- only 5 games at home, 10 games on the road with a bunch of sandwich games. Their only reprieve was against a floundering Lakers squad. They will have sandwich games at home on the 20th against Portland and a rematch against Memphis on the 26th. Tonight's game is their 3rd game in four nights. They got blasted by a hot Houston team and now they face a Memphis team that is much harder to score against. Mike Conley makes an early return. Cousins set to return as well. The bench scoring will be the difference tonight. Zach Randolph is 6 points better (16.9 points/game in 42 games played against SAC) over his season average when playing against Sacramento. Willie Caullie-Stein cannot match Z-Bo's dominance over the Kings. I will bet on the Grizzlies with confidence tonight.
The books are tired of losing their behind off on these two teams: Toronto and Houston. Not that you can't trust Toronto tonight but you definitely can't put stock on the Atlanta Hawks. I trust the Pelicans. This huge line is designed to even things a bit. But, of course, the public is content to lay the 12 points tonight. I will take those points as i like what i am seeing from the Pelicans the past two games. Take away the decisive plays by Draymond Green and Kevin Durant, the Pelicans was primed to upset the Warriors 3 days ago.
Lakers/Philadelphia: if Joel Embid plays i think the 76ers is a good bet.
Four games with the key number 7 tonight. Clippers are 1-5 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. So there. Despite the losses, Miami is still playing hard. With the return of Justice Winslow their perimeter defense have improved drastically. He is a superior lateral defender over Derrick Williams. Tough test for them tonight but i will gamble with the points.
REGULAR PLAY: BULLS -5 -120 $60 to win $50
REGULAR PLAY: GRIZZLIES -6 -110 $55 to win $50
FADE THE PUBLIC PLAY OF THE DAY #1: PELICANS +12 -110 $110 to win $100
FADE THE PUBLIC PLAY OF THE DAY #2: HEAT +7½ -120 $120 to win $100
GL!
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Another losing day on TNT Thursday. I was right to take the Warriors 1st Quarter and i should have just taken Warriors 1st Half and leave it at that. 70% of the public on Golden State you can just feel that imminent back-door cover. Anytime you see that huge percentage on one side on a beloved team -- buyer beware.
Friday, December 16 NBA:
Not sure what i want to do with the Bulls today. Public all over the Bulls again so i might just make a small play on the Bulls.
A few things to keep an eye on.
The King's December schedule is absolutely brutal -- only 5 games at home, 10 games on the road with a bunch of sandwich games. Their only reprieve was against a floundering Lakers squad. They will have sandwich games at home on the 20th against Portland and a rematch against Memphis on the 26th. Tonight's game is their 3rd game in four nights. They got blasted by a hot Houston team and now they face a Memphis team that is much harder to score against. Mike Conley makes an early return. Cousins set to return as well. The bench scoring will be the difference tonight. Zach Randolph is 6 points better (16.9 points/game in 42 games played against SAC) over his season average when playing against Sacramento. Willie Caullie-Stein cannot match Z-Bo's dominance over the Kings. I will bet on the Grizzlies with confidence tonight.
The books are tired of losing their behind off on these two teams: Toronto and Houston. Not that you can't trust Toronto tonight but you definitely can't put stock on the Atlanta Hawks. I trust the Pelicans. This huge line is designed to even things a bit. But, of course, the public is content to lay the 12 points tonight. I will take those points as i like what i am seeing from the Pelicans the past two games. Take away the decisive plays by Draymond Green and Kevin Durant, the Pelicans was primed to upset the Warriors 3 days ago.
Lakers/Philadelphia: if Joel Embid plays i think the 76ers is a good bet.
Four games with the key number 7 tonight. Clippers are 1-5 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. So there. Despite the losses, Miami is still playing hard. With the return of Justice Winslow their perimeter defense have improved drastically. He is a superior lateral defender over Derrick Williams. Tough test for them tonight but i will gamble with the points.
REGULAR PLAY: BULLS -5 -120 $60 to win $50
REGULAR PLAY: GRIZZLIES -6 -110 $55 to win $50
FADE THE PUBLIC PLAY OF THE DAY #1: PELICANS +12 -110 $110 to win $100
FADE THE PUBLIC PLAY OF THE DAY #2: HEAT +7½ -120 $120 to win $100
One thing for sure, your Heat covered in the very last minute b/c LAC spread was the heaviest public bet spread at 88%. /// Lakers' fast breaks broke 76ers - 22 point lead and never trailed.
Nothing 'bout Bulls changed, so same result = Blowout Bucks win.
The UNLUCKY #13 all too often works well: 12 trips to Memphis & 12 losses, so #13 Sac beats 'em.
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One thing for sure, your Heat covered in the very last minute b/c LAC spread was the heaviest public bet spread at 88%. /// Lakers' fast breaks broke 76ers - 22 point lead and never trailed.
Nothing 'bout Bulls changed, so same result = Blowout Bucks win.
The UNLUCKY #13 all too often works well: 12 trips to Memphis & 12 losses, so #13 Sac beats 'em.
I will most likely just play the ESP and TNT prime-time games from now on until Feb 23 (after the All-Star Break)
I had the Spurs/Clippers game circled. That was before Blake Griffin had to have surgery. The Clippers clobbered the Spurs pretty good earlier in the season. Tony Parker wasn't healthy yet and Danny Green wasn't playing either. I guess if people pick the Spurs tonight they figure this to be the difference -- plus revenge. Blake Griffin lead everybody with 29 points in that first bout. That is an equation that should lead to a Spurs victory. Fundamentally that makes sense. Throw fundamentals out with the trash when it comes to NBA games. The weirdest things usually happen on TNT games.
According to my charts the Spurs had below average team mojo on Nov 5. They have that same bad team mojo again for this match-up.
Coach Rivers have opted to start Paul Pierce in place of Griffin. But Pierce is only good for about 15 minutes nowadays. Clippers will need production from someone else. If Speights can hit most of his threes, the Clippers will be fine. I just can't see anyone putting up 29 points again on the Spurs.
Tony Parker isn't going to light up the highlight reels at this day and age. But Patty Mills have been an excellent option for the team. There are many pieces on the team that just clicks -- they don't miss Tim Duncan at all.
The public backing the Spurs at about a 75% clip tonight.
Sticking with my guns and playing:
Los Angeles Clippers Moneyline +103
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I will most likely just play the ESP and TNT prime-time games from now on until Feb 23 (after the All-Star Break)
I had the Spurs/Clippers game circled. That was before Blake Griffin had to have surgery. The Clippers clobbered the Spurs pretty good earlier in the season. Tony Parker wasn't healthy yet and Danny Green wasn't playing either. I guess if people pick the Spurs tonight they figure this to be the difference -- plus revenge. Blake Griffin lead everybody with 29 points in that first bout. That is an equation that should lead to a Spurs victory. Fundamentally that makes sense. Throw fundamentals out with the trash when it comes to NBA games. The weirdest things usually happen on TNT games.
According to my charts the Spurs had below average team mojo on Nov 5. They have that same bad team mojo again for this match-up.
Coach Rivers have opted to start Paul Pierce in place of Griffin. But Pierce is only good for about 15 minutes nowadays. Clippers will need production from someone else. If Speights can hit most of his threes, the Clippers will be fine. I just can't see anyone putting up 29 points again on the Spurs.
Tony Parker isn't going to light up the highlight reels at this day and age. But Patty Mills have been an excellent option for the team. There are many pieces on the team that just clicks -- they don't miss Tim Duncan at all.
The public backing the Spurs at about a 75% clip tonight.
One Gobert free-throw away from a nice day yesterday. Under bettors sweating in that Utah/Lakers game. That is why i rarely play totals. The mathematic of averages is spot on for totals sometimes.
Wednesday, December 28 NBA:
REGULAR PLAY: KNICKS +2 -110 for 1st HALF $50 to win $45.45
REGULAR PLAY: BUCKS +1½ -105 for 1st HALF $75 to win $71.43
Will play Bucks 2nd Half if Milwaukee trail or tie at the break. Not sure what i will do with the Knicks for the full game. Public favor the Knicks tonight. Hawks do have horrible team mojo in this match-up. Maybe the game will go Under 212.
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One Gobert free-throw away from a nice day yesterday. Under bettors sweating in that Utah/Lakers game. That is why i rarely play totals. The mathematic of averages is spot on for totals sometimes.
Wednesday, December 28 NBA:
REGULAR PLAY: KNICKS +2 -110 for 1st HALF $50 to win $45.45
REGULAR PLAY: BUCKS +1½ -105 for 1st HALF $75 to win $71.43
Will play Bucks 2nd Half if Milwaukee trail or tie at the break. Not sure what i will do with the Knicks for the full game. Public favor the Knicks tonight. Hawks do have horrible team mojo in this match-up. Maybe the game will go Under 212.
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I am definitely a homer..dont know what it is just love this team. Promised myself last year after i lost over 2 large NO MORE Knicks! Well, you know how that goes, cruising along with college football and NFL holding my owm...and then BAM..NBA -- NY Knicks.......my buddy just asked me how am I doing, i said great aside from the $1500 i am down on the knicks again. if I ever post, JUST FADE Best of luck... great posts 
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