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NBA O/U System Plays Monday 11/21

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Prospect
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Posted: #126
Anyone other fellow 76ers over takers? 
 
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Posted: #127
If im NOT mistakn ALL o/u's r Winners tdy.. with 2gms to go..WOW..great start!!
 
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Posted: #128
hell yeah.. I'm 7 for 7 so far and the next 4 looks right on target. gonna be sick azz sweep tonight..

keeping the track of 2nd half totals also and those are all hitting right on the money too and the ATS doing pretty good.
 
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Posted: #129
Raptors hits too 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #130
Aw what!? The flashscore said it was finished then just added another 2 to take it over! What the hell! 
 
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Posted: #131
On the spreadsheet, TOR/HOU was at 216.5 and it totalled at 217. But On my book I was able to get it at under 218. 

Could have been a win for some of you
 
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Posted: #132
I bought extra point on the raptors to under 217.5 because the total was too close for comfort. Thank god!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #133
Gotta love the pointless shooting foul at the end of the game to ruin the under on TOR@HOU
 
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by HaroldG:

Finally it did, only took 2 OT's HAHA! but heyy, money is money boys! 

I'll take it. Glad we hung in there and didn't give up on it! 
 
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Posted: #135
All I can say: give this man (TKWSNx93) a cookie! 
 
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Posted: #136
Ah glad some of you still managed to hit!
 
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Posted: #137
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

I bought extra point on the raptors to under 217.5 because the total was too close for comfort. Thank god!!

Nice. I thought 217 would get it done but a senseless foul at the end of the game ruined it. 
 
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Posted: #138
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

I bought extra point on the raptors to under 217.5 because the total was too close for comfort. Thank god!!
Wow! Amazing what a difference a half of a point can make
 
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Posted: #139
Quote Originally Posted by The_Extremist:

hell yeah.. I'm 7 for 7 so far and the next 4 looks right on target. gonna be sick azz sweep tonight..

keeping the track of 2nd half totals also and those are all hitting right on the money too and the ATS doing pretty good.

Fantastic! Can we get some plays? 
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

Thank you, this is really interesting. I sent you a request.

The system has 6 picks tonight.

MEM@PHI o193.5
BOS@BKN u216
OKC@SAC u213
LAL@GSW u228
MIN@NOP o208
ATL@IND u209


The system that you are using worked perfectly today. Could you add me or post the system picks always? Thanks 
 
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Posted: #141
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

I really appreciate the praise everyone. I love working on systems like this and helping the community (hopefully) make some money!

From the multiple requests and feedback, I have added notable injuries and trends to the spreadsheet. I will also continue to update the Book Lines as often as I can (I am a college student so this may only be 1-2 times/day).

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xYGJNKFVd1i9CTgDM0-mP_lXrHYohFEZgIKh1w5HAcM

If you want help updating lines or injuries shoot me a pm, happy to help out. 
MoMoney
 
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Posted: #142
i thought the spread sheet only had 2 plays 

there was a 3rd play but it was lakers and they were missing key players so i  stayed away.
the rest were leans right?

are you fellas also playing leans hence getting 6 plays?

 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by rooboybaz:

i thought the spread sheet only had 2 plays 

there was a 3rd play but it was lakers and they were missing key players so i  stayed away.
the rest were leans right?

are you fellas also playing leans hence getting 6 plays?

Check again, because there are definitely 6 plays (including LAL). I have a table on the right side tracking it all
 
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Posted: #144
Even if LAL@GSW doesn't hit, this just further shows we need to pay better attention to injuries and other factors. We will still have a fantastic record regardless
 
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Posted: #145
Quote Originally Posted by tan-the-man:

Really bad at explaining stuff but it was just a simple average of Hoff/Adef and Aoff/Hdef. 

For example: Timberwolves -2 @ Pelicans

If AWAY is favored then:
avg Aoff/Hdef = 107
avg Hoff/Adef = 109

Score prediction: 107-109 Pelicans

It's not perfect so I'll be tracking it for a while before I place any bets on it. The reason I play Pelicans is that they are at home and been on a hot streak. AD been playing good and is underdog, plus system spitted out Pelican win straight up so why not... Pelicans +2Please do not tail.


How do I find the Hoff/Aoff & Aoff/Adef?? Thanks for responding
 
Captain
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Posted: #146
8-1 with 4 pending...
If you look on the spread sheet there is two areas...
One is picks that fit the system by more than a couple points,
The other column is if you played all games regardless of how close the system is to the Vegas Line...

 
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Posted: #147
Quote Originally Posted by TKWSNx93:

Check again, because there are definitely 6 plays (including LAL). I have a table on the right side tracking it all


ahhhh

i was merely looking at the left side where you have 'LEANS' and 'TAKE'

good stuff though. love the idea of this
 
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Posted: #148
Quote Originally Posted by Vapster:

Hello all. I used to use this 'System' which I'm sure others have tried/used in the past. They system is simple. On Covers, go to match ups, stat analysis. You take the team totals. Example:

PHO: Off: 108.4 Def:114.9
WASH Off 102.6 Def: 106

Round Up/Down Numbers:
PHO 108+115 =223
WAS 103+106 =209
The difference between the two numbers is 14 divide by 2=7
209+7 =216

The line stands at 219. A three point difference then our 216. Doesn't wanna make me run to bet the under, as I like at least a 5 point cushion.

Mia/Phi = 199.5/ Vegas Line = 199.- 0.5 off
Pho/Was = 216/ Vegas Line =219 - 3 off
Mem/CHA = 200.5/ Vegas Line = 195.5 - 5 off
GSW/IND = 220/ Vegas Line = 219 - 1 off
HOU/DET = 204 /Vegas Line = 206 - 2 off
ORL/MIL = 199.5/ Vegas Line = 202 - 2.5 off
BOS/MINN = 207.5/ Vegas Line = 207.5 - 0 off
DAL/SAS = 195/ Vegas Line = 182.5 - 12.5 off
TOR/LAC = 208/ Vegas Line = 208 - 0 off

Now, obviously that Dal/Sas line is WAY off. This is where you come in. Look at the numbers above. Do you know of a player that's hurt? A team that's been on the road and maybe tired? Anything at all that you think gives us a reason to play an Over/Under one way or the other tonight...

Thanks All,
Vapster




Like it...

I also do 2 more lines with that
2nd I do the same thing for last 5 games only,
3rd I do the last five games, only baskets for each team playing, then add them together...

For example:
The O/U for PHX / ORL tonight was 208
Yearly PHX = 222
Yearly ORL = 192
TOTAL = 207 ......   only 1 pt spread right,

But last five games:
PHX = 224.2
ORL = 185.6
TOTAL = 204.9, 3 pts spread

Now only baskets scored by the teams playing (last five games):
PHX = 109.2
ORL = 92.2
TOTAL = 201.4 ...... 6.5 pts from the O/U

After checking the injured list, Chandler and Warren out, who combine for 25 pts, 16 Reb Per game this year...

I was actually able to get an U 209.5 @ 1.95
8 pts off with slightly better payout

If you have the time, these extra steps can make it happen...

Sometimes it's just injuries though......... LAC / DAL was already a 4.5 - 5.5 differential, but seeing old Dirk was back tonight gave me that edge to up my Over from 192 up to 198.5 for a 2.60 multiple.
They cleared it easily with 228 total.

Cheers,

Nate
 
Prospect
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Posted: #149
DEN@UTH hits

9-1 with 3 pending

3-0 with 3 pending (with limits)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xYGJNKFVd1i9CTgDM0-mP_lXrHYohFEZgIKh1w5HAcM

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #150
NBA_nate My head is starting to spin! Did you check the spread sheet?

TKWSNx93 As the nerd of this thread, (and that's o.k. I learned from the movie 21 Jump Street, that nerds are cool now...) Is anything NBA_nate saying making sense?
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