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NBA Playoffs

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All-Star
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Posted: #176
Refs for GSW/MEM GM5. Leaning Warriors.

Ken Mauer:

5-4 SU for the Home Team. Ref'd Memphis game5 vs Blazers - Griz won at Home by 5pts.


Ed Malloy:

4-3 SU for Road Team. Ref'd the same Memphis game 5 v Blzers w/ Mauer - Griz Home win.


Bills Spooner:

2-1 SU for Home Team.

Total: 10-9 small advantage to Home Team

----------------------------------------------------------------

Not much to go by again.

let's peep their general stats:


Kney Mauer:

Home Team ATS: 32-37-2
Home Team W/L: 35-36

When line is between 5-9.5: 9-5

Ed Malloy:

Home Team ATS: 40-32-2
Home Team W/L: 45-29

When line is between 5-9.5: 13-12

Bill Spooner:

Home Team ATS: 29-34-1
Home Team W/L: 33-31

When line is between 5-9.5: 7-13

Total Home Team ATS: 101-103-5
Total Home Team W/L: 113-96

Total when line is between 5-9.5: 29-30 Against the Home Fave


Conclusio/Predictionn: Same as above.....GSW wins but Memphis covers. Lean: MEM +9.5

 
Legend
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Posted: #177
Hey man, w/ not much edge w/ ats and SU on the refs in this one I feel maybe there's a bigger discrepancy on the total?
 
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Posted: #178
Sorry mate, i have absolutely no feel for totals in these next 2 series.


 
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Posted: #179
Leaning:

WASH +8
MEM +9.5

Since winner of game 5 goes on to win the series something like 85% of the times i'm liking both the Hawks & Warriors to win game 5 here. Covering the game though is another thing altogether. Officiating crew has no clear edge for either road or home team - i think it may be much like the Cavs/Bulls game yesterday where Cavs won SU but Bulls covered ATS (depending of course on what line you go and wether you teased the pts)
 
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Posted: #180
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Leaning:WASH +8MEM +9.5Since winner of game 5 goes on to win the series something like 85% of the times i'm liking both the Hawks & Warriors to win game 5 here. Covering the game though is another thing altogether. Officiating crew has no clear edge for either road or home team - i think it may be much like the Cavs/Bulls game yesterday where Cavs won SU but Bulls covered ATS (depending of course on what line you go and wether you teased the pts)


I think both home teams win in a blowout
 
Prospect
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Posted: #181
Have a strong feeling grizzlies win straight up just to add to the drama +400 ml will back that up taking 9.5 to be safe good luck and thanks for your insight
 
Captain
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Posted: #182
Tony Allen (hamstring) is "more likely than not to miss Game 5," according to ESPN's Marc Stein.
Stein adds that this could change "barring some sort of U-turn in the next few hours. Allen's left hamstring has been an issue since March and a few days off could go a long way. Jeff Green is likely going to get the start while Vince Carter and Courtney Lee would play more as well. May 13 - 5:15 PM

https://www.rotoworld.com/recent/nba/1065/tony-allen
 
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Posted: #183
Quote Originally Posted by Lowme2:

Have a strong feeling grizzlies win straight up just to add to the drama +400 ml will back that up taking 9.5 to be safe good luck and thanks for your insight

If Memphis are supposed to advance then they will win SU. I don't think the league will have a small market team like Memphis and a boring team at that advance over an exciting team like the Warriors who will generate more revenue than Memphis.
 
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Posted: #184
Plays:

WASH +8.5
MEM +10.5



58-34 Playoffs



NBA Playoffs Series Wager:

CHI @ 2.85
LAC @ 1.60

 
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Posted: #185
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Plays:

WASH +8.5



1-0 so far
 
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Posted: #186
Gs getting all the calls.Or more like,grizz is getting nothing.
 
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Posted: #187
Quote Originally Posted by 3BallBomber:

Plays:

MEM +10.5





1-1 day


59-35 Playoffs




Will await ref assignment for the next games.
 
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Posted: #188
Quote Originally Posted by MoreGeezer:

Gs getting all the calls.Or more like,grizz is getting nothing.

Really? I didn't watch the game...perhaps that explains the blowout. Eitherway i was on the wrong side. There wasn't really much to go by capping that game apart from Allen being injured. I did not expect a blowout though.
 
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Posted: #189
Now, something really interesting about the Refs for the CLE/CHI GM6 (in wich i am leaning Chicago).....particularly Dan Crawford & Marc Davis........check this out:




Danny Crawford:

5-2 SU for the Home Team. Ref'd Bulls/Cavs game2 - Cavs won at Home by 8pts.


Marc Davis:

5-2 SU for Road Team. Ref'd EXACTLY the same games w/ Dan Crawford. He has not ref'd any other game w/ any other referee!


Sean Wright:

3-2 SU for Home Team. Ref'd game 5 of Bucks/Bulls series - Bucks won on the road by 6pts.


Total: 8-4  advantage to Home Team




The fact that both Davis has ref'd only games w/ Crawford these playoffs have a record for the home team is all i really need to support my lean on Chicago & go ahead and turn it into a play - perhaps even a big play here. But let's peep their general stats anyway:

----------------------------------------------------------------


Dan Crawford:

Home Team ATS: 29-39-1
Home Team W/L: 42-27

When line is between 0-4.5: 8-6

Marc Davis:

Home Team ATS: 34-42-1
Home Team W/L: 40-37

When line is between 0-4.5: 8-6

Sean Wright:

Home Team ATS: 35-30-2
Home Team W/L: 39-28

When line is between 0-4.5: 11-7

Total Home Team ATS: 98-111-4
Total Home Team W/L: 121-92

Total when line is between 5-9.5: 27-19 advantage Home Fave



-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conclusion/Predictionn: Chicago all the way here SU & the points. The fact that i had predicted Bulls to win game 6 and then Cavs game 7 these ref stats just make me even more confident. THis is a series that the league MUST push to go the distance and have their game 7 ratings bonanza.
 
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Posted: #190
Sorry, correction...

Marc Davis:

5-2 SU for "Home" Team

I did not add both Davis & Crawford since they both ref'd the exact same games but if i was to add all of them the total would be 13-6 in favor of the home Team.

Also forgot to add that the general stat has for the most part gone against the refs 2015 playoff stats - as we see above refs total for Home ATS is against the home team. I'd much rather work w/ refs current playoffs stats/tendencies.....it's working so far.

 
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Posted: #191
Refs for HOU/LAC GM6. We all remember Scotty Foster for Cavs/Bulls game 4 that saved me some money when i was about to back Bulls until i saw his not very home friendly at all. Let's see if the rest of the crew are road refs also.


Scott Foster:

7-1 SU for the ROAD Team. Ref'd SAS/LAC game5 - SAS on the ROAD by 4pts.


Pat Fraher:

3-1 SU for Road Team. Ref'd game 4 LAC/SAS game4 - LAC won on the ROAD by 9pts.


Jason Phillips:

3-2 SU for ROAD Team.



Total: 13-4 advantage to ROAD Team



Screw going over the gen stats. It's pretty clear here who i put my money on.

 
Legend
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Posted: #192
Good stuff bomber. I'll be at the game and keep an eye on them. I'm all ready in on Bulls ML big.

BOL. Thanks for posting
 
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Posted: #193
Plays:

CHI SU  Big
CHI -2    Big
CLE/CHI UNDER 192 Regular

Fairly sure Dan Crawford & Marc Davis has been sent here to extend this series. I like that those stats support my initial lean on the Bulls. Gotta trust & keep riding what's been making me money the last 3 seasons now.



HOU +9.5   Big
HOU/LAC UNDER 219.5  Regular

Here's what i wrote about Scott Foster in the Cavs/Bulls GM4

"Initially i was going to ride Chicago for gm4. It seems like everybody is expecting a Cleveland bounce back game. My view was that surely they couldn't try to fix 2 consecutive games for the Cavs after that terribly officiated gm3. The league can't be that blatant!?!?!

Well it looks like they're sending Crook Scott Foster for this game. I just looked at his record in the playoffs and this dude is 6-1 SU for the road team. I'm not sure ATS-wise but from brief look at scores in those games he has a positive record for road team ATS.

Scott Foster now 7-1 SU for the road team in this years Playoffs. Fairly sure positive ATS for the road team also."

Fosters stats for Road teams speaks for itself. I mean it got me to change my mind about making a play for Chicago in that game and back the Cavs solely based on the fact Cavs was the road team that game. The fact that the rest of the refs all combine 13-4 SU for the Road Team just makes this a clear play for me. Wether it hits? we'll see i guess....but again, i gotta continue to ride what's been working for me. Foster came up daises for me before, let's see if he can't do it twice for me!


 
MVP
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Posted: #194
Interesting read 3ball, GL tonight. I hope Chicago and Houston can pull off some wins!!!
 
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Posted: #195
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Good stuff bomber. I'll be at the game and keep an eye on them. I'm all ready in on Bulls ML big.

BOL. Thanks for posting

Isn't it despicable that we can resort to observing officiating stats to determine winners rather than team/player match ups!?!? I mean i'm 59-35 atm in the Playoffs, winning most plays based off referees stats & tendencies. I'm not sure i've once made at least 1 play based on who i thought was the better team, had better match ups/players, more motivation etc.

For those who curse, point & laugh @ those who state that the league is rigged/fixed i am testament that it is indeed true....since i've made massive profits for the last 3 seasons now solely offa the fixed/rigged/league agenda angle.

Good luck by the way mate and enjoy the game lol. Throw stuff a the refs for me
 
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Posted: #196
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

Interesting read 3ball, GL tonight. I hope Chicago and Houston can pull off some wins!!!


It's going to be interesting if these ref stats continue to determine winners. Bodes well for me moving forward. Good luck today mate
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #197
GL 3ball
 
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Posted: #198
thank you for early post, 3Ball. 
 
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Posted: #199
Calbear, Bum


Big day today, if most these plays hit i will be up quite big!



59-35 Playoffs



NBA Playoffs Series Wager:

CHI @ 2.85
LAC @ 1.60
 
 
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Posted: #200
Super Line & Total Double

Chicago Bulls +2.5 & Under 197.5
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