Posted:
#276
game --- 0-1. lost 3.3 units
1st half--- 0-1, lost 1.1 units
totals --- 1-1 , lost 1.2 units
That's really aggravating losing on the under, geez louise games just keep going over, looked like we were in great shape to get the under then a barrage of scoring in the 4th with quick shots, unreal.
Public joes are rolling on the overs, now on a 3-0, 4-1, and monster longer 9-2 run, and 5-1 run in games 70% or better, unreal.
And incredible 41-25 in this years playoffs. The public can and often does go on incredible runs, blindly fading them is fools-gold but fading them off these runs can be productive.
Cavs due a regression , game 1 was not the best spot to back Celtics even with Cavs due a regression, as Celtics were off a nice run of their own and a game 7 win.
Celtics in a much better spot here and Cavs still due a regression , Celtics should be in this game with a chance SU and I would expect Cavs to shoot not as good as past number of games, we should get the Celtics and the under here.
We also have a large line adjustment off game 1 open of 3.5, with a 6 or 5.5 line now, big adjustment based on over-reaction to game 1 , we always fade these over-reactions in the long run those extra points will pay off.
Would be nice to see a large line adjustment in the totals with everyone going hysteric over the overs but seems the sharps keep backing the unders and driving line down a half point to 1 pt.
If we see that here we up our play on the under.
Celtics +6 over Cavs --- 5.5 units
Celtics 1st half +2.5 (+100) --- 2 units
UNDER 220.5 --- 2.2 units
1st half UNDER 110.5 --- 1.1 units
We need a win here and especially true with Kawhi in limbo, our big series we could of had a possible strong score goes up in smoke. And now we are left with this series which the Cavs have turned their game up from regular season and we may not have as big an advantage, but here we very well could have as Cavs due a regression and that is a great spot to play Celtics, if we can not win here not sure we can win fading Cavs unless the enter the regression mode again.
0
, Celtics should get a cover at least 1 of the next 2 games and we should get another under.
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