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NBA Totals Calc's

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Posted: #151
ok thanks calc! best of luck tonight.. riding pacers 1h under kings +6.5 1h and full game under!
 
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Posted: #152
YOur picks are looking good tn, by way of public and the lines move, BOL!!!
 
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Posted: #153
great work calc...whats ur record so far?
 
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Posted: #154
Hey Danny boy, it says on my last post where my picks were.  I'm almost at 100 plays and I'll probably run around 57% for the first 100, which is slightly less than I wanted to be hitting.  For everyone's info, at that time I'm going to start keeping track of the second '100' bets separately, as my betting criteria have changed since I started.  Once the second '100' starts I will be keeping it to the following criteria:

1. Difference must be minimum -3 for unders and +5 for overs.  Nothing less than those differences will be bet...

2. Each of the 7-game, 12-game, and the 20-game averages must all suggest the same play (all be under, or all be over).

3. Teams in question can't have had an important trade/injury/break-out-game in the last 3 games which may not have shown up in data thus far. 

Those will be the new set-in-stone criteria to get my average above 60% for the second '100'.  For a good chunk of the first '100', I played everything regardless of the difference being 0.05 or 10.00.
Cheers



 
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Posted: #155

very nice...so what are ur plays tonight if you don't mind...

appreciate you putting in all the work !!!!

 
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Posted: #156
Take a look at page 6.  They're there, along with all the data....

"
My plays tonight:
Sac-Ind --> Under 
Nyk-Cha --> Over  
Okc-Mem --> Over
Cle-Lal --> Under   " 
 
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Posted: #157
1-2 with lakers pending
 
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Posted: #158
We are all due for the big night tonight
 
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Posted: #159
These 40 pt quarters better stop when we are taking the under. Grrrr. Let's get back on track. The show must go on
 
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Posted: #160
12 games tonight I'm feeling a big night
 
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Posted: #161
Shite,
Last night was rough.  Tonight is going to be my last night for my first 100 plays, btw, so I'll be starting a new thread and starting from zero with my new criteria being used from day 1. 
With that said, here are my plays for tonight and my overall stats so far. 

Last night: 1-3
YTD: 52-43-1 = 55%

Team 1    Team 2    Line    Difference    Play    Expected Total
  Chi          Orl      180.50     -8.39       Under      172.11
  Cha         Phi      207.00     5.46        Over        212.46
  Mia         Was    196.00     -2.16       Under      193.84
  Tor          Bos     196.50     -1.73       Under      194.77
  Mem       Mil       186.50      2.11       Over        188.61
  Sac        Min       218.50     6.76       Over         225.26
  Hou        Nop      204.50     -0.34      Under       204.16
  Uta         Sas      201.00     1.69       Over         202.69
  Lal          Phx      212.50     0.53       Over         213.03
  Cle         Por       211.50     -0.37      Under        211.13
  Den        Gsw     212.50     -2.89      Under        209.61
  Dal         Lac       206.00     0.33       Over         206.33

For simplicity in coming up to 100 games even, I'm playing exactly 5 games tonight.  Hopefully we finish off 5-0!  Here they are:

My plays tonight:
Chi-Orl --> Under 
Cha-Phi --> Over  
Mia-Was --> Under
Sac-Min --> Over
Den-Gsw --> Under  
 
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Posted: #162
In calc we trust! Let's get some green
 
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Posted: #163
Lets do this!!!
 
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Posted: #164

focking wizards with 43 in the 1st qtr

under is dead.

 
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Posted: #165
Yeesh. If it wasn't for the 40 pt quarters I may have 40 more units
 
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Posted: #166
God the bulls suck shit. Maybe deng should be defensive player of the year cause since they traded him they can't play defense for shit. Going to give up 100 pts to a magic team without afflalo and vucevic
 
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Posted: #167
bulls under dead
 
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Posted: #168
bobcats over dead
 
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Posted: #169
damn bro. tough stretch. stay positive
 
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Posted: #170
Your system shittt don't look good bro. Try to find another system please bro
 
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Posted: #171
OMG minn miracle
 
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Posted: #172
Keep it going mAn it will turn around.
 
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Posted: #173
Are you starting a new thread
 
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Posted: #174
@Calculationer good luck. Yeah, there was few games in row that were lost, but your numbers were spot on. 
I usually do calculation and than compare it to your numbers and in 90% thay match. 

What are your thoughts for today? Hawe you thought to take some outside influence into account? 

BK-ATL today is no play for me. My numbers say Under, but they are playing in London. Temperatures this year in Europe are crazy. This is the warmest winter ever, 15C + it will be show off game for european public. If somebody would put a gun to my head, I would rather go for Over. 

OKC-HOU - under (Mostly because Westbrook is not playing). They are 3-7 without him.

NY-IND - under . Plain numbers. Only one calculation says 187. Everything else is around 170. 

Good luck tonight. Waiting for your numbers. 

 
 
 
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Posted: #175
Last night was -$ for everyone I know !
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