Posted:
#176
Quote Originally Posted by smartbets:
Season 50-27 +76.45
Denver +1 -108 2u
Denver/Memphis are two teams who are going to hit an ATS skid here very soon. Denver has a rough stretch coming, and Memphis is going to suffer without Randolph. Memphis had what, 8 ATS wins in a row. What goes up must come down.
Now for the game itself. This play is all about the schedule spot.
For those who don't know how I bet or what spot I am talking about, it is very simple. Memphis is coming off of a 4 game trip. This would normally be enough, but to add onto the spot, they get one day of rest off of the trip and then get a back to back vs Spurs and Nuggets.
I would've made this a 4u play if Memphis would've covered vs SA and more importantly this line would've opened where I thought it should, @ Memphis -2.5.
So I downgraded the play based on the line itself. However this schedule spot doesn't happen that often, and given the season I am having, this spot warrants a 2u play.
For the record I like Denver all the way up to -2.5.
Bound to happen, been on a hell of a run. The one thing I am glad about, is that I downgraded this one. That's about it. Denver is on their way out.Season 50-27 +76.45
Denver +1 -108 2u
Denver/Memphis are two teams who are going to hit an ATS skid here very soon. Denver has a rough stretch coming, and Memphis is going to suffer without Randolph. Memphis had what, 8 ATS wins in a row. What goes up must come down.
Now for the game itself. This play is all about the schedule spot.
For those who don't know how I bet or what spot I am talking about, it is very simple. Memphis is coming off of a 4 game trip. This would normally be enough, but to add onto the spot, they get one day of rest off of the trip and then get a back to back vs Spurs and Nuggets.
I would've made this a 4u play if Memphis would've covered vs SA and more importantly this line would've opened where I thought it should, @ Memphis -2.5.
So I downgraded the play based on the line itself. However this schedule spot doesn't happen that often, and given the season I am having, this spot warrants a 2u play.
For the record I like Denver all the way up to -2.5.
No excuses from me, Denver had a double digit lead numerous times and always let Memphis come back. George Karl basketball at it's finest. I just wasn't on the right side tonight.
0-1 -2.16
Season 50-28 +74.29
0
MEmphis.. 
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