All Forums | NBA Betting

No more teasers. We are going to cap The Big One STRAIGHT UP - GAME 7 - NETS AT RAPTORS!!

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 12745
Posts: 163
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2011
Posts: 289
Posted: #26
Wow. If you think that Raps will advance, it maybe the Heat again representing the East.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 7046
Posted: #27
Scal, I would just like you to know that you are by lightyears the best NBA capper here........The way you break down these games and construct a case adding up to which side you play is awesome......but i also know you are extremely familiar with your local squads

I like the 2 and 7 theory AND all the points you have highlighted repeatedly in this series.....JJ being key, Deron never playing 2 good games in a row, and the importance of REST for these older players... All excellent points..here in the West it doesn't seem officiating is quite the variable as in East......i was hoping that you might finally support a Road team....cuz, if Nets win, our Mavs might complete the Daily Road Double

Either way, keep up the great work in the NBA playoffs,,I (we) really enjoy your analysis that helps us visit the "proverbial bank"
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #28
U da man Scal, so I'm on Tor with u. Wanted to ask if u concur with Lc about the mavs +7.5 also. Anyone thoughts or slight leans on the early one? Thx partner
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

U da man Scal, so I'm on Tor with u. Wanted to ask if u concur with Lc about the mavs +7.5 also. Any thoughts or slight leans on the early one? Thx partner
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2014
Posts: 73
Posted: #30
Wow. I don't know how I haven't noticed this tip now, but bovada does not allow you to buy Pts on bets. Should I wait a lil while for some line movement scal, do u think it will move in our favor, if it all?
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 33526
Posted: #31
Best of luck today...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 2069
Posted: #32
What's your motivation for making this play? You've stated how hard a game it is to cap; typically you choose better opportunities. Did you just fancy some more play off action? BOL
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 1840
Posted: #33
I love your insight and your picks. I am leaning Nets though. I just think Paul Pierce and Joe Johnson will be to much. Good Luck. Any thoughts on the Dallas +6.5 and over 197?
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by St2ee:



Are you serious???? Blatche say's so? OMFG!!!!   Get real man.
I am def with you on this one Scal, Raps will lead late.....hope they have enough to hold on!

I agree. The lead will be about who holds it late. There will be big shots by big names. I just don't see it being enough for the Nets to hold on.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 19509
Posted: #35
Loooooooooiot Train Theme Song

Taters wanna tate.
Lovers wanna love.
I don't even want.
None of thee above.
I wanna stack my loooooooot.
Sta sta sta stack my loooooooot. 
My Fat Nasty Loooooooooooooooot.

Some call me sharp.
Some call me square.
Taters be tating hard.
But I don't even care.
I wanna stack my loooooooooot.
Sta sta sta stack my loooooooooot.
My Fat Nasty Looooooooooooooooot.

The End. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2014
Posts: 151
Posted: #36
I'm willing to admit that I'm a below average nba capper, that's also probably why I like Brooklyn. I'm changing my pick to toronto simply because of Scals write up..id rather trust Scale then myself, bol
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by OKCSPURS:

If you know the league wants Nets vs Heat, why does Raps get +1 on the officiating??? 

It seems counterintuitive on its face, I know, but after a little digging, it's not.

You have to include the Nets Heat prospective matchup on my list of points and how the league favors it. That is undeniable. Anyone can just watch Hawks/Pacers Game 7 from yesterday (or dozens of other Game 7's or playoff games in general and see how the refs subtly steer these games in the direction of their preferred team with the right foul calls at the right time). That is the macroperspective of the foul calls and there is always an undercurrent the refs will favor the Nets.

But outside of some very extreme examples where the refs refused to let a team win, in 2014, the NBA favors disclosure and is amazingly, apologizing for some bad calls. 

The microperspective of this series is that the number of foul calls have gone 3-3 in favor of each team in 6 games. I say Brooklyn holds a slight edge in the overall "whistle favorability factor" (WFF for short), because of the timing of some of those calls in big games.

But now in Toronto, it's going to be very hard in front of a raucous crowd that will treat this game like a professional wrestling match, to get away with a continual unkind whistle towards the Raptors. This crowd will go absolutely bonkers.

So I see the whistle on Sunday being slightly even, going BKN's way in some big spots, but overall, favoring the Raps who are really among the league's elite at hitting their FT's. Even if it is even or slightly in BK's favor, the Raps are so good at hitting FT's that they will convert all opportunities to points which swings the whistle in their favor, slightly (that is, a whistle is only good when you convert FT's for the most part. Just ask the Rockets with Howard and the Clippers with DeAndre), as long as their key players stay on the floor.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by BET2WIN4:

Wow to be real I'm shocked you are on Tor!! Might push my lean on BK out the window
I do not see BKN getting it done here. They've painted themselves in too tough a spot. The winning game should have been game 6 for them but they lost the crucial game 5.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by oldscho0led:

Wow. If you think that Raps will advance, it maybe the Heat again representing the East.

The Nets would not beat the Heat imo.

You will see a different Heat team throughout the playoffs and already have.

In the most exciting and closest first round ever, with a record number of game 7's and dogs winning outright, the Heat calmly dispatched of an emerging Bobcat team in a ho-hum sweep, making their match-up look like one from the 80's where the lower seeds never have a chance going in. 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:

Scal, I would just like you to know that you are by lightyears the best NBA capper here........The way you break down these games and construct a case adding up to which side you play is awesome......but i also know you are extremely familiar with your local squads

I like the 2 and 7 theory AND all the points you have highlighted repeatedly in this series.....JJ being key, Deron never playing 2 good games in a row, and the importance of REST for these older players... All excellent points..here in the West it doesn't seem officiating is quite the variable as in East......i was hoping that you might finally support a Road team....cuz, if Nets win, our Mavs might complete the Daily Road Double

Either way, keep up the great work in the NBA playoffs,,I (we) really enjoy your analysis that helps us visit the "proverbial bank"
 Appreciate that!

If the Mavs win that series, I'd be more shocked then when the Baron Davis-lead Warriors beat that great Mavs team in a 1-8 match-up (the biggest shocker I ever saw in the first round, especially given they did it in SIX games!)
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

U da man Scal, so I'm on Tor with u. Wanted to ask if u concur with Lc about the mavs +7.5 also. Anyone thoughts or slight leans on the early one? Thx partner

I really didn't cap that game. I haven't liked what I've seen out of the Spurs this series and I don't think anyone has and no one expected 7 games.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Figgygetit:

Wow. I don't know how I haven't noticed this tip now, but bovada does not allow you to buy Pts on bets. Should I wait a lil while for some line movement scal, do u think it will move in our favor, if it all?

I am dealing with the same issue. It actually might get to 2.5 before tip, so I'd keep an eye on it, and then Bovada allows you to buy the hook as it is at BK -3 -120 right now.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by capskip:

Best of luck today...
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by Julespussy:

What's your motivation for making this play? You've stated how hard a game it is to cap; typically you choose better opportunities. Did you just fancy some more play off action? BOL

Game 7's don't come around with local teams (never with the Knicks and last year was a complete debacle with the Nets that almost no one saw coming).

This will be a historic loss if the Nets go down here, and I have it capped as them doing it so I decided to write it up. 

But yes, this is not on the level of many, many of my other picks as I'd put it at a weak 3 star rating. 

It is a very tough game to call here. I came up with what I did and just saw the scales tipping in favor of the Raps. But as you can see, I see it as being so close that I recommended buying a full point (something I've never done).
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by Eagles987:

I love your insight and your picks. I am leaning Nets though. I just think Paul Pierce and Joe Johnson will be to much. Good Luck. Any thoughts on the Dallas +6.5 and over 197?

PP will hit some big shots in this one. There is no doubt about that. But if you've watched him play in this series, you'll come away far less impressed than you think.

And JJ? Well if they double team him, and I expect them too, and make the rest of the Nets beat them, he'll have 15 at most and that won't be enough. If he gets it going early, that will be a bad sign for Raps backers.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by BigUnit:

Loooooooooiot Train Theme Song

Taters wanna tate.
Lovers wanna love.
I don't even want.
None of thee above.
I wanna stack my loooooooot.
Sta sta sta stack my loooooooot. 
My Fat Nasty Loooooooooooooooot.

Some call me sharp.
Some call me square.
Taters be tating hard.
But I don't even care.
I wanna stack my loooooooooot.
Sta sta sta stack my loooooooooot.
My Fat Nasty Looooooooooooooooot.

The End. 

Alrighty, thanks for that short interlude in this thread. Back to our regularly scheduled programming.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 28221
Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by ClonedJew:

I'm willing to admit that I'm a below average nba capper, that's also probably why I like Brooklyn. I'm changing my pick to toronto simply because of Scals write up..id rather trust Scale then myself, bol

BKN on its face seems like the pick but when you dig deeper, I have the Raps taking it.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 2462
Posted: #48
Best of luck today Scal!  Here's hoping my Raptors can pull it out!

I think Brooklyn attracts a lot of public money today because...

A) It's Brooklyn

B) The Nets had that great comeback in the 4th quarter of game 5 and fell just short.

C) Brooklyn seemed to carry that 4th quarter momentum into game 6 and the Raptors simply looked lost and confused out there.

I think bettors and even the Nets themselves are thinking that they have control, can easily flip a switch if they need too.  I think and hope Toronto comes out hungry and prepared for this one.

We shall see!

Good Luck!


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 41
Posted: #49
Good Luck today Scal! You've been on point with your analysis all year. Really appreciate the work you put in. My book had -1.5 for -130 juice, so I'll probably grab the extra insurance for the short increase in juice. 
 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2008
Posts: 58908
Posted: #50
The start to the game will be huge for Raps, if they get down early I cant see them coming back.  Pretty surprised you are on raps today, maybe it is just my negative attitude towards NBA but I think the Raps have to play a near perfect game to advance here.  Refs will be a factor IMO.
22nd
All Forums | NBA Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.