PACERS THREAD FROM A LOCAL

I agree 100% let's get it tomorrow early total I have is 184

Knicks at Pacers

Knicks have been playing good as of late.  I'm not going to go so far as to say great...their last few wins have been OT over Phoenix, Philly, Miami, Detroit and Dallas.  Couple of decent wins, but nothing that really stands out to me.

I guess the Knicks have a couple of decent pieces, but I still think Carmelo is the most overrated player in the league.  Bargnani is going to be fun to watch tonight trying to guard David West and Luis Scola.  Huge advantage Pacers.  I also think Paul George is going to be ready to play great defense on Carmelo.  Chandler is a legit defender, but he's still shorter than Hibbert.  Tuesday Al Jefferson had a field day.  I just don't see many advantages for the Knicks.  Maybe at PG, but that's about it.

Pacers really needed a good outing to get their confidence back...seems like playing the Kings will get anybody's confidence up.  I didn't see the game, but it looks like the Pacers shot the ball well, and dominated.  They also got off to a good start which has been a problem.  The other thing that I think is a factor is that the Pacers have just watched Miami lose 3 straight games.  The Pacers first goal of the season is to get the number 1 seed, and they are looking really good to do that.  Seeing Miami lose is music to their ears, and I think they play really hard tonight at home.  Also, don't forget the Knicks took the Pacers to OT last time out.  Pacers played pretty bad, and the Knicks played out of their minds.  Pacers then buried them in overtime.  This isn't a team the Pacers will overlook.

I'm going to go back to the OH system and take the 1h under, and I'm also going to take the Pacers 1h -6.  I expect a lot of energy from the Pacers, especially on defense.

hey alan, you see this game where ny would be able to comeback and get some bs shots towards the end? planning to play the pacers FG though.

I just very rarely lay double digits. 

Alan I have been following your thread since you began it and this is just my second post ever on covers. Your doing an amazing job and staying humble while doing so. I have great respect for you and your insight on the pacers. I wish we could get more guys to focus on their team and help with picks the way you and dgretzky have done with the Pacers and Wizards respectively. Thank you for what you do. I'm from Philly so when I can provide some input on my philly squads I will be sure to do so. 

i think the pacers will want to get out to a 25 to 30 point lead in the 4th quarter so that they can get chris copeland some valuable minutes to work on his man to man defense.  

1HU lets get this...

This first half under is fairly flamed already. The question is whether they will go four in a row over on the halfs...

alan love your work ! Have won on your picks thanks for sharing not only picks but your knowledge and inside on your favorite home team. Imagine if their were more guys like you here in covers that specializes in one team only. I bet we would have alot of winners. Anyways just taught Carmelo is a very good player and he has proven it throughout the years. Maybe you just dont like his game. 

Double down on the 2h under ... ?
Alan ... do we dare?
They're shooting "lights-out"!

2h under seems like a lock

How so?

Can someone explain how books come up with 2H lines? It seems like no matter what the 1H score, the books always post the same 2H line: roughly 1/2 of the FG line.

For example, today's game's FG o/u is 185.  1/2 of this is 92.5.  The 1H had 110 points scored. Much higher than 92.5 pace.  But the line for 2H is still 93.5 -- just 1 point higher than 92.5.

And I've see this all the time. Does the 1H score really have no effect on what the 2H scoring will be? It seems like there should be more scoring since the teams are scoring at a faster clip.

over is the play and knicks come back

Sorry guys...I'm in Orlando and my phone died.  Didn't have any plays for 2h

...and you sir, are right!

Man, I just started this OH system and I'm 0-4.  Wow...

I have been following this page for a while now and just wanted to share two trends i have noticed.

Looks like you are going to have to do some work and handicap.

It is not a system as much as a sports handicapper believing the Pacers would have a great defense coming out the gate. Eventually the line will catch up with a teams performance and it stops becoming an edge. But knowing the line has dropped to account for the teams defense means you can start betting the other way until once again the line catches up with team performance. 

Geez Composite...I hope you're not the cooler...lol.