Posted:
#1
I've been watching the NBA closely this season and I have been doing fairly well so I am going to start tracking my plays. I created an excel data base w/ various up to date statistics / trends / etc .. I use these stats, trends, and gut feeling to produce my plays.
A few key stats I use for my total plays are; Pace (avg possessions per game), Offensive efficiency, where the majority of shots are taken from (at the rim, 3 to 9 ft, 10-15ft, 16-23 ft, and 3pters), and the fg percentage associated to each shot. I compare this to the other teams defense as well.
Ex; for 'over plays' I look for fast paced teams that have high offensive efficiency at or near the rim.. This is just the first part of my analysis as vegas adjust for this as well. Second thing I look at for total plays is if the team is rested or not and I take a look at near term trends. Last thing I do is look at line movements.
The goal is simple.. to average 55%+ winners throughout the season.. I am not trying to hit home runs.. just looking for plays that have an edge
1u = $100 (3u max play)
A
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P0
Best of luck to us both!
Got most of it pulled out in time.. can't remember how much I left in their.. maybe 2-3kish 
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