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Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by thomaschau:

Nobody is perfect capper

Agree100%. The key is money management. 
 
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Posted: #152
will you be showing future bets analysis for jan 14th, 2013 soon as well? appreciate and honor all your hard work
 
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Posted: #153
Spurs cashed ??
 
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Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by just_jay16:

will you be showing future bets analysis for jan 14th, 2013 soon as well? appreciate and honor all your hard work

Yup, a few games already stick out to me and will probably grab my focus tomorrow morning.  But, I usually run each match up through my spreadsheet to see if any sticks out initially.  

I may be fading the Twolves again.. depending on the line of course..  Also will be looking at every team that has to play B2B.. The Clippers / Grizzles match up will be great..  Should be lots of potential plays on the board tomorrow 

AP

1-1, +.9units, today
14-10, +9.8u ($980), season

Blazers +5, 1 unit pending..  
 
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Posted: #155
Im in a different timezone, but ill be looking forward to it! thanks pete! kudos and BOL to your games aswell
 
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Posted: #156
You are good Apeterson
 
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Posted: #157
amongst all cappers im awaiting your analysis. you seem to stand out amongst all. dont take my posts/newbiness for granted cause i have only just decided to make an account now. your analysis seems most compatible with todays books and hopefully you'll be able to post before its betting time! kudos to you sir. sidenote, i had total doubt on Spurs-12 but you have proven mo wrong :)
 
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Posted: #158

GREAT JOB AGAIN BOSS!!  THANK YOU FOR THE SPURS LAST NIGHT AND HIT THAT ONE BY 1 MATCHSTICK PHEW!!!!!

I NEEDED THAT ONE BIG TIME +5000 DUE TO MY BEAT DOWN IN MY TEASERS. THOSE FU*KIN FALCONS KILLED AN INCREDIBLE DAY FOR ME YESTERDAY WITH THAT GAME WINNING FIELDGOAL PUSHING MY UNDER OVER I JUST COULD NOT BELIEVE IT. NOW THATS THE PAST AND LOOKING TO START A FRESH WEEK OFF WITH YOU ON A POSITIVE NOTE. I AGAIN WILL SAY THAT YOU ARE A STAND OUT GUY HERE AND IN MY OPINION IN THE TOP TWO OF CAPPERS IN THE NBA. I AND EVERYONE SHOULD REALIZE THAT THERE WILL BE THOSE DAYS FOR YOU IN THE FUTURE THAT WILL NOT GO WELL AND THAT IS WHERE MONEY MANAGEMENT KICKS IN TO WEATHER THE STORM, SO THAT A PERSON CAN CONTINUE WHEN THE SUN SHINES AGAIN. LOOKING FOWARD TO YOUR WRIT-UPS AND ANALYSIS LATER AND ALSO LOOKING FOWARD TO STARTING TONIGHT OFF ON A WINNING NOTE!! HAVE A GREAT DAY!!!

 
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Posted: #159
I MEANT PORTLAND +5 WINNING BY 1
 
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Posted: #160
for the memphis/clippers, i'll go with LAC +2 since Rudy happy will not be available on that game.
 
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Posted: #161
thomaschau  thank you man


holydiver  That is why I bought my half point up to 5 =)  I figured it would be a close game
 
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Posted: #162
Review

2-1, +1.9units, yesterday
15-10, +10.8u, posted 

On a 12-3 run....   Time to fade....   Nawww we can keep it going!!! 


1/14/2013

Clippers +2, 1 unit 
*Rudy happy is out today - write up posted later - This play isn't just about happy being out - Clippers bench will own the Grizzles bench (more about this in my write up)

*other plays and write ups will be posted before 1pm eastern 
 
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Posted: #163
1/14/2013

Mavericks -7, 2 units 

Clippers +2, 1 unit 

Hawks / Bulls Over 184, 1 unit 

Cavaliers / Kings Under 204.5, 1 unit 

(Write ups posted next) - Just wanted to get my card out there 

AP
 
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Posted: #164
I start checking your posts everyday now thanks to Holydiver posted on Jfox's post. . Thanks for your dedication as well. 
 
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Posted: #165
1/14/2013

Mavericks -7, 2 units 

I have successfully faded this Twolves team against OKC on the 9th (lost 84-106) and against the Spurs last night (88-106).  Aside from Tony Parker's 20 points on 10 of 15 shooting, the Spurs really didn't look to great, but they still won by 18.  Duncan only had 12 and Ginobili went down.. in the 3rd.. I believe (can't remember).  They turned the ball over more times than Minn; and they really kept the door slightly open for the Twolves until the 4th qtr.  Minnesota played hard but lack the talent due to injuries to compete.  They shot 37% from the floor, 25% from 3pt land, and 78% from the line.  

Match ups to watch tonight.  Dirk Nowitzki vs Dante Cunningham; 6'8 230lb power forward, 3 years out of Villanova, has averaged just 6.6ppg since Kevin Love's absence.  In his last 4 games he has only averaged 6reb per game also.  Dirk, a 7foot all star, has averaged 17.8ppg in his last 5, and really looks to be getting into a groove.  Dirk (IMO) has a huge advantage over either Cunningham or Derek Williams.

OJ Mayo vs Alexey Shved;  Shved has averaged just 9.6ppg in his last 5 on 29.3% shooting.  He was 0-7 from the field against the Spurs last night and was 2-4 from the free throw line.  Mayo has averaged about 16ppg in his last 5 on 41% shooting.. and is really starting to get his game back.  

Lastly, how confident do you think this Minnesota team is with out their star Kevin Love?  This team has lost 3 straight on the road and now face a Dallas team that just rollled over the Grizzles (A game in which we cashed for 3 units)

Prediction:  107 - 86 Mavericks 

AP
 
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Posted: #166
lets get it tonight boss
 
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Posted: #167
1/14/2013

Clippers +2, 1 unit 

I actually think G.ay being out hurts this line a little.  I think the difference in this game isn't G.ay but each teams bench.  Odom, Crawford, and Matt Barnes have been incredible this season off the bench.  With G.ay out, sure it helps us as he is the Grizzles leading scorer, but this team is pretty balanced.  But, the Clippers bring in too much talent in Paul, Griffin, Jordan, Butler, and the bench players I mentioned, and I can't see the Teddy bears keeping up.

Prediction;  97 - 90 LAC 

AP
 
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Posted: #168
1/14/2014

Cavs / Kings Under 204.5, 1 unit 

These team's average 95.6 & 95.1 possessions per game.  If each team gets 100 possessions they average 97.6 & 101.1 points.  Also add in the fact that Cleveland played last night and only put up 93 against the Lakers, a team that has looked terrible on defense (Sure, Howard made a huge difference).  I have this total falling in the low 190's.. well under the 204.5 mark.    

Hawks / Bulls Over 184, 1 unit 

Chicago has been sluggish at home (10-10) and if they want to turn this around they need to do it on the offensive side of the ball.  It looks like the public is pounding this under.. and my initial opinion when I saw this line was 'under'.. but after looking deeper I believe there is value in the over.  I believe we see a competitive game tonight with both teams scoring in the 90's.

Prediction; 98 - 94 Chicago 

AP
 
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Posted: #169
1/14/2013

Final Card

Mavericks -7, 2 units 

Clippers +2, 1 unit

Cavaliers / Kings Under 204.5, 1 unit

Hawks / Bulls Over 184, 1 unit

Thunder / Suns Under 200, 1 unit 

AP
 
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Posted: #170
Cool thanks!
 
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Posted: #171
thomaschau 

 
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Posted: #172
Quote Originally Posted by apeterson8809:

1/14/2013

Mavericks -7, 2 units 

I have successfully faded this Twolves team against OKC on the 9th (lost 84-106) and against the Spurs last night (88-106).  Aside from Tony Parker's 20 points on 10 of 15 shooting, the Spurs really didn't look to great, but they still won by 18.  Duncan only had 12 and Ginobili went down.. in the 3rd.. I believe (can't remember).  They turned the ball over more times than Minn; and they really kept the door slightly open for the Twolves until the 4th qtr.  Minnesota played hard but lack the talent due to injuries to compete.  They shot 37% from the floor, 25% from 3pt land, and 78% from the line.  

Match ups to watch tonight.  Dirk Nowitzki vs Dante Cunningham; 6'8 230lb power forward, 3 years out of Villanova, has averaged just 6.6ppg since Kevin Love's absence.  In his last 4 games he has only averaged 6reb per game also.  Dirk, a 7foot all star, has averaged 17.8ppg in his last 5, and really looks to be getting into a groove.  Dirk (IMO) has a huge advantage over either Cunningham or Derek Williams.

OJ Mayo vs Alexey Shved;  Shved has averaged just 9.6ppg in his last 5 on 29.3% shooting.  He was 0-7 from the field against the Spurs last night and was 2-4 from the free throw line.  Mayo has averaged about 16ppg in his last 5 on 41% shooting.. and is really starting to get his game back.  

Lastly, how confident do you think this Minnesota team is with out their star Kevin Love?  This team has lost 3 straight on the road and now face a Dallas team that just rollled over the Grizzles (A game in which we cashed for 3 units)

Prediction:  107 - 86 Mavericks 

AP

WHAT A FANATSTIC WRITE-UP STELLER!!!! I JUST CHECKED MY LOCAL AND I CAN GET THE MAVERICKS AT -6.5 SO FOR INSURANCE PURPOSES BUYING A .5 PT BRINGING THE GAME TO -6 WITH THAT SAID:

MAVERICKS -6 -120 (5000*)

BOL PETE IN YOUR PLAYS

 
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Posted: #173
GL today...go mavs
 
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Posted: #174
holydiver  GL man, 5k, you definitely are more of a baller than I am =) 

deweyby3  Ty ty 
 
 
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Posted: #175
Being in a different timezone, bets in my country close at a certain time. It closes at around 10:30 PM which is 9:30 AM in your time. It kills me to not see your predictions before making my future bets :( I hope someday i will be able to see your predictions before my future bets! kudos to you sir and i hope to be one of the future winners you capped for. BOL
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