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Referee Totals System 1/8 (22-11 = 67%)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Finished yesterday at 8-5 overall on all plays to keep the overall percentage right above 60%.  Unfortunately, the definite plays were 3-3. On the bright side though, the top 2 overall plays both won which I'm sure many of you chose over the other plays.

YTD:
Definite Plays = 22-11 (67%)
System A Plays = 48-31 (61%)
System B Plays = 47-31 (60%)

One definite play from the system today.  Let's hope this one works in our favor, as well as the other two.  Looking for a nice 3-0 day going into another large slate tomorrow!

Definite Plays:

Houston Rockets @ New York Knicks = 192.5 OVER

System A & B Plays:

Houston Rockets @ New York Knicks = 192.5 OVER
Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors = 200.5 OVER
Miami Heat @ Portland Trailblazers = 198.5 UNDER

Link to Document:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TELUEkHJSW1DkYjW8GET_06J0CF5pKyR0-UVH2VIqAI/edit?usp=sharing

Also as a side note, I will be tallying information today regarding the results from the past few weeks to see if any trends can be spotted and used to our advantage in the future.
 
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Posted: #2
won on a couple of your picks yesterday thanks a lot bud - was looking to hit your definite play but Hou/NY is at 194 right now, should I still take it\?
 
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Posted: #3
What is the pod?
 
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Posted: #4
CoverYou - I'd wait a little bit to see if the line moves back down, still a lot of the day left.  Even though it's a definite play, the Knicks aren't the most offensively gifted team so I'd try and grab every half point I can in this matchup.

xandroux - POD is Knicks/Rockets under.  The POD is the first game listed under Definite Plays in each forum.
 
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Posted: #5
Right on. I like what you do, new side of betting. Refs have the ability to control the tempo of the game.



 
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Posted: #6
xandroux - I apologize, I meant to say OVER, not under.  And I completely agree with you, NBA refs out of all refs control the games more than anyone else.
 
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Posted: #7

Great insight . Win or lose .This is what all the forums should be. 

TY

 
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Posted: #8
Playa,

Just now looking at these.  Great work - much appreciated.  With you on the HOU/NYK over.

Thanks again.
 
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Posted: #9
Awesome work!  Thanks so much for your insight!
 
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Posted: #10
 
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Posted: #11
MTFN50 - Agreed man.  I don't expect this system to be perfect but it's a different look into a betting strategy and you guys can benefit from it any way you want.

DAB12AC - Thanks and best of luck on the POD!

TrojanTodd - You're very welcome! Good luck on your end.

mon - You're welcome, but please remember I post these picks first thing in the morning when all lines are released.  Can't get any earlier lol.
 
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Posted: #12
Blue_Chips - Good luck today!!
 
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Posted: #13
Nice work
 
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Posted: #14
I believe I am 6-3 with this system. 

I like the definite play, could easily see that blowing over, if the Knicks can provide some kind of offense. Although my sportsbook has it at 194, so, I'm a little off put. 
 
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Posted: #15
NYK is 11-1-1 cashing the UNDER as a home dog and are 13-4 cashing the UNDER at home overall. Just something to keep in mind. GL everyone
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Sports_Guru3:

NYK is 11-1-1 cashing the UNDER as a home dog and are 13-4 cashing the UNDER at home overall. Just something to keep in mind. GL everyone

Fascinating. I might skip this game then. I will either try an actual play, or play on the others. Might even do a teaser tonight, if anything else. Not sure.
 
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Posted: #17
Sorry but does your under or over picks hit more? Do you have that record?

Thank you and BOL 
 
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Posted: #18
Geedubya88 - Thank you very much!

Sports_Guru3 - I'm very aware of that stat which makes me a little hesitant on the game.  But the referee statistics outweigh the team trends therefore it stuck as a definite play on my board.  Thank you for the added insight though!

southexpert - I will have that information sometime this weekend.  Just don't have enough time right now at work to gather it all in an organized manner.
 
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Posted: #19
Melo amare and bargnani out does this change your opinion at all on the total of the game thanks as always sports playa.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by jbreezy24:

Melo amare and bargnani out does this change your opinion at all on the total of the game thanks as always sports playa.


No. His system is based on refs, and the theory of refs controlling. I have yet to see this system wildly off, usually just a tad. Its my favorite system thus far.
 
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Posted: #21
nice work sir and keep it up your winning ways
 
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Posted: #22
Played all your definite plays yesterday (3-3) + Bucks -7 so finished slightly in green. Today decided to play again but not sure should we go with over if Carmelo & Amare are out? Who will score 90 points for NYK...?
Well, let's hope that Harden plays some of his "defense" :)



May the Force be with you
 
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Posted: #23
jbreezy24 - My games are based solely on refs as WarrENDeatH explained. And even though I agree that the Knicks missing those players will be tough for the over, I'm sticking with a consistent system game to game, no personal input involved.

turbojackhammer - Thank you sir! May the winning ways come to you also.

GandraChe - Hey nothing wrong with ending in the green! Even if my plays didn't help you get there lol.  Although I agree with you, the Knicks did score 91 last night on the road so it's possible they do it again.  I'm more-so hoping the Rockets drop 110 


 
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Posted: #24
The Rockets are capable of carrying this total over. Vegas thinks so also by having this line at 193.5 Or 194. Immediately I think under with all injuries and how awful NYKs are. Based on the line I would say over. I'm just so really hesitant. Who will score for the Knicks? We will find out.
“You don’t get what you hope for, you get what you work for!”
 
 
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Posted: #25
Sports-Playa- Look forward to reading through your thread each day.

How do you think the fact that NYK have so many injuries and different players, because of the trade, affects the O/U.
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