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Secret of NBA totals - Friday

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I usually play NBA totals only, because it's easier than spread point. 
I have my own formula to calculate the Totals which is very simple, everybody can do it, but I prefer not to reveal the method. 

The formula is base on few key points as followed - 
1. Deviation Point
2. My experience and the "feel" of the game.
3. Oddsmaker's perspective on public betting trend. 

Again, I will not reveal the method to people here, but, I will post everyday's Over/Under picks for everyone.

My goal is to keep everybody happy and hope everyone can make money from my picks no matter how much you bet.

So, today's pick - 

Charlotte Under 196
Houston Over 200.5 - bet early as public will push it over 202, 203.
Utah Over 193.5 - strong pick 
Spurs Under 188 - strong pick, put bet early, line will move down very quick
New Orelans Under 185 - strong pick 
Chicago Under 191.5 - strong pick, bet ealy, line moves down quick.
Cleveland Over 206 
Lakers Under 214 - bet it later as public will push it over 216.

Those are the base pick, if, the line moves quite big range, I will re-cap the picks. 

Good luck.







 
Captain
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Posted: #2
 
Prospect
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Posts: 128
Posted: #3
So, today's pick - 

Charlotte Under 196
Houston Over 200.5 - bet early as public will push it over 202, 203.
Utah Over 193.5 - strong pick 
Spurs Under 188 - strong pick, put bet early, line will move down very quick
New Orelans Under 185 - strong pick 
Chicago Under 191.5 - strong pick, bet ealy, line moves down quick.
Cleveland Over 206 
Lakers Under 214 - bet it later as public will push it over 216.

Those are the base pick, if, the line moves quite big range, I will re-cap the picks. 

Good luck.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by TheGameCPT:

So, today's pick - 

Charlotte Under 196

Houston Over 200.5 - bet early as public will push it over 202, 203.

Utah Over 193.5 - strong pick 

Spurs Under 188 - strong pick, put bet early, line will move down very quick

New Orelans Under 185 - strong pick 

Chicago Under 191.5 - strong pick, bet ealy, line moves down quick.

Cleveland Over 206 

Lakers Under 214 - bet it later as public will push it over 216.

Those are the base pick, if, the line moves quite big range, I will re-cap the picks. 

Good luck.
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 37
Posted: #5
"I have my own formula to calculate the Totals which is very simple, everybody can do it, but I prefer not to reveal the method. "
 
Why say that and refuse to tell us? 
Might as well reveal and yes i understand there's other factors involved... Ill let your plays go for a week before I start laying real money.  Good luck 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
not sure about the Bobcats total... 
loving the hornets and the jazz total
 
Veteran
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Posted: #7
 
Prospect
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Posted: #8
All the oddsmaker's totals point are calculated with the deviation point and power rating system before they generate the final result.

If the raw point is 190, then they will add or subtract few more points base on the injuries, game history, public betting tendency.

That's how I handicap my picks.

   
 
Veteran
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Posted: #9
What is deviation points?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
What is ur record? so far using this system anyways..

 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
I found the method couple days ago.

I've been using it for two days so far.

Jan 9 - 
Atalanta Under 193
Sixer Under 188
Utah Over 198
Lakers Over 212  

Jan 10
Indiana Under 184
Dalls Under 206
Miami Under 195 

6-1 so far, if Dallas didn't go over-time, it is 7-0.

Google "NBA Deviation Point".

3 points difference between "deviation point" and "bookie's totals" is the key.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
Ok sounds interesting i guess what ever works..Keep up the good work
 
Veteran
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Posted: #13
So Where were the Picks Today??? You post is after the games are over. Your over on Mavins Thread talking about how great the method is but you don't post before game time , come on man 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
check out my games for Friday, see how it goes.

I will put my own money in anyway.


 
Veteran
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by TheGameCPT:

check out my games for Friday, see how it goes.

I will put my own money in anyway.



Where are your picks for Friday??
 
Veteran
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Posted: #16
he did post the pacers /knicks under before game time on another thread
 
Prospect
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Posted: #17
no team play sir?
 
Veteran
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by jewbangold11:

he did post the pacers /knicks under before game time on another thread

Where?
 
Banned
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Posted: #19
whats the secret then apart from guessing?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #20
ya I posted Indiana Under 184 before the game.

Also I played Miami Under 195 today.

I just started making thread today, I didn't post POD for Thursday, but I will do it from now on for everyday's game.

For Friday, I already posted it on the top, it's a base pick, will watch lines movement Friday afternoon and make final decision.

 
Prospect
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Posted: #21
Ok I will be watching ur final picks tomorrow..
 
Banned
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Posted: #22
 
Prospect
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Posted: #23
Go easy on the dude, he's put up 8 tips for Friday, will be pretty obvious after that if the system works. If he doesn't want to reveal exactly what it is then that's his prerogative. The only this that matters is how many of the 8 picks are winners.

BOL to ya.
 
Legend
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by TheGameCPT:

So, today's pick - 

Charlotte Under 196
Houston Over 200.5 - bet early as public will push it over 202, 203.
Utah Over 193.5 - strong pick 
Spurs Under 188 - strong pick, put bet early, line will move down very quick
New Orelans Under 185 - strong pick 
Chicago Under 191.5 - strong pick, bet ealy, line moves down quick.
Cleveland Over 206 
Lakers Under 214 - bet it later as public will push it over 216.

Those are the base pick, if, the line moves quite big range, I will re-cap the picks. 

Good luck.

GOOD LUCK

 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 128
Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by jambo12:

Go easy on the dude, he's put up 8 tips for Friday, will be pretty obvious after that if the system works. If he doesn't want to reveal exactly what it is then that's his prerogative. The only this that matters is how many of the 8 picks are winners.

BOL to ya.

You are right, hope I can make good hit on Friday.

Again, final picks are not coming out yet.

Any injuries and line movement will change things around.
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