Yes, I know I’m new to this forum, but that doesn’t mean I’m
new to NBA totals.
When picking Over/Under, the pace and defense determine the
number.
Bookies make up the number base on “Deviation point”, and
so-called specific “Power rating system”.
Another important factor, the public betting tendency, is
what oddsmakers take into account.
For example, like yesterday big TNT game on Miami vs
Portland. The totals opens at 196.
196 looks just a little bit lower than usual, and huge
public(65%) bet on Over 196.
That’s how oddsmakers
make NBA totals, they know people have tendency of betting Over on Miami’s
game.
In fact, both teams on TNT, they actually play good defense
from the 1st quarter, and the result went Under 196.
Keep it in short, today
is the first day I post picks on this forum. If you think the picks looks reasonable,
follow my picks and make small bet on it.
________________________________________________________________
Charlotte Under 196
Brooklyn Over 193 –
Brooklyn can score now, against Suns’s
bad defense, game goes Over.
Houston Under 200.5 –
not so sure, if Boston continue having trouble scoring and play tougher
defense, game will go Under.
Utah Over 193 – strong pick.
Utah’s defense is only good at
home.
Spurs Under 189 – strong pick.
Memphis at home, of course
they will control the tempo. Spurs will have tough night to score like the
Knicks yesterday.
New Orleans Under 185 – strong pick.
Line already moved down
2.5 points. Love and Barea are out. With 182.5, the number is aggressive.
Chicago Under 191.5 – strong pick.
No melo, no double-team
from Bulls, no ball movement from Knicks
Detroit Over 197 – strong pick.
line already moved up 1.5
point. Milwaukee like pushing the pace, young Detroit can score as well.
Denver Over 206 –
Irving is game-time decision tonight, if
he is out the game likely won’t go Over.
Portland Under 199 – strong pick.
Back to Back, with
Aldridge, Batum, Matthews, Lillard played 42 mins, how many can they score
tonight?
OKC Under 214 –
Huge public betting, people of course will
bet Over. But the truth is, Sefolosha and OKC team defense will give
Kobe lots of trouble.
Yes, I know I’m new to this forum, but that doesn’t mean I’m
new to NBA totals.
When picking Over/Under, the pace and defense determine the
number.
Bookies make up the number base on “Deviation point”, and
so-called specific “Power rating system”.
Another important factor, the public betting tendency, is
what oddsmakers take into account.
For example, like yesterday big TNT game on Miami vs
Portland. The totals opens at 196.
196 looks just a little bit lower than usual, and huge
public(65%) bet on Over 196.
That’s how oddsmakers
make NBA totals, they know people have tendency of betting Over on Miami’s
game.
In fact, both teams on TNT, they actually play good defense
from the 1st quarter, and the result went Under 196.
Keep it in short, today
is the first day I post picks on this forum. If you think the picks looks reasonable,
follow my picks and make small bet on it.
________________________________________________________________
Charlotte Under 196
Brooklyn Over 193 –
Brooklyn can score now, against Suns’s
bad defense, game goes Over.
Houston Under 200.5 –
not so sure, if Boston continue having trouble scoring and play tougher
defense, game will go Under.
Utah Over 193 – strong pick.
Utah’s defense is only good at
home.
Spurs Under 189 – strong pick.
Memphis at home, of course
they will control the tempo. Spurs will have tough night to score like the
Knicks yesterday.
New Orleans Under 185 – strong pick.
Line already moved down
2.5 points. Love and Barea are out. With 182.5, the number is aggressive.
Chicago Under 191.5 – strong pick.
No melo, no double-team
from Bulls, no ball movement from Knicks
Detroit Over 197 – strong pick.
line already moved up 1.5
point. Milwaukee like pushing the pace, young Detroit can score as well.
Denver Over 206 –
Irving is game-time decision tonight, if
he is out the game likely won’t go Over.
Portland Under 199 – strong pick.
Back to Back, with
Aldridge, Batum, Matthews, Lillard played 42 mins, how many can they score
tonight?
OKC Under 214 –
Huge public betting, people of course will
bet Over. But the truth is, Sefolosha and OKC team defense will give
Kobe lots of trouble.
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