Have to disagree with LC here. LC is the master of situational betting but apparently not so much in mathmatical probabilities.
Shooting efficiency has the highest correlation and predictive value in the playoffs. Advantage Rockets
Rebound % has a hgher predictive value then total rebounds, but that favors the Blazers, 51.35 to 50.75. Small Advantage Blazers
The Blazers get more total rebounds but the Rockets out-rebound their opponents by more, 3.67 per game to the Blazers 2.94.
Getting more rebounds does not nessecarily make you a better rebounding team, it depends how many rebounds your opponent gets.
Free throws and rebounding are two of the most misunderstood of stats.
Getting to the line more often has a higher correlation to victory than FT %.
When a team gets to the line more often that means their opp takes a shot from the field.
Even Howard shooting 54.7% from the line will easily out-shoot any team in the league , EVEN THE BEST SHOOTING TEAM WHICH PORTLAND IS FAR FROM from the field when you factor-in TO'S.
Blazers taken about 104 more FT's then opp.
Rockets taken more than 700 more then opp, advantage Rockets.
From a mathmatical probabilities point of view, it's all Rockets in this series.
Good laugh there.
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