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Thursday Miami @Indiana OVER

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Posted: #26
Totally agree on the over
 
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Posted: #27
   180.5 now on 5 dimes        
 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:

Total is at 181.5 (per 11 pm 5/16)

I am going to slam the over in this as I have it capped at 187. I like the combination of the game being Indiana and the Heat looking to rebound from Monday's letdown. 95-92 either way.


GL

Been on this play since yesterday. Not may people see what we're seeing. I capped this at around 187 myself.

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by followmylead:

GL

Been on this play since yesterday. Not may people see what we're seeing. I capped this at around 187 myself.



Good Shit I really like this play.
 
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Posted: #30
Hello mr Starks.
Glad you didn't stay gone long. 
Just wanna add that the under is a scary play in SA. I'm leaning to the over few reasons.
 1.l.a. Does not play very good d. If not for flop city lob city would not have beat Memphis. Alotta flops lead to fouls which kept definatly brought them back in that 1st game. And that was nothing compared to  game 4. Spurs are a quick team they have been cashing tt over and a great  rate. I have played it every game during playoffs as well as leading in. 
2. During the reg season vinny would rest cp and bg longer periods of time during 2 qtrs. so they woul be fresh longer in 2h. Took me about 3 games early in the season to realize my 1h bets were Losing because of that. I learned and I cashd a few times on bet against 2q and for in 3 qtr. Because of the deeper bench cp specifically has been putting in more minutes. If mo Williams gets to much control for to long it becomes a personal 3 pt highlight reel and the clips are now down 10. Down 10 against spurs turns to 20 quick so shorter breaks. 
3. Mojo charts provided by happykane show both teams with positive mojo. Believe it or not I have watched the mojos perform miracles and 2 positives generally lead to a higher scoring affair.
I think s.a. Wins but by a closer margin than last time. I think they win it in the west. But I really like the over here as well as SA tt over.
Gl either way and get that loot.

 
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Posted: #31
I would have to lean on the under.  But 181 is alittle risky.

Miami has never scored over 100 pts since 4/16 at the Nets game, where both teams played no defense.  This game, on the other hand is a playoff game.  

The only way I see Miami winning here tonight without Bosh, is if Miami plays very good defense and forcing them to do alot more pick and rolls.

Boshs injury hurts Miamis low post scoring and effectively takes Miami out of the game for low post scoring, so the Pacers can double team more often than not.  

Alot of people really count Bosh out and say that he is insignificant this year, or any year to begin with.  Bosh has played one of his best seasons this season and really picked things up while Wade was missing games in Miami.  

Miami's team FG % drops from 52% to 47.5% without Bosh.  Only way Heat is going to win this game is an amazing performance by BOTH Wade and LeBron as well as atleast 50 Free throws.  Its going to be 5v2 offensively.  Last game, Lebron and wade were 18-44 against the Pacers D, and noone else had more than 5 pts.

Take in the fact that the Heats always had no problem stopping Granger, Bosh MIA, and both teams depending on their defense, I see another low scoring game.  I think if Miami plays uptempo, Wade and LeBron cannot keep up with the Pacers, especially when LeBron plays that many minutes.

 
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Posted: #32
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by 1TimeLucky1:

Hello mr Starks.
Glad you didn't stay gone long. 
Just wanna add that the under is a scary play in SA. I'm leaning to the over few reasons.
 1.l.a. Does not play very good d. If not for flop city lob city would not have beat Memphis. Alotta flops lead to fouls which kept definatly brought them back in that 1st game. And that was nothing compared to  game 4. Spurs are a quick team they have been cashing tt over and a great  rate. I have played it every game during playoffs as well as leading in. 
2. During the reg season vinny would rest cp and bg longer periods of time during 2 qtrs. so they woul be fresh longer in 2h. Took me about 3 games early in the season to realize my 1h bets were Losing because of that. I learned and I cashd a few times on bet against 2q and for in 3 qtr. Because of the deeper bench cp specifically has been putting in more minutes. If mo Williams gets to much control for to long it becomes a personal 3 pt highlight reel and the clips are now down 10. Down 10 against spurs turns to 20 quick so shorter breaks. 
3. Mojo charts provided by happykane show both teams with positive mojo. Believe it or not I have watched the mojos perform miracles and 2 positives generally lead to a higher scoring affair.
I think s.a. Wins but by a closer margin than last time. I think they win it in the west. But I really like the over here as well as SA tt over.
Gl either way and get that loot.



thank you for the info i cant sell myself on this play, although i think it goes under i see no value at all in it and it's a no play for me.
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by JohnRingo:

I would have to lean on the under.  But 181 is alittle risky.

Miami has never scored over 100 pts since 4/16 at the Nets game, where both teams played no defense.  This game, on the other hand is a playoff game.  

The only way I see Miami winning here tonight without Bosh, is if Miami plays very good defense and forcing them to do alot more pick and rolls.

Boshs injury hurts Miamis low post scoring and effectively takes Miami out of the game for low post scoring, so the Pacers can double team more often than not.  

Alot of people really count Bosh out and say that he is insignificant this year, or any year to begin with.  Bosh has played one of his best seasons this season and really picked things up while Wade was missing games in Miami.  

Miami's team FG % drops from 52% to 47.5% without Bosh.  Only way Heat is going to win this game is an amazing performance by BOTH Wade and LeBron as well as atleast 50 Free throws.  Its going to be 5v2 offensively.  Last game, Lebron and wade were 18-44 against the Pacers D, and noone else had more than 5 pts.

Take in the fact that the Heats always had no problem stopping Granger, Bosh MIA, and both teams depending on their defense, I see another low scoring game.  I think if Miami plays uptempo, Wade and LeBron cannot keep up with the Pacers, especially when LeBron plays that many minutes.



I disagree about Bosh and I am also looking for Miami to shoot it at at least 54 pct. They will be looking to push and regardless of who this benefits hopefully it will help the over.  Granger will show up tonight at home in Indy, Hibbert will have a better game, and Miami will be firing on all cylinders! I appreciate the input but I am getting this in tonight i have my mind made up
 
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Posted: #35
Sup Dog Philly went down  but the under on BC and the over on OKC come through we still doing good lets go fishing again tonight!   keep it up you doing great homeboy
 
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Posted: #36
just got it in for 3,500 my largest play to date,  haha my local did not sound syked, must be a good sign, OVER 181
 
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Posted: #37
OVER 181 -110  3850/3500
 
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Posted: #38

I ride or die with you tonite on the over brother ..........

single team OVER 181

and

2 team Clipper + Under

going fishing now hope fish bait

 

 
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Posted: #39
lets get that shit !!!!!!!
 
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Posted: #40
Anthony, I was going to place a bet on

Spurs + Over. and stopped by asking why you like Spurs under? What is your point of view? (I respect a lot opinions).
 
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Posted: #41
need 95 in 2nd half to push..........
 
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Posted: #42
not the first half i envisioned but at least its tied up and they left 12 pts on the floor.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by Guaji:

Anthony, I was going to place a bet on

Spurs + Over. and stopped by asking why you like Spurs under? What is your point of view? (I respect a lot opinions).


no play for me. I like the spurs but the line is humongous and I don't see the clippers scoring more than 85-90 pts in this
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:



no play for me. I like the spurs but the line is humongous and I don't see the clippers scoring more than 85-90 pts in this


If they score 90, be sure that the spurs will score more than 100. So buying 2 points it will be 193. So just need that spurs score 104 and clippers 92
 
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Posted: #45
mia ind not looking good on the over
 
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Posted: #46
need
 
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Posted: #47
miami - 12 pts in the 3rd. WTF
 
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Posted: #48
tell me about
 
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Posted: #49
u actually took the oveR? LOL
 
 
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Posted: #50
36% from the field, not looking so good.  Even though Granger is having a better game (considering Miami always shuts him down), Bosh is resigning to become a Brick Layer.  
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