Posted:
#1
I stayed up until 2 am for you guys ONCE AGAIN. Why? That is the only time I am free to write these things after work/other responsibilities. All because I want to share what I know with others. Yes, I will be getting up at 6:30am to go to work too. Here is yet another mega-WRITE-UP and it is one of my finest I think. I know you wanted me to cap Knicks Wizards but when you are done reading you won't regret my choice.
The game: CAVS AT HAWKS 7:30 PM
We are not done sticking it to you for your backdoor razor thin win against us in the Pistons/Bucks game. Not by a longshot...
The Knicks over the Nets? That was just the beginning.
Now we are Pavlov and you are the dog. You will be conditioned to give us your money. When I post, start reaching in that drawer right in front of you because all of that is coming our way.
So what do we have to talk about tonight?
First,
1. The criticisms on the Pistons Bucks game.
You post to share your thoughts. But you also subject yourself to the capping public. I heard two main criticisms in my Tankapalooza thread.
One went like this: "How can you bet on a team with no motivation who you know is tanking in the Pistons?"
I am here to say this. Those who said that had a GOOD argument. The Pistons win was never in doubt for me the way I capped it. I even established the Pistons MUST lose to stay in the eighth spot and still chose them to win that game. I had one probelm: the spread.
That is where the second criticism came in from posters. It went like this: "How can you lay half a dozen points with a bottom feeder like Detroit." I am here to say this. That was another GOOD criticism!
So just like a sword sharpens a sword, man sharpens man.
I am here to tell you I took both criticisms and have a game tonight that turns both of them in the opposite direction, therefore doing the exact opposite of what I was criticized for, that is the right thing tonight.
What game is that?
2. Cavs@Hawks is our game of the night.
So why does this game fit the perfect script for what we are trying to achieve?
Last time we chose the Pistons as our play. They were tanking.
This time we take the Cavs as our play. They ARE NOT tanking.
As a matter of fact, they are one of the most motivated teams in the league right now, one of it's hottest teams, and the best bet in the NBA over the last 10. As I said in a previous thread on them last week, their ATS record is outstanding. I also told you to keep their eye on them (StevenP listened). They have won out since that thread.
They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 and 11-2 ATS in their last 13. After the Spurs loss tonight to OKC, the Cavs are now the best bet in the NBA over the last 10.
They are also winning SU. They are 5-1 SU in their last 6.
Those wins were no flukes:
They snapped the Knicks 8 game winning streak in NY (and you just saw how the Knicks manhandled the Nets)
They beat the Pacers at home (struggling but still a 50+ win team)
They beat the third seeded Raptors.
They completely picked apart the Magic in Orlando, a tough place to get a win. Just ask OKC and the Pacers when they were playing much better what they think about playing at Orlando.
This is the Cavs folks, and like the Spurs on the opposite end of the NBA spectrum, they are paying out like an ATM machine. This is what I mean when I say turn Shi+ to Gold. The gold is there in the shi+ (it's been there with the lousy Knicks many times this year in my posts) and it's here now with the Cavs, ya just have to know where and when to look.
So if I ended the thread RIGHT HERE, and I could, you could honestly just tail the Cavs tomorrow based on how well they are paying out.
But I won't end it there of course. We have A LOT more ground to cover.
What else is there to say about the Cavs?
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