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*** Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat ***

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Posted: #1

Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat

Quality teams playing a home game off 2 straight losses - playing another quality team they lost to in the previous matchup - has gone under 75% of all games (by an average of 10.09 points) since 2010 when posting a total above 202.

If said team lost the last match-up by 15+ points, they win the 1Q by an average of 6.3 points during these games as well.

The Heat are playing a home game after 2 straight losses and facing a Wizards team that beat them by 17 in the previous matchup. We take the under, and Heat 1Q.

  • Heat/Wizards Under 204 (2x)
  • Heat -2.5 1Q (1x)

Season YTD: +49.55 Units
5+ Unit Plays: 14-4 

 
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Posted: #2
 
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Posted: #3
I have Miami winning  by 4-7 ...any thoughts on fg?
 
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Posted: #4
Now this is the real deal!
The one I've been following for some time.
 
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Posted: #5
thanks LC the real LC....damn that other fruit cake
 
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Posted: #6

Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Home favorites off a loss, avenging a home loss to an opponent by 2 or less have gone under 77.8% of all games since 2010 by an average of 12.08 points per game.

  • Raptors/Nets Under 197 (2x)

Card Final

 
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Posted: #7
was thinking the same thing on the 1st quarter even tho Wizards are notorious for playing well in the 1st. Thanks for confirming my pick! GL bro 
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by JustDueIt:

I have Miami winning  by 4-7 ...any thoughts on fg?

I like the spot Miami is in especially with Wade being out but Washington has been one of the best road teams in the league this year. Easy pass on the full game spread for me

 
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Posted: #9
The only thing is  the Heat lost 3 in a row does that matter?
 
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Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by docterd597:

The only thing is  the Heat lost 3 in a row does that matter?

Doesn't matter, its for *atleast 2 losses in a row.

 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by armandhammer:

210-122-11 CBB

22-4 on big plays

https://twitter.com/HoodratHoopsNBA

Tired of losing? Follow a winner


massive double massive triple quadruple massive smhhhh get outta here 
 
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Posted: #12

Final Recap:

  • Heat/Wizards Under 204 (2x)
  • Heat -2.5 1Q (1x)
  • Raptors/Nets Under 197 (2x)
 
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Posted: #13
Miami Heat are (1-14) ATS the FIRST GAME when returning HOME from a road trip of 2+ games. (7%)
 
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Posted: #14
Also, DWADE sitting out.
 
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Posted: #15
Is the Public on Washington or Miami?
 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by Fistoffreedom:

Miami Heat are (1-14) ATS the FIRST GAME when returning HOME from a road trip of 2+ games. (7%)

Correct but not entirely.

SU: 15-3 (4.22, 83.3%)
ATS: 2-16-0 (-5.92, 11.1%)   avg line: -10.1

There 2-16 ATS in these situations, but 2-2 ATS in revenge games. Making you guessed it, 0-14 ATS in non-revenge games. Nice find, will note this for future games but not applicable for today.

SU: 11-3 (2.93, 78.6%)
ATS: 0-14-0 (-7.96, 0.0%)   avg line: -10.9

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by Lakers-182:

Is the Public on Washington or Miami?

Miami

 
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Posted: #18
When you say

Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Home favorites off a loss, avenging a home loss to an opponent by 2 or less have gone under 77.8% of all games since 2010 by an average of 12.08 points per game.

Are you implying the the Nets lost their last home game, or their last game to the Raptors?
 
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Posted: #19
I'm sold
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Miami

Washington +6.5 it is then BOL
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by bobmaloogatimesfive:

When you say

Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Home favorites off a loss, avenging a home loss to an opponent by 2 or less have gone under 77.8% of all games since 2010 by an average of 12.08 points per game.

Are you implying the the Nets lost their last home game, or their last game to the Raptors?

Nets lost there last game against the Raptors in Brooklyn by 2 or less.

 
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Posted: #22

Grrr sorry guys. For some reason I thought the Nets last game was there loss to the Celtics but they beat the Kings yesterday so they are no longer off a loss. Buying out of the Raptors/Nets Under. My apologies

Final Recap:

  • Heat/Wizards Under 204 (2x)
  • Heat -2.5 1Q (1x)

 

 

 
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Posted: #23
No worries -- thanks so much for you capping and posts
 
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Posted: #24
BOL- man I feel so stupid cuz I placed a big bet on the Denver under and I just that the other dude was a fake! Oh well
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by bigb650:

BOL- man I feel so stupid cuz I placed a big bet on the Denver under and I just that the other dude was a fake! Oh well

Been there done that.
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