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2014 "Fade the Hilton"

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Legend
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Posted: #126
Week 5 Colin Cowherd Picks

@ Giants -4 vs Atlanta
Chicago +2.5 at Carolina  
Buffalo +7 @  Detroit  
Jets +6.5 at San Diego  
@ Washington +7 vs Seattle

"Triple Dog Dare Ya"

@ Panthers -2 1/2 -120

(btw, the LAST "Triple Dog Dare Ya" to HIT was the Panthers Week 1 vs Buccaneers)
 
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Posted: #127

Quote Originally Posted by The8ofCups:

Other than the 2013 results, is there any other reason to believe fading the Hilton is a good idea?

The answer is NO....cause of too many contestants coming and going over the years all the way back to 2005 when i was 1st in the hilton contest and was watching for this exact trend and also % of picks team over team like 266 vs 85... same thing... up and down kiss your sister...too many entrant # variables...however i wish everybody trying this all the best of luck cause i am one of the contestants this year ( i was the 7th to reg. july 1st out of nearly 1500 con. which was almost a 33% increase from last year...to my point earlier of new unknowns) and rarely pick with the majority...so again GL fading the hilton.

 
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Posted: #128
Guys, I called it last week that the fade would profit (granted 3-2 but still a profit) and I'm confident this week will too. The only one I'm concerned with is Cardinals considering Broncos are off the bye. If you take Colts/Jets/Pats/Panthers I have a feeling you will win again this week.

 GL to all 
 
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Posted: #129
Keep fading the 13-8 Hilton top 5. This week it will go at least 4-1.
 
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Posted: #130
All due respect rudy, the people who are 13-8 or better didn't pick the consensus top 5 that are listed in this thread.  
 
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Posted: #131
Quote Originally Posted by tooez:

All due respect rudy, the people who are 13-8 or better didn't pick the consensus top 5 that are listed in this thread.  

Sorry it's 13-7, and I'm in as Urbandwcay19107(13-7) and at least 3 of my picks every week are consensus. Also if you fade the contest like the bias for this thread you would be 7-13. What? What? Waiting.
Remember tooez the thread title was fade the hilton. THAT WOULD MAKE YOU YOY 7-13.
 
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Posted: #132
Quote Originally Posted by tooez:

All due respect rudy, the people who are 13-8 or better didn't pick the consensus top 5 that are listed in this thread.  

Reading Comprehension. It's so important in life right after basic math skills.
 
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Posted: #133
I also said not the people but the top 5 consensus picks have gone 13-7. READING COMPREHENSION !!!! 
 
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Posted: #134
TOEZ waiting. 
 
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Posted: #135
I did say, "all due respect rudy," because I'm not here to bash or anything. This thread clearly shows a 9-11 record for the year and that is NOT based off your picks or anyone else in the thread you and van have. I seriously respect your picks and this thread is not meant to "fade" yours. It is showing the consensus picks of the contest as a whole with over 1,000 people. Last week fading the consensus went 3-2, and all I said was fading the consensus top 5 will probably profit again this week. Doesn't mean you are wrong because you have other picks separate from the consensus. I wish you the best of luck just like I do every one else in this forum. 
 
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Posted: #136
Quote Originally Posted by tooez:

I did say, "all due respect rudy," because I'm not here to bash or anything. This thread clearly shows a 9-11 record for the year and that is NOT based off your picks or anyone else in the thread you and van have. I seriously respect your picks and this thread is not meant to "fade" yours. It is showing the consensus picks of the contest as a whole with over 1,000 people. Last week fading the consensus went 3-2, and all I said was fading the consensus top 5 will probably profit again this week. Doesn't mean you are wrong because you have other picks separate from the consensus. I wish you the best of luck just like I do every one else in this forum. 

Google it. The consensus picks are 13-7 not the people who are 13-7 as you said. If you fade the contest you lose.
 
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Posted: #137
I also respect you for being honest.
 
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Posted: #138
If I were not in the contest I would not fade the consensus. I was at the hilton super book for the week before the super contest weekend. There were a lot of sharps playing this year. Record number of 1,400 entries.. I would bet on the consensus this year. But I would do 2-3 team parlays.
 
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Posted: #139
Thanks rudy. No need for google just refer to Post #118 
 
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Posted: #140
Understand thats the fades, and it is wrong. 5 Picks times 4 in 20. But One week 5th place had a tie so 21 picks. The fade is actually 8-13. 
 
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Posted: #141
I am not certain about the records in this argument because I've yet to do the analysis of the picks this season. But as far as reading and comprehension at Covers, it has always been bad. No worse than anywhere else on the internet, but noticeably bad.
 
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Posted: #142
Oh FUKK IT!!! I am DONE with THIS!!! fukking pizzing contests and god damn rudy with his usual carping in my threads. 13 posts of  completely useless bullshite on this page alone and Covers-Team does NOTHING!!!

someone else want's to fool with it, FINE but I'm DONE!!!
 
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Posted: #143
Cash easy, is that broad in your pic named Tempe?
 
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Posted: #144
I don't know the nonsense that's going on ^^^^ with records or confusion or trolling.....

Link, maybe you can start posting each week separately instead of the one big thread?  Could be less confusing for all involved.  Also when you have trolls running wild or a few guys going to town and bashing each other and eating up 50 posts......good to know the following week there's a fresh thread to put that in the past.  

 
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Posted: #145
Rat... I apologize for clogging the thread, it was completely useless. Please keep doing what your doing 
 
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Posted: #146
keep it going brotha. its an interesting system.

I do a similar thing but just roll with fading any 70% or higher consensus game, and always look a lil closer into the primetime games.

so far its running around 60%. last year it ended up right in the same neighborhood.

cheers
 
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Posted: #147
Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

I don't know the nonsense that's going on ^^^^ with records or confusion or trolling.....

Link, maybe you can start posting each week separately instead of the one big thread?  Could be less confusing for all involved.  Also when you have trolls running wild or a few guys going to town and bashing each other and eating up 50 posts......good to know the following week there's a fresh thread to put that in the past.  



well I was hoping to have an "information only" thread with all the stats for the season in one place that would NOT get over-run with useless BS posts. guess I should have known better with the Covers crowd esp in football forums 
 
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Posted: #148
the final straw for me is when Covers-Team refuses to remove the guano to clean up the thread when requested
 
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Posted: #149
My fellow Penguins fan.    Here's some info for you.


The following is a list of this weeks picks from the current top ten contestants, and ties.  So this week it's a total of 17 contestants, totaling 85 picks.  I've listed them on a game by game basis.

MIN          1
GB (-9)     0

CHI               4
CAR (-2.5)     2

CLE             3
TEN (-1.5)     2

STL          10
PHI (-7)     0

ATL            3
NYG (-4)     0

TB             1
NO (-10)     3

HOU             1
DAL (-5.5)     3

BUF           8
DET (-7)     0

BAL             8
IND (-3.5)     2

PIT (-6)     1
JAX          0

ARI            0
DEN (-7)     7

KC          3
SF (-6)     3

NYJ           10
SD (-6.5)     1

CIN (-1)     1
NE           4

SEA (-7)     1
WAS          3


 
 
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Posted: #150
^^^^^
VERY interesting. looks like the leaders are heavy on dogs. IF I am reading correctly it is Rams, Bills, Ravens, Jets with the only fav getting heavy action Broncos

thank for posting, FadeOnly
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