All Forums | NFL Betting

2015 NFL playoff thread...

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 47262
Posts: 257
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 30870
Posted: #176
Solid Year Van.....GL on the SB
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 1650
Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Thanks for the nice words.

Think I might be out in Vegas for the SB!  Still have some strings to pull but it might happen.

But the contest for sure next year.


Great job as always van!  If you end up going to Vegas, pm me.  I will be out there also.  Good luck on the SB and look fwd to your write up and thoughts.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 6378
Posted: #178
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Hey mafia - I know you have participated in my threads all season - thanks for that.  Hope at some point you were tailing me.  It was a good year.

GL in the SB.  Will post my pick soon.

 


I was certainly trailing you down the stretch. 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 11966
Posted: #179
van, thanks for ur picks on championship sunday.  i leaned opposite on both, then when i saw pack cover easily, i knew indy was the wrong side also, and u were spot on both games.  really appreciate it, it resulted in a big positive swing that has lasted all week.  
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2012
Posts: 706
Posted: #180
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

1.  NE might not have to run it at all.  I agree they will have trouble running the ball - but their pass will set up their run.  They are not in a run to pass situation here - they will need to consistently be hitting their short routes for the run to work.  Will they be able to do that?

2.  It only makes NE one dimensional if they cant throw.  I think your analysis is correct - but backwards - in that I don't think NE will come out and try to "establish the run".  They will run if the pass is working early.

3.  Seattles running game gets progressively better during the game than any team in the NFL.  Seattle will do the opposite of NE - they will run to pass - and the barrage gets better and better as the game goes on.  Can NE withstand it?

I am going to write up my thoughts soon....

GL




Everyone but the Patriots defense is getting talked about....
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 1415
Posted: #181
Quote Originally Posted by TheFootball77:




Everyone but the Patriots defense is getting talked about....

Overreaction.  How quickly we forget what balty did to them. Forsett 129 yards 5.4 avg. 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2002
Posts: 54462
Posted: #182
Quote Originally Posted by mafia13:


Overreaction.  How quickly we forget what balty did to them. Forsett 129 yards 5.4 avg. 
Thats all due to the fact NE had to respect the Smiths on the outside and deep.....something they wont have to do vs Seattle 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 941
Posted: #183

Brandon Browner was a starter on Seattle's defense last year! I suspect he has had two roles this week. NE assistant coach on both sides of the ball.

Another fact about Brandon Browner. "On December 18, 2013, the NFL erroneously reported Browner was facing an indefinite suspension for again violating the NFL's performance enhancing drug rules.[4] The suspension kept him from playing in Super Bowl XLVIII against the Denver Broncos."

Think he wants to play in the Superbowl against his former teammates?  I DO.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 941
Posted: #184
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Thanks.

Although adding value to this site is not a high bar 

Agreed!  There is few "must reads" in this Forum - you are one of them.  Looking forward to your write-up and prediction.

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 45954
Posted: #185
Great work recently and in general. I enjoy your reading your thoughts on the games no matter the sport. Thanks for posting and continued success going forward.

The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 45954
Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by vizi71:

Van:
Here are my thoughts.  Appreciate your input and response. 
NE is going to have a hard time running the ball against SEA. They couldn't run against BAL and they are gonna have a hard time doing so against SEA. Blount is a physical plodder that SEA will find easy to stop.  This makes NE one dimensional.
I feel like the matchups favor SEA.  Give me Sherman, Thomas, Wagner and Chancellor against Edelman, LaFell and Gronk.  
On the other side, I think SEA will expose the interior of the NE D-Line.  Lynch will find running room, setting up play action.
Maybe it is recency bias, but I can't get the dismantling of Denver last year out of my mind. 
Line opened at -1 for SEA and I liked it then.  At +1, a ML bet on SEA is a no brainer to me. 

Why are you assuming they will use Blount in this game? The Patriots have a different gameplan for every opponent and the personnel they use is unique to each situation and opponent. Three Patriot running backs had more rushing yards this season than Blount so if anything expect something different unless they deem Blount to have the best chance of success. As far as covering receivers goes Vereen had 52 catches this season so he must be accounted for an Amendola has  6 catches for 89 yards and 2 touchdowns these playoffs so can't sleep on him either. The biggest question in this game is can Seattle pressure Brady, that will have the biggest impact on determining a winner in this matchup. You pressure Brady a lot, it causes him problems, you don't, he will have his way with you. So far these playoffs the Seattle front four have been getting bullied on the line, that will have to change for Seattle Feb. 1 if that night is to belong to them.
The lion and the tiger may be more powerful, but the wolf doesn't perform in the circus.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2006
Posts: 33
Posted: #187

Very nice playoff season sir --  Wishing you the best with your SuperBowl plays -- have been following your system closely.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 272
Posted: #188
Quote Originally Posted by CokeBooger:

Very nice playoff season sir --  Wishing you the best with your SuperBowl plays -- have been following your system closely.

. Could be the best name I've seen on here and I echo coke boogers sentiments, already on ne, but I want to see vans pick. 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1654
Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

What is this line going to do?

Don't know whether to start dripping in now or to wait it out.


I don't follow, Van.

Do you really see this line moving significantly in either direction?

IMO not a chance it gets near 3 points either way so shouldn't we be concerned mainly with getting low juice?
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #190

Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

Solid Year Van.....GL on the SB

Thanks Truck.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #191
Quote Originally Posted by broncofn:


Great job as always van!  If you end up going to Vegas, pm me.  I will be out there also.  Good luck on the SB and look fwd to your write up and thoughts.

Will do.  Still trying to work out some details, but it is looking good for Vegas.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #192

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #193

Holy s hit.

You have got to be kidding me.

I wrote a huge writeup on the SB and the post is blank?

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #194

Maybe the mods can see if they can recover that post.  But I am not writing it again.

Here is a summary...

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #195

WTF is going on?  

I wrote it up again, and again it is blank.  Jeesh.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #196

GL all.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #197

I cant post.  Literally every time I post who is going to win this game it goes blank.  The post above said:

7-3 in playoffs (with GB marked as a loss), up 14.225 units (including juice)

Seattle PK +100 (4 units)

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #198

Here is the summary:

I use a lot of adjusted stats.  Seattle rushing game is #1 in the leagues (by far), and NE rushing D is #20.  This matchup is worth 12 net points to Seattle alone.

NE will have to throw to run.  Seattle will shut down the pass enough to make the run non-existent.

Seattle 31-21

I wrote up a huge writeup above, then wrote a summary of the writeup, and for some reason Covers software wont let me post it and I didn't keep a copy and I am not doing it again.  I will discuss any part of it, but am too frustrated right now to rewrite it all.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2002
Posts: 22961
Posted: #199
GL Van 
bigreds daddy
 
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59776
Posted: #200

Thanks everyone else for the kind words.

I read every post and appreciate the input.

Go Seahawks.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.