Wellllll........ Ladies and Gentlemen, Boys and Girls, Children of All Ages....
Its no big secret that Ive been an EPIC Run the past 2 Weeks, as I've gone 7-0 (wk3) and 8-0 (wk4), plus 2 other Wins from wk2, Im sitting on an unprecedented 17-Game Winning Streak!!!
The past couple weeks.... Ive been blessed with Some Solid Info, mixed with Some Good Luck, mixed with Some Savvy Betting Experience.... and It's ALL FINALLY paying off!!!
My Overall Record is Sitting at 29-5 YTD... Thats an 83% Winning Percentage!!!
WEEK 5 WINNERS:
Indy -6.5 (hook) vs Kansas City: Well Im gonna start off my picks with my Favorite Pick of the Week... Let me be clear, I REALLY Like the Colts this Week at Home, Laying a TD against KC!! Im not big on "trends" or any of those betting patterns but I absolutely LOVE Indy coming back Home, after losing on the Road to an inner-division foe, who knows them all too well... Now they come home, to face a 3-0 Chiefs Team whos coming out of their Bye-Week, looking to improve to 4-0 at the Colts expense. This reminds me of 2 Weeks ago when TB was 2-0 facing the Steelers and the Spread was WAAAAYY too little bc the Bucs were Undefeated and the Steelers had some question marks... That game was an ABSOLUTE GIFT and this game is EERILY Similar to that one!! A lot of people are expecting KC to have A LOT of success Running the Ball against the Colts Defense, thus keeping the game close and allowing them to possibly "pull a Jaguars" by hanging around all game, and pulling away late. The Colts defense has faced Cassel once before when he was on NE and he didnt have much success vs them (204 Yds, 0 TDs, 1 int), not that 1 game is a large enough sample size to draw a conclusion from, I do expect Cassel to have just an OK game vs the Colts, either Turning the Ball over more times than passing TDs or equal value. The Colts will more the ball with absolute EASE and their Defense will make Timely Stops..... I FULLY expect the Colts to ROLL to a 3 Score Victory!!! (I'm LAYING 4-UNITS on this Game!)
Detroit -2.5 (hook) vs St. Louis: Detroits played well enough to have ATLEAST 1 Win, having lost 3 games by 5, 3, and 2 Points... They have only 1 Home Game so far this season, where they Lost to the Eagles by 3 Points, 35-32 in Wk2, so theyve proven to be a LIVE Home Team! St. Louis has only 1 Road Game, having Lost to Oakland, so their Road play isnt quite "clear" or "accurately predictable"... St. Louis put A LOT into lastwks Win against Seattle, since they are an NFC West Rival, and that Division is Always up for grabs every season, since noones very good in that Division. St Louis is going to be physically and emotionally spent and I look for St Louis to have a big let-down after that big Win at home against Seattle. Now they go on the Road into Mo-Town, against a Team who's 0-4 Record Doesnt say anything for their effort or skill level!!! Detroits got Weapons on Offense and their Defense has come a LOOONG WAY! Im convinced that Detroit Wins by a solid margin, something like 10-14 Points... I Love ONLY laying 2.5 Pts here!!!
Buffalo -1 vs Jacksonville: a QB Change, a former All-Pro RB Shipped outta town, and an 0-4 Record to boot... oh, and Did I mention that this team is Favored by 1 point and is facing a team who just beat the Defending AFC Champions the prior Week!?!? Ok, Im just making sure that I mentioned EVERYTHING that the betting public sees when picking Jacksonville... Did I name EVERY Obvious betting angle on why I should pick the Jags? Great!!! Now to my point... Jacksonville is just AWFUL on the Road, Especially leaving their Division. Buffalo is committing to their new QB and is Finally going to have a more conventional RB By Committee, with Fred Jackson getting the Start and CJ Spiller returning Kicks and being inserted when Big Plays are needed. Jacksonville just plays SO different on the Road and their Running Game will NOT be as effective, while their QB Play is JUST AWFUL when they leave their Home field!! Dont get me wrong, the Bills might just be the Worst Team in the NFL, but they have a SERIOUS opportunity to Win their 1st Game this Week... and I think they get it DONE!!!