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3 Reasons why u should bet the Bills this Sunday

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Posted: #51
You could be right on this play but I prefer not to bet on that fat bafoon Rex.

That bozo couldn't coach his way out of a wet paper bag. 
 
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Posted: #52
Back to back up my point one last time, and if anyone responds calling me an idiot, I'll just ignore them, because clearly they are the ones who don't get it, even in the face of the evidence I provided-

Ok, well us gamblers know how when we get to that LAST game on our parlay tickets, it almost always loses, right? Of course it does. Because the fact is, the odds are NOT 50/50 on that last game. More like 10% (10/90)

It's called the law of averages. Like today on my parlay every game is winning, looking great, except Bears ML. Go figure right? And they were favs at -200 so the odds were supposed to be better than 50% and it's still down by a TD.

If I win that one, it will be a miracle. I am almost positive Redskins will win today now, because as I said my odds of winning this game are 10% (NOT 50% like you fallacy gamblers seem to think every trial is independent, if it was, then you'd be hitting those last games at a 50% rate, would you not?)

Can't break it down anymore simple than this.


 
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Posted: #53
What happens in the last leg of a parlay is in no way affected by what has happened in the other games.

If me and you both placed the same parlay and in the last game you have team a and I have team b

Do we both have 10% chance of winning ?
 
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Posted: #54
Or say u have a ten team parlay and nine win.

The last leg is GB playing south Texas school for the blind.

Have GB only got a 10% chance of winning because the other 9 teams won ?

You sir , need to stop gambling.
 
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Posted: #55
Was kinda hoping this guy woulda been back to thank me for the education.
 
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Posted: #56
Why guys put their hard earned cash on that fat bozo Rex is beyond me. I just hate putting money on incompetent baffons
 
 
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Posted: #57
60% of the time it works every time.

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