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3 Reasons why u should bet the Bills this Sunday

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3 Reasons to bet the Buffalo Bills this Sunday...

Bills pk em

Last week I gave u the Saints and this week I gave u 3 reasons to bet the Steelers so far, and now I have another team I like even more than the Steelers for this week....so for u who aren't comfortable with my Steelers pick....perhaps you will find this one more suitable for u.

3 Reasons to bet the Bills this Sunday

1. Teams who upset the Patriots always fail to cover the next game....And any time the Eagles win they always fail to cover the next game regardless of who they just beat.

2. Eagles have been outgained in their last 3 games by an average of more than 150 yards, including the Patriots game where they were outgained by 179 yards. 

3. Lesean McCoy......I have a feeling he's been waitin to have a season high performing game against his old coach Chip Kelly whom he despises. And we know a good run game opens up the pass. 

So, u have a super talented motivated running back who's quarterback has thrown for 17 d's and only 4 picks playing against a team ranked 24th in pass defense who's known to let down after a win.....let alone after winning against the Patriots (who are crippled by the way). Betting the Eagles would be betting a team to win off of kick returns and pick 6's......................2 games in a row. Did I mention Taylor only has thrown 4 picks so far this year?

I have many more reasons to bet the Bills but I think you get the picture so I won't go any further. But remember, I'm no psychic....good luck!
 
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Posted: #2
Eagles have lost 3 straight at home.  Hard to imagine them losing 4 in a row at home. 
Mayweather bet 450000 on
 
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Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

Eagles have lost 3 straight at home.  Hard to imagine them losing 4 in a row at home. 

This is a fallacy.

Before any of the prior three home games had been played, I would agree with you that it is "hard to imagine them losing four straight at home."

But now, to lose four at home, all they have to do is lose one at home.

If I say, "it's hard to imagine me flipping a coin four times, and having it come up heads it time" you might agree with that.  After all, the odds of doing so are 1 out of 16, also expressed as 15 to 1 against.

But if I flip the coin three times and it lands up heads each time, NOW the odds of a result of four consecutive heads are just 50-50.

Now that they've already lost three games in a row at home, the opposite is true... it's very easy, not hard, to imagine the Eagles losing four in a row at home.
 
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Posted: #4
buf  
 
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Posted: #6
For me any team that has a complete no show as they did on national television against the Lions, I will fade these heartless clowns.
 
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Posted: #7
Bills huge play here
 
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GOY materials
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:


This is a fallacy.

Before any of the prior three home games had been played, I would agree with you that it is "hard to imagine them losing four straight at home."

But now, to lose four at home, all they have to do is lose one at home.

If I say, "it's hard to imagine me flipping a coin four times, and having it come up heads it time" you might agree with that.  After all, the odds of doing so are 1 out of 16, also expressed as 15 to 1 against.

But if I flip the coin three times and it lands up heads each time, NOW the odds of a result of four consecutive heads are just 50-50.

Now that they've already lost three games in a row at home, the opposite is true... it's very easy, not hard, to imagine the Eagles losing four in a row at home.

Wrong. You obviously don't understand the simple stuff, like the law of averages. If it was 50/50 everytime then you could flop a coin on heads 50 times in a row. But you can never do that, because the fact is, the odds are not 50/50 every time. One of those times during those 50 flips it will be 100% to land on Tails. (actually more than once...lol) But you don't seem to get this. It goes over your head. 


As for this game...I kinda like Philly and I'll tell you why. Has nothing to do with losing at home, I remember when they lost every home game for 2 years straight, just not too long ago. It's because they beat Patriots. I think they beat them for a reason...because they needed to win. Isn't this also a must win ame for them to make the post season? If not, then maybe I'm wrong, bills will win. But if son, then Philly will win. Eagles ARE making the post season, I can tell you that right now.

 
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Posted: #10
Eagles got two tds from st and 1 from the defense.  If they can do that again they will win.  They won't do that again.  McCoy runs wild.  Bradford throws a pick or two or three and Bills win.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:


Wrong. You obviously don't understand the simple stuff, like the law of averages. If it was 50/50 everytime then you could flop a coin on heads 50 times in a row. But you can never do that, because the fact is, the odds are not 50/50 every time. One of those times during those 50 flips it will be 100% to land on Tails. (actually more than once...lol) But you don't seem to get this. It goes over your head. 


As for this game...I kinda like Philly and I'll tell you why. Has nothing to do with losing at home, I remember when they lost every home game for 2 years straight, just not too long ago. It's because they beat Patriots. I think they beat them for a reason...because they needed to win. Isn't this also a must win ame for them to make the post season? If not, then maybe I'm wrong, bills will win. But if son, then Philly will win. Eagles ARE making the post season, I can tell you that right now.




 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:


Wrong. You obviously don't understand the simple stuff, like the law of averages. If it was 50/50 everytime then you could flop a coin on heads 50 times in a row. But you can never do that, because the fact is, the odds are not 50/50 every time. One of those times during those 50 flips it will be 100% to land on Tails. (actually more than once...lol) But you don't seem to get this. It goes over your head. 




What? Are you drunk? The only way you have 100% of landing on tails is if the coin has tails on both sides. Just because it landed on tails doesnt mean it was 100%. It was still 50/50 but you dont seem to get this. It goes over your head or tail lol. You could roll a single dice 1000 times and never hit a snake eye but the odds are still 1in 6. The odds wouldnt change to 100% just because it landed on it once.



 
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Posted: #13
As long as Buffalo doesn't go retard on us with penalties, they will win this game.
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by blaqjacc:



1. Teams who upset the Patriots always fail to cover the next game....And any time the Eagles win they always fail to cover the next game regardless of who they just beat.


The Broncos upset the Patriots 2 weeks and then covered against the Chargers last week.


 
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Posted: #15
First half Bills is probably a much safer bet.

Eagles are a horrid first half team, and Bills are covering machines. Buffalo is ranked 9th and Philly is ranked 24th in points. 


 
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You guy just don't get it. It's as simple as I explained it. You have a 100% of hitting tails, one one of those flips, if you flip 50 times.

Try it, prove me wrong, try to flip the coin randomly 50 times and get heads or tails everytime. I'll bet you can't. Because the odds are 100% just like I said. And this is assuming you can even get 20 in a row, it will likely be 100% on that 21st flip that you will get a different outcome.

Sorry can't explain it any more simple than that. The first poster almost had it right, he said the odds are 1/16 or something, but then he failed to realize that those odds stayed the same, even after 3 consecutive flips. The wheel DOES have a memory. I used to be a professional roulette player, and I profited consistently, so I know what I'm talking about through experience.

It's the law of averages. It's simple.
 
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Posted: #17
Let's go back to #1 of the 3 reasons big guy: do you have any factual evidence that supports this STATEMENT? Or is this one of those typical statements I see on this site that offers NOTHING to the individual reading this nonsense. Regardless if I feel the bills or eagles win, I have a big problem with this crap. Unless you offer evidence that supports your big claim, save us the time bud. Good luck.


 
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If you would like to provide evidence here I will simply grow you a handshake but icons throw those out loosely like some on here!!!!!!!!!!!! Audacity! Respect the handshake emoji please, don't lower its value! ;)
 
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

You guy just don't get it. It's as simple as I explained it. You have a 100% of hitting tails, one one of those flips, if you flip 50 times.

Try it, prove me wrong, try to flip the coin randomly 50 times and get heads or tails everytime. I'll bet you can't. Because the odds are 100% just like I said. And this is assuming you can even get 20 in a row, it will likely be 100% on that 21st flip that you will get a different outcome.

Sorry can't explain it any more simple than that. The first poster almost had it right, he said the odds are 1/16 or something, but then he failed to realize that those odds stayed the same, even after 3 consecutive flips. The wheel DOES have a memory. I used to be a professional roulette player, and I profited consistently, so I know what I'm talking about through experience.

It's the law of averages. It's simple.

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

You guy just don't get it. It's as simple as I explained it. You have a 100% of hitting tails, one one of those flips, if you flip 50 times.

Try it, prove me wrong, try to flip the coin randomly 50 times and get heads or tails everytime. I'll bet you can't. Because the odds are 100% just like I said. And this is assuming you can even get 20 in a row, it will likely be 100% on that 21st flip that you will get a different outcome.


This is the most insane thing I've ever seen on Covers.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

You guy just don't get it. It's as simple as I explained it. You have a 100% of hitting tails, one one of those flips, if you flip 50 times.

Try it, prove me wrong, try to flip the coin randomly 50 times and get heads or tails everytime. I'll bet you can't. Because the odds are 100% just like I said. And this is assuming you can even get 20 in a row, it will likely be 100% on that 21st flip that you will get a different outcome.

Sorry can't explain it any more simple than that. The first poster almost had it right, he said the odds are 1/16 or something, but then he failed to realize that those odds stayed the same, even after 3 consecutive flips. The wheel DOES have a memory. I used to be a professional roulette player, and I profited consistently, so I know what I'm talking about through experience.

It's the law of averages. It's simple.

this is golden. 

Did you play roulette at the MGM? No wonder your name is MGM profits. 
 
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Posted: #22
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy

 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:


this is golden. 

Did you play roulette at the MGM? No wonder your name is MGM profits. 

No, because too many of the dealers there cheat.(my name has nothing to do with the casino) I tested my Holy Grail there however, and made $1500 on that night.

But please somebody tell me they understand and agree with what I'm saying about the LAW OF AVERAGES. There is no way around this law. Not a single one of you can flip a coin on heads 50 times in a row. That is because the odds are NOT 50/50 each time. If they were, then you could easily flip it 50 times in a row.

It's that simple. You guys are thinking about it all wrong when you think each trial is independent. 
 
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Now, what we COULD do is have 50 different people flip one coin and have all them of them flip it on heads. But that is because they are only flipping it once. But the same person can't flip the same coin on the same side 50x straight. Not even 40 straight. Unless there was some kind of bias. It is estimated that a coin will land on tails 70% of the time because the weight of the head usually lands facing down. 
 
 
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Posted: #25
But the Roulette Wheel definitely has a memory, because the numbers are laid out in a certain order, so there are patterns to each sin. Nothing is truly random. So if the dealer spins with a signature you will surely see paterns and bias towards certain numbers. That is also how they cheat the players. I have a system that exploits this too, which is genius and works 100% of the time, but it can only be used very sparingly and only once per table, and it must be a cheating dealer. or it wont work.
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