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AFC and NFC Championship Games....

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Posted: #76

@vanzack

Nice write ups. On the PHI/SF game: “The Eagles are in the bottom third %. pressure rate”? Not sure about this stat or how it is compiled but I’d like to know more. Philly has The best OLine in football and Lane Johnson and J.Kelce have not allowed a sack All year. I don’t expect Hurts to be clean all game but he’s definitely going to have time to go through his progressions more often than not.

I strongly believe The Eagles will NOT come out running the ball. They will use a pass first approach to open up run options later. I’ve seen them do that whenever they’ve faced a top ten Run D. (Tenn, Pitt, Wash)

gl peace_5 On to Cincinnati. Lol

 
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Posted: #77

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Quote Originally Posted by szhcik: if the spreads are so tight why take the points never unnerstoodat... Well.... Because at current lines there is a 43.5% chance of the Niners coving the ML, and a 49.5% chance of covering +2.5%. You can say that the spread wont matter all you want....  It is kind of like saying at a craps table "he will never roll snake eyes" - but there is roughly a 6% chance that the Eagles win and the Niners cover. Thats why you take the points.
A decade ago, the ML at +$ would have been the better option....but with the extra point being more difficult now and 2 point attempts more prominent (not to mention game theory as to when to kick fgs vs going for it on 4th)....having 1.5 or 2.5 is worth the juice.

 

Vanpeace_5

 
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Posted: #78

@TRAIN69

 2002 you ma brother from de oudder mudderfucker....if that you im gonna rip your face of for snapping my roung dreams destroying my footie team and beating the fucking packers to boot..ass faced donkey running pidgeoned toed horse faced gadget boy who no matter what i said was useless...and you desreved all the thumpings you watched your defence take...bigsmile

Sweet home ALABAMA
 
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Posted: #79

Quote Originally Posted by szhcik:

@TRAIN69  2002 you ma brother from de oudder mudderfucker....if that you im gonna rip your face of for snapping my roung dreams destroying my footie team and beating the fucking packers to boot..ass faced donkey running pidgeoned toed horse faced gadget boy who no matter what i said was useless...and you desreved all the thumpings you watched your defence take...
I dunno whats going on here....but I'm intrigued....an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #80

@TRAIN69

 you remeber afrts....only way i got into nfl..googfinf g around under the covers with a radio..heard sport..ooo american acccents..you were all exotic then...girlfriend..well gurl next door was candaian..but well long story...thought it was a weird soccer game..figured out it was more fugby then got all confused..this was befor etinternet mobiles easy info access...tuned parents thought i was being a good lad goint to bed six oclock sinday to do hoework..zzzz aftrts has it marked..listened to it for years ..what reception i could get...

 

been in luv with american sports..excepyt the shirtlifters game since then..couldnt listen to basketball ffs..basebal was mad on the radio..nfl the best tho..

then all the different accents you lot have..god that souther drawl...wish i lived in dixie..then got american obsessed..orioles denim jacket...into nfl years before bookies even bet on it..gave me a good head start..british bookies knew dick...i knew 3 or four years..greatest bet..steve young superbowl...spread betting..over 230yds..over 2.5 tds i think etc..fucking unloaded everything..got banned from the corals shop for indsiedr trading or whatever..knobs...

 

just thought you might be horse faced pidgeoned toed heartbreaking bastardo elway..peace

Sweet home ALABAMA
 
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Posted: #81

My realistic expectations made it easy to objectively quantify the advantage with KC.  

Mahomes will be OK 

 
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Posted: #82

I like both Dogs !

Very surprised to see you on the niners !

Bol 

an_cheers

peace

Claim to Fame - beating Bill Rodgers in a race.
 
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Posted: #83

On em both, like having you on my sidepeace_5

 
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Posted: #84

Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet:

As a fan I think we are set up for a spectacular championship weekend. good luck on the plays.

can’t remember a championship Sunday so evenly matched.  -1.5 and minus 2.5.  3 total points given between the 2 games.  Should be awesome 

 
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Posted: #85

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #86

@jdmoney14

 torture waiting...an_horse

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Posted: #87

Who Dey let’s go Bengals peace_5clover

 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

Quote Originally Posted by ActionMagnet: As a fan I think we are set up for a spectacular championship weekend. good luck on the plays. can’t remember a championship Sunday so evenly matched.  -1.5 and minus 2.5.  3 total points given between the 2 games.  Should be awesome

lol at my mathpaint_help

 
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Posted: #89

Quote Originally Posted by wolfeman3:

Vanzack is absolutely in my “Top 2 Cappers” I’ve run across all times! Mahalo Braddah

@wolfeman3 who's the other capper? 

 

A broken Rolex is right twice A-day hahaha
 
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Posted: #90

Quote Originally Posted by 2goodhahaha:

Quote Originally Posted by wolfeman3: Vanzack is absolutely in my “Top 2 Cappers” I’ve run across all times! Mahalo Braddah @wolfeman3 who's the other capper?

Billy Walters

The impossible only takes longer….
 
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Posted: #91

george foreman grills bears

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Posted: #92

Van

Three games to go. Regardless of outcomes, congratulations on a truly magical season. And, of course, thanks for sharing all your hard work.

One last request : we all know you're busy, but it is time to get started on your Pro Bowl analysis. Flag football being played by disinterested millionaires should be a real challenge for you. But just to save you some time, the game will be played indoors at Allegiant Stadium in Nevada, so you won't have to worry about the weather. Very smart of the NFL. Those flags can get very heavy and slippery in wet and icy conditions.

Well done, Mr. Vanzack !

 

 

 
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Posted: #93

Let's Go!an_horse

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #94

@jdmoney14peace_5

 goodpost #89 an_light

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #95

Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

Van Three games to go. Regardless of outcomes, congratulations on a truly magical season. And, of course, thanks for sharing all your hard work. One last request : we all know you're busy, but it is time to get started on your Pro Bowl analysis. Flag football being played by disinterested millionaires should be a real challenge for you. But just to save you some time, the game will be played indoors at Allegiant Stadium in Nevada, so you won't have to worry about the weather. Very smart of the NFL. Those flags can get very heavy and slippery in wet and icy conditions. Well done, Mr. Vanzack !

an_roll_laugh

 
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by 1129ken:

Van Three games to go. Regardless of outcomes, congratulations on a truly magical season. And, of course, thanks for sharing all your hard work. One last request : we all know you're busy, but it is time to get started on your Pro Bowl analysis. Flag football being played by disinterested millionaires should be a real challenge for you. But just to save you some time, the game will be played indoors at Allegiant Stadium in Nevada, so you won't have to worry about the weather. Very smart of the NFL. Those flags can get very heavy and slippery in wet and icy conditions. Well done, Mr. Vanzack !

an_roll_laugh

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #97

an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #98

an_dancepeaceclovercloverclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
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Posted: #99

Bol Van peace_5

Still in recovery from serious stuff which is why I'm not posting much.

Be wellan_cheers

 
 
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Posted: #100

Howdy Van, well I'm not writing this but the wife is for me today since I'm not home..Asked her to post at 2:50..I agree the games to me aren't worth any huge wagers.. My futures are in Great Shape though..I did a bunch of props today ..

 

Today just small to watch..

3:00 pm.....Philly - 2 ....Really surprised to see so many jump to the Niners after the Dallas game when so many didn't give them a chance..ps; not intended for anyone that had  reason's more then the 49'ers played no one ..

6:40 pm...KC+ML..Got on them early Tuesday am in that small window..I just don't see this as a close game either way..This is more of a hedge to my Cinn. SB Future..I think Either one can and will win big today..Just cant see a close game in my simulations..

So I guess we're opposite and wish us both the best of luck..peace_5 Thanks again my Friend for all you do here and for the Animal Shelters..an_cheers

BOL to everyone else no matter what your wagers are today

jj

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