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Anyone else starting to have second thoughts on their Broncos bet?

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Posted: #51
Denver is the right play

If one of the conference champions (not both) won SU as a dog they are 8-0 ATS the last 8 SB appearances.  Denver was a dog last week

Also look at some of the great Qbs who played in their final SB

Brady last season possible last SB? (doubt it)
Warner covered ATS
Elway Won and ats
Favre Lost
Aikman won and covered ATS
Young won and ats
Montanan won and ats
Bradshaw won and Ats
Staubach loss
Namath won and ats
Starr won and ats

With the 2 trends or stats, whatever you want to call them and the fact that 70%+ of the money is on Carolina and the underdogs have faired well in the SB how do you not take Denver?

Cam will be back in the SB. This is it for Peyton. The pressure is on the young inexperienced Panthers. People are overreacted to Carolina's blowout win. Would people be as confident if they would have beat Arizona by 7? This is a perfect setup for Denver due to the fact  that Carolina went 15-1 and Denver was 12-4. This crap was setup that's why Manning suddenly had a foot injury and took several weeks off. It was to rest him as much as possible so he could be as effective for the SB as possible. The NFL is just like the WWE people. Wake up!

 
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Posted: #52
Quote Originally Posted by IgetMoney101:

Denver is the right play

If one of the conference champions (not both) won SU as a dog they are 8-0 ATS the last 8 SB appearances.  Denver was a dog last week

Also look at some of the great Qbs who played in their final SB

Brady last season possible last SB? (doubt it)
Warner covered ATS
Elway Won and ats
Favre Lost
Aikman won and covered ATS
Young won and ats
Montanan won and ats
Bradshaw won and Ats
Staubach loss
Namath won and ats
Starr won and ats

With the 2 trends or stats, whatever you want to call them and the fact that 70%+ of the money is on Carolina and the underdogs have faired well in the SB how do you not take Denver?

Cam will be back in the SB. This is it for Peyton. The pressure is on the young inexperienced Panthers. People are overreacted to Carolina's blowout win. Would people be as confident if they would have beat Arizona by 7? This is a perfect setup for Denver due to the fact  that Carolina went 15-1 and Denver was 12-4. This crap was setup that's why Manning suddenly had a foot injury and took several weeks off. It was to rest him as much as possible so he could be as effective for the SB as possible. The NFL is just like the WWE people. Wake up!


Great info thanks
 
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Posted: #53
Bpickin i noticed last weeks thread about the conference championship picks. I have used that strategy for years and it is $. You know what you are doing    Many bettors are lost sheep that get slaughtered every year.
 
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Posted: #54
I was in Vegas and after I cashed my Panthers -3 I laid all $2200 on Broncos +4. Yes I am a fan of them but IT reeks too much like the Ravens a few years ago. I hot that one big and think the AFC was the better conference. AFC South was a joke. The absolute WORST defenses in the league in ATL and NO and Tampa wasn't garbage either. AFC West was a much better conference. Two playoff teams. Raiders were actually decent this year. Denver has number one rush D and I think their corners will have no problem with Carolina Receivers, because who do they have? It could go either way but I'll gladly take the points. Good luck. 
 
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Posted: #55
 
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Posted: #56
You should wait for Lang 100 dime play. That is what I am doing
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by sunglow:

You should wait for Lang 100 dime play. That is what I am doing


Lol I was thinking about that yesterday 

He has been absolutely horrible for months... 
 
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Posted: #58
If I lose riding with he sheriff into the sunset I lose. I can live with that, what I can't live with is buying out a bet because one person with some shaky stats at best posts. Carolina turnover is inflated in my opinion. If you honestly believe Peyton manning will throw the ball at carolina defenders like palmer did then by all means back the panthers. That minus 4 lets take a closer look at that. All year no doubt peyton was hurt, you can't question this. My cap will be out later with more of a write up. One stat I will leave you with though. Guess who is reefing the game? Blakemen, guess what Denvers record is with this guy refing... 5 and 0 straight up. what happened last week, Ed got the call and guess what peytons record was with Ed? 14-2 SU. This game is not cut and dry, go look at first half numbers for carolina at home vs on the road. Then take out the last two playoff games. Insane man do a cap!!!!! Don't blind follow this one fool

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:




You are going to mock the offenses of the AFC and NFC South, when Denver got to play the tough Raiders, Chiefs and Chargers twice?

Ill take the offenses of Atl, Tampa and New Orleans all day over those 3 

Didn't the Chiefs actually make the playoffs with the Chargers eliminated in the last or 2nd to last week?

When did ATL/TB/NO get eliminated from playoff contention?
 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by M0neyMillsMark:

If I lose riding with he sheriff into the sunset I lose. I can live with that, what I can't live with is buying out a bet because one person with some shaky stats at best posts. Carolina turnover is inflated in my opinion. If you honestly believe Peyton manning will throw the ball at carolina defenders like palmer did then by all means back the panthers. That minus 4 lets take a closer look at that. All year no doubt peyton was hurt, you can't question this. My cap will be out later with more of a write up. One stat I will leave you with though. Guess who is reefing the game? Blakemen, guess what Denvers record is with this guy refing... 5 and 0 straight up. what happened last week, Ed got the call and guess what peytons record was with Ed? 14-2 SU. This game is not cut and dry, go look at first half numbers for carolina at home vs on the road. Then take out the last two playoff games. Insane man do a cap!!!!! Don't blind follow this one fool


seriously blakeman stats gave him the job of white cap?
nothing for nothing but i had an uneasy feeling .
if this is truth, then denver covers.
ill pay the 25 to buy out of this mess. 
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:


seriously blakeman stats gave him the job of white cap?
nothing for nothing but i had an uneasy feeling .
if this is truth, then denver covers.
ill pay the 25 to buy out of this mess. 

Weren't you the one arguing that a rig job in the superbowl is impossible?  Now this?  

If you weren't and I'm getting my posters mixed up, my apologies.
 
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Posted: #62
You can criticize some things about every team especially the panthers, but this D is good. Last week they were saying that their secondary was weak, which I think it is. They proved us wrong. That,front seven could go up against any other defensive front sevenin the nfl. 
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by naesiy:


Weren't you the one arguing that a rig job in the superbowl is impossible?  Now this?  

If you weren't and I'm getting my posters mixed up, my apologies.

that ref has been favorable to many since he was in colts he has carried many through spreads everytime nothing for nothing but I ain't betting he has to choke down a suck pill and call it fair here the man is an untouchable and I am not betting for a fixed game. if it becomes legit great if it doesn't great but my money ain't going into this one. my dollars will go else where
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by proguy747:


how many rings did the panthers face in the playoffs?  1

denver faced 6.


Seahawks were caught off guard and had the wrong cleats. second half was a better indication of the teams.  

AZ was a joke for the last month and are near not enough physically.   AZ should have lost to a pathetic packers team.

AZ was so overrated and played september style football.  It started to get cold and they started crack at the seems.


Carolina plays tough physical football and i think this will be a very close game. 


All of Denvers quality wins were at home, in overtime against the Pats and against a Cinncy backup...

On the road, they beat KC when they were terrible, and had 1 score games against Clev, Bears and Lions...

Car winning in Seattle is much better than any Denver win...I will even say a win at the Giants and a banged up Dallas team on Thanksgiving is better than anything Denver did on the road 
 
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Posted: #65
Yes, Denver just beat Pitt and NE at home, but Pitt dominated them and that fumble was huge and Pitt was without their best WR and best Rb....NE outplayed them and the game could have gone either way as NE drove deep 3 times late in the 4th but the D played lights-out

The only difference is they were playing QB's who dont move...if you take away the quick throw from Brady, which they did, he is a sitting duck back there...Denver needs to have a 100% different game plan next week...

All of the games Denver lost, and close games were against mobile QBs...and Car is a whole new animal 
 
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Posted: #66
gl packers suck.   you are convinced like you were on Az last week.     
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by proguy747:

gl packers suck.   you are convinced like you were on Az last week.     


Yeah, great comeback.  Thats usually what people say when they know they are wrong and have absolutely nothing else to say...

Packers suck, but made it to the final 8 with 5 injured lineman and the worst WR group in the NFL 


I didnt realize I was on Zona last week
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:


that ref has been favorable to many since he was in colts he has carried many through spreads everytime nothing for nothing but I ain't betting he has to choke down a suck pill and call it fair here the man is an untouchable and I am not betting for a fixed game. if it becomes legit great if it doesn't great but my money ain't going into this one. my dollars will go else where

So now you change your opinion and say games can be fixed?  I accept your apology.   
 
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Posted: #69
Great topic here .....

Just adding a little something I read earlier
 Defense, Defense, Defense 
 
It’s important to remember that 40 of the last 49 Super Bowl winners have owned a Top 10ranked defense. And it would have been 41 had Pete Carroll ran the damn ball. 


 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by nature1970:

I'm getting an erie feeling the other way.
Carolina wins and Denver covers the spread.
both sides get something but money is what I want
ref Alabama vs Clemson just a gut check here but the half point means no push
I am leaning CAR ML and DEN ATS right now.

Let's get 'em.
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by joepa21:


Then don't bet it!  


exactly !

you don't have to bet the superbowl

you'll find more value week 1 next season


 
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Posted: #72
who gives a shiiit wat teams they played earlier in the season??its barely even a footnote to wat will play out next week......to use it as main supporting evidence is moronic,all that matters is how denver will go against carolina in ONE game for 60 minutes with all the marbles on the line and the nature of the contest obviously brings a whole new dimension.....the motivations and level of preparation can in no way be compared or replicated in ANY regular season game so all that garbage regarding the regular season schedule can be thrown out the window,other than to get an idea of strengths and tendencies of these 2 participants.
in the end the strength of schedule and who played who,when and where will have basically zero bearing on the outcome of the superbowl.
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

who gives a shiiit wat teams they played earlier in the season??its barely even a footnote to wat will play out next week......to use it as main supporting evidence is moronic,all that matters is how denver will go against carolina in ONE game for 60 minutes with all the marbles on the line and the nature of the contest obviously brings a whole new dimension.....the motivations and level of preparation can in no way be compared or replicated in ANY regular season game so all that garbage regarding the regular season schedule can be thrown out the window,other than to get an idea of strengths and tendencies of these 2 participants.
in the end the strength of schedule and who played who,when and where will have basically zero bearing on the outcome of the superbowl.

No.
 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by LETGOPACK1234:



Yeah, great comeback.  Thats usually what people say when they know they are wrong and have absolutely nothing else to say...

Packers suck, but made it to the final 8 with 5 injured lineman and the worst WR group in the NFL 


I didnt realize I was on Zona last week

You started a thread and told a panthers backer that at half AZ wins SU. 

What do you want me to say?  You have posted that you feel Panthers blow them out.  Just like you did with AZ.

Every team fights injuries.. Do not use that excuse loser..  Maybe if you watch film you will realize Rodgers does not play with structure and go to the proper read.   He plays backyard ball and he is great at it. No doubt about that but for being the best QB in the league he sure has sucked in the playoffs besides that one great run.
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by proguy747:


You started a thread and told a panthers backer that at half AZ wins SU. 

What do you want me to say?  You have posted that you feel Panthers blow them out.  Just like you did with AZ.

Every team fights injuries.. Do not use that excuse loser..  Maybe if you watch film you will realize Rodgers does not play with structure and go to the proper read.   He plays backyard ball and he is great at it. No doubt about that but for being the best QB in the league he sure has sucked in the playoffs besides that one great run.


Please stop with the lies...I didnt make a halftime thread saying Zona will win the game...

I made a thread, with 6 mins left 17-7 and Zona getting the ball back and did a in-game wager at +425...there was value if they ended up coming back to get Carolina and have free money...which obviously didnt happen...not sure if you comprehend that 

Never once did I say Zona would blow-out Carolina, nor did I once say prior to the game Zona would win...the only Zona bet I made was in the 2nd qtr 



As for your comment about GB, Rodgers and injuries...and using "that excuse loser"

First of all, yes every team gets them...do they all make the final 8?  Nope 

Can you name me another team this year that had ALL 5 Starting linemen hurt??  
Nope 

Can you name me a team with worse WR's?  In which 2 or 3 wouldnt even be in the NFL if they werent on the current team?
Nope 

And despite all that, GB was an overtime away again, from the Conf finals....pretty good huh??  


But you are right, Rodgers has sucked in the playoffs....I mean he has won a Superbowl, lost in OT this year in the final 8, lost in OT the year before in the Conf finals.....I mean Rodgers just sucks in the playoffs....

God you're an idiot 
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