Bator rule is in effect week 9

@ZenMasterD

 Who said that?

The query is fairly simple for previous points and previous opponent's points:

p:points > 29.5 and pp:points > 29.5 and po:points < 10.5 and ppo:points < 10.5

Scored 30+ the last two games and allowed 10 points or less the last two games.

SU:  27-25 (0.6, 51.9%)

ATS:  13-39-0 (-5.2, 25.0%)

39-13 as a fade with an average ATS of 5.2 points is fantastic.  A note of caution: adding "and HF and DIV" (I think you guys can figure that out) drops it to 5-7 ATS (-0.8, 41.7%).  I will not bet BUF, but I am not sold on MIA.  However, maybe Josh Allen will throw his second INT of the year.

Good luck everybody.

Interesting  this is the 3rd year in a row Bills became a Bator fade the week of playing the Dolphins.

1-1 ATS.

And the 4th time Bills been a Bator fade past 3 years. The method is 2-1 ATS thus far in those Bills games.

They did beat the method last year at home pounding Dolphins 48-20 then losing the next week at home to Jags.

2 years ago the method was correct with Bills losing at Miami and the method was correct earlier  this season fading Bills VS Ravens.

Wagerline?

The Favorites podcast on Spotify, those guys actually love the Bills -6 this week. Would listen to that before taking a side on this game.

I don't have Spotify, so I never heard of "The Favorites" podcasts.  Do "those guys" have a good ATS record or are they spewing perfect fade material?

Great thread, brings back memories. 

Info like this used to be plentiful on Covers.

Thanks to all that contributed 

Imo dogbite, these dudes are a great listen. Over the years they have a pretty good track record. 

They rarely spew "perfect fade material". They'll play some ugly ass dogs though, hard to stomach for most folks I would think.

I picked against them many times using my regression methods including the Bator method and I have a very good record fading their picks.

These guts do a nice job but do not understand these type regression plays.

They do talk about regression but not how it applies in regression  methods like the Bator method.  I've never seem them talk about this type regression. 

Exactly. 

They do play some ugly dogs but not using regression methods like the Bator method.

They like to play the number. They have done pretty well past couple years I've seen them but not doing so well this year.

I think they started putting to much weight into those trends. 

@IntenseOperator

 Hey I/O, you are correct. Dave (Taxi) had this system in place a long, long time ago. I believe we covered this topic last year here at covers. We've all been trying to locate Dave but no one has found him since the 'ol talksport days.

@football_007

 Yeah, that's what talksport became after wagerline bought them out. And I think covers bought wagerline.

Good info, although the game against the Jags last year was in London.

Dave Cokin died a few months ago.  Shame, he was a good guy.

https://x.com/davecokin/status/1818334638978613262

FWIW, this is the 2nd time this season the Bills have fit the Bator rule.  In Week 2, they beat MIA 31-10, in Week 3 they beat JAX 47-10, and in Week 4 they got killed by BAL.

@PUSSYGALORE333

 Good one 

Show is on you tube. They are pretty sharp. They like to play the number and they get feedback from sharps.

Those sharps like the Bills.

The one thing to watch is the pro tries to predict  line movement  and is not good at doing it. He bets into many bad lines early in the week thinking the line will move one way but it moves the other way.

If u read the comments many call him out on this.

This week he said Dolphins +6.5 telling people to wait the line would go to +7 even  +7.5. Because he said those sharps like the Bills.

Line dropped to +6 even +5.5. I wouldn't listen to his advice on line movements.

I was hoping to get +7 I wasn't sure it'd make +7 because there are many sharps know similar regression methods to my BF which would be a fade on Bills. The books know this to.

@Riderx

RIP 

I remember this as the 30/30 RULE as far back as 1989.......

Simply put...... Any team scoring 30 or more points 2 weeks in a row......FADE them ATS.....

Back then we always took the HD ATS on MNF......

@smellybunty

 Thank you!!! That's the actual system that works!!!

@theclaw

 The system is not in effect today because Miami is a divisional opponent...

@jdukes0004

 We never followed on here whether it was divisional opponent or not. Miami is in play.