*** Best Play of the Month *** It's Hammer Time!

Quote Originally Posted by kevmode:

I think the score will be 24-10 Ravens.  The Cowboys offense has been off all season long and they can't run the ball effectively either.  Bol League I respect your opinion even though I am on the other side.

Quote Originally Posted by clubtnt:

two plays of the month? you had STL last week as POM.

Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasLord:

I like Dallas +3.   BOL League.

Quote Originally Posted by mikesomoney:

Hey LC still good at +3?

Quote Originally Posted by casheasy:

I like some of your reasoning. I've gone back and forth and this game. When it opened I liked Dallas. Then I dug deeper and liked Baltimore's odds of rebounding after a laskluster performance last week. I like their ability at home to dictate the outcome more than most teams. But then I thought even more (LOL) and came to some of the same conclusions you did. I like the cowboys to pressure Fluke-O (I actually like him but love that moniker) and think Dallas has been hearing how bad they are for two weeks. They just might finally use Demarco Murray the way they should. Big D, little a, ell ell a ess.....DALLAS

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Dallas Cowboys @ Baltimore Ravens

If anyone has been following, I am 3-0 fading the Ravens the past three weeks and 1-0 fading the cowboys in the same timespan so it's safe to say I know these two teams pretty well. Not only are the Cowboys off a blowout loss, but they are coming out of a bye week as well so they have had plenty of time to gameplan for the Ravens. The Cowboys have been historically bad as a favorite the past few years (4-17 ATS) as you can tell with how they played against the Bears last but they play exceptionally well as an underdog. When the Oline for the Cowboys is doing their job and preventing Romo from throwing INT's and costly turnovers, they are one of the best teams in the NFL, hands down. This game means so much more to the cowboys who are only 2-2 and a game back in their division. Ravens are #1 in their division, off three straight wins, and won't care as much to face a non-conference opponent. Especially since they have the undefeated Texans next week. Everyone knows how I feel about the Ravens defense and lack of pass rush this year with T. Suggs being out. This is the cowboys statement game. When's the last time someone went into Baltimore and came out with a win? Cowboys will show everyone they are legit contenders after this sunday.

Ravens sacked Brandon Weeden 1 time in 53 pass attempts 2 weeks ago.
Ravens sacked Cassell/Quinn 0 times in 18 pass attempts last week.

Joe Flacco has been sacked 4 times by the Browns two weeks ago.
Joe Flacco has been sacked 4 times by the Chiefs last week.

I've always said line movement or late line movement is pointless to watch as it could go either way and doesn't indicate anything. But the one thing that does matter and that I do pay attention to is early line movement. And by early, I mean within hours of the line being posted. Immediately after this line opened at -4/-4.5, it was bet down to -3.5 despite 83% of bets being on the Ravens up to today. Early line movement like this indicates some high rollers who were waiting for this line to come out and pounced on it immediately.

The Cowboys are 16-7 SU and 16-7 ATS off their bye week. The Cowboys are 10-4 ATS on the road, following their bye week including 1-0 ATS last year.

The Ravens longest active streak in the NFL of 13 consecutive wins at home comes to an end this Sunday.

I'm all over the Cowboys this week. Bring it home Romo!

139543638-1	10/9/12 5:52pm	$234.00	$200.00	Pending	10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -117* vs Baltimore Ravens
139543627-1	10/9/12 5:51pm	$220.00	$200.00	Pending	10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  218 Baltimore Ravens Under 24 -110* vs Dallas Cowboys
139543604-1	10/9/12 5:51pm	$351.00	$300.00	Pending	10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -117* vs Baltimore Ravens

139616610-1	10/10/12 4:02pm	$236.00	$200.00	Pending	10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +4 -118* vs Baltimore Ravens
139616610-2	10/10/12 4:02pm	$100.00	$165.00	Pending	10/14/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  217 Dallas Cowboys +165* vs Baltimore Ravens

Quote Originally Posted by az49erdog:

League, I respect your analysis, however even as good as it looks to you on paper, Dallas has more holes than a block of swiss cheese and Romo is highly Overrated IMHO. The bears got to him early and often and the Ravens are just as capable of a  "pick six". TR more often than not looks like a deer in the headlights and even if he plays well, Dallas "D" leaves a lot to be desired. I'm layin the lumber here especially @ the small #. GL to you buddy!