Cash Out, Hedge, or Let it Ride?

Thirtheenfold • 12 of 13 settled
Nov 13 • 2022 • Ticket ID: 5177129390
Point Spread: TB Buccaneers +7.5 @ -455
SEA Seahawks vs TB Buccaneers
Point Spread: MIA Dolphins +7.5 @ -625
CLE Browns @ MIA Dolphins
Point Spread: TEN Titans +10.5 @ -670
DEN Broncos @ TEN Titans
Point Spread: CHI Bears +10.5 @ -770
DET Lions @ CHI Bears
Point Spread: NY Giants +7.5 @ -670
HOU Texans @ NY Giants
Moneyline: KC Chiefs @ -420
JAX Jaguars @ KC Chiefs
Point Spread: MIN Vikings +19.5 © -590
MIN Vikings @BUF Bills
Point Spread: PIT Steelers +13.5 @ -625
NO Saints @ PIT Steelers
Point Spread: IND Colts +17.0 @ -590
IND Colts @ LV Raiders
Point Spread: LA Rams +11.5 @ -715
ARI Cardinals @ LA Rams
Point Spread: GB Packers +17.0 @ -670
DAL Cowboys @ GB Packers
Point Spread: SF 49ers +4.5 @ -670
LA Chargers @ SF 49ers
Moneyline: PHI Eagles @ -590
WAS Commanders @ PHI Eagles
Odds: +635
Wager: $1,900.00
Pot. Payout: $13,956.72
Cash Out: $10,930.86

Thoughts?.. This is the first time I’ve ever contemplated the cash out option. All opinions welcome and appreciated. Love to have almost 7-1  at what is currently -500, but 11k bird in hand is never a bad thing.. 

Depends how much money it really is to you. I would personally cash out or hedge with wash +11 and try to hit both.  Nothing wrong with a guaranteed win

study a few hedge play options. take a winner of some sort...a bird in the hand is better than two in the bush.

Be a winner.

 stick with the eagles. what book takes  that kind of bet?

I'd 100% hedge . You can hit both with a 10 point middle.  Put a stack on Washington +11. Best case eagles win by 7 and hit big , worst case you cover your original wager and walk away even up. This is my opinion . Primetime me divisional game we I think will be tight . These games can be tight. Really dont see Philly not covering the ML but you gotta cover yourself . 

Ohhhh shit I just saw the cash out option of almost 11k. Hit that button ASAP and walk away up 9k bro 

If I was in your position I would cash out for sure.

Take that 10,900 bro . Even if eagles win which most likely it's ok you still walk away 9 stacks . These nfc east divisional games go anyway. Like someone else pointed out it all depends on your financial status but regardless what you do it has to be cash out or put a stack on Washington +11 to cover original wager so you can't lose. Great opportunity to hit both !! BOL 

@dmcenti

 3k redskins ats

Let it ride. Blow out on deck.

Easy cash out imo, not too much big of a difference for you to stress it and possibly lose in case. Or try to hedge and win both bets with ats

Thank you all for the comments. This is a local casino with an app. They let you move the needle on lines to basically make teasers into parlays. I know the OGs like Vanzack, Macwestie, Bads, Dixonbets, etc. probably think this is ridiculous. I kind of do too. I just dabble now, and here we are.

I'm leaning on just letting it ride. I feel like I'm doubling a gigantic bet against a six. Sometimes you lose. Most of the time you don't. But you always do it despite the amount.

If this was a 7 pt favorite or a possible win of 5k, I wouldn't be posting for the first time in a decade.

BOL bro  you have an opportunity to win no matter what . I'd reconsider the " let it ride" way but regardless best of luck on whichever route you go. Pulling for ya! 

@dmcenti

I would suggest you dont think of it as having "basically 7-1" on the eagles ML (it is reallly 6.35-1, but close enough).  That is like saying "I worked 29 days so far this month, so my last day of the month I am making my whole paycheck".  You have already EARNED a big part of that.  

So lets calculate how much you have EARNED so far.... 

Your 12 team parlay - THAT YOU HAVE ALREADY WON - has a fair payout of $11,867.38
They are offering you $10,930.86

So basically, YOU ARE PAYING THEM $950 of the MONEY YOU HAVE ALREADY EARNED to cash out early.  This is why I always say....  If you think you might want to hedge, just leave the last team off.  You would be sitting here now with $11,867 and you could decide exactly how much you want to put on the Eagles ML rather than having to pay a hefty tax to the book to do it for you.

Make sense?

The decision is yours - but you have already made a fundamental error that will cost you $950 if you hedge.  This is what I have tried over and over and over here to explain over the years, but for some reason it keeps getting made.

GL - and keep us updated as to your decision!

that is such a ridiuclous bet lmao. id hedge some 

@vanzack

Thanks Van, long time. I completely agree with your premise. I think you once said don't do teasers or parlays, but definitely don't do them on games that start at different times.. I just literally don't bet on sports anymore and was messing around on the app yesterday. Found myself in this position and wanted some input. 

Well, what did you decide?  

@vanzack

 No changes as of yet.

Halftime hedge

@vanzack

 Letting it ride sir. Good to hear from you and best of luck! 

Wait, you don't bet on sports any more and a 'mess around bet' is a hail mary for 2k?

That's... Interesting. Hope the Birds come back 2nd half for you. They definitely ain't covering.

Squeaky bum time...

Despise the eagles but pulling for ya dude !! Quick TD there right back in it ! Set of cajones you got lol 

if you didn't take the almost 11 grand cash out then you don't deserve to win any money.

Thought I was having a bad day.  Needing eagles ML to win a 3 team parlay.

@vanzack

 Exactly 

just play THE DOG +points