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*** Cincinatti Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts ***

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by Targa1:

Bengals bad on the road huh!?!?!?... Take a look back at week 11 Bengals vs. The unbeatable Saints at home in a DOME! Then get back to us. 


Huh?  Saints were 2-6 at home this year.  Please tell me that's not what you are basing your wager on?  Saints were off this year.  Bad example.

I've seen a lot of good angles for both sides.  Indy is not exactly hot, but they had their division all but wrapped up for a few weeks, do don't think they let everything out of the bag the last few weeks. 

I think Indy has this one by 7+.  BOL.........
 
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Posted: #52
Hey LC, any leans on the other games?  I love cincy and I really liked Carolina until I read the stat about teams having a better record after losing the last 2... That messed me up. And the Dallas line seems very fishy. I know about the 40 point angle, but I just can't seem to figure out why the line is steady on 7.  I think if Dallas was gonna win by 3 the line would go way up so bookies can get the Detroit ML money while losing ats. (A wash) so it makes me think it's either Dallas covers or Detroit wins out right. ( my initial pick and still is Detroit) The only thing I have going for me tho is the 40 point angle otherwise I can't see how anyone could touch this game... I am very big on line movement or lack there of, but this game has me like WTF.
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:



Huh?  Saints were 2-6 at home this year.  Please tell me that's not what you are basing your wager on?  Saints were off this year.  Bad example.

I've seen a lot of good angles for both sides.  Indy is not exactly hot, but they had their division all but wrapped up for a few weeks, do don't think they let everything out of the bag the last few weeks.  

Thanks you proved my point... That week the Bengals walked in to Saints +7 dogs and came out smashing! Nobody thought they could do it and if your said you were backing the Bengals you were out of your F'in mind at that time! Bengals pull off alot of things that should have never of happen this year and should do it again tomorrow.

I think Indy has this one by 7+.  BOL.........
 
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Posted: #54
went with car and cinn.
 
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Posted: #55
Carolina baby! Love how everyone doubts em, this win just gives us a little confidence and we continue to stay hot! I put half a unit on them to win as well capper, on top of 3 in this game! Let's get it
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by Imtryingmybest:

.... Having said that, despite all of the negative energy about the Bengals, I somehow think they pull this one out as well. I have no idea how and no research/analytics can provide evidence for this play, but I think they get it done.  


Analytics support this play. Huge psych edge for Cin.

1. Major publicity w/r/t "....been nearly a quarter century since the Cincinnati Bengals last won a playoff game"

2. Green now out

3. Lewis 0-5 in the post season

4. Cin's worst loss of the year was a 27-0 shellacking in this same stadium

I'm stepping up on this one - my biggest bet of the year.
 
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Posted: #57
And yes, "same season revenge" doesnt work everytime. The best plays hit at 55%, not 100%.
 
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Posted: #58
Confirmed (Nitrogen Sports):
Cin - 7.5
 +435
 for 3% of bankroll

Let's git it on!
 
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Posted: #59
Jeremy Hill stats tomorrow....25-137yds...2 td's....24-20.....BOL...LC....
 
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Posted: #60
Hmm lets see,Andy Dalton in a high pressure game,in which he has to win,think about it,if he loses his 4th straight play-off game,he is done.Plus throw in the added pressure of his team not winning a play-off game since 1990.Then his main receiver being out,puts everything on him to do it himself.If they fall behind early,and he starts putting more pressure on himself,it could be a complete blow out.I  really think you have to put your money on indy.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by TheShallowCross:

Why Cinci? They got beat by Indy in week 7 of this year 27-0. The Bengals had 8 total first downs in that game. Now Green is hurt? 

I like the Colts here.

That's the best reason to take Cincy..
 
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Posted: #62
Tough to back the Ginger without his favorite target Green
 
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Posted: #63
Some added plays for the weekend. The Cowboys are very overrated but I expect them to win this game comfortably. The Bengals should take care of business against INDY and move on to Denver in what will be a big revenge game for Peyton. AJ will most likely return then.
  • Bengals +4 -105 (6x)
  • Bengals Over 23 -110 (2x)
  • Colts Under 26 -110 (2x)
  • Bengals +185 (2x)
  • Cowboys -1 /Patriots -2 -110 (4x)
  • Panthers -0.5 / Bengals +10 -115 (4x)
  • Panthers to Win NFC +2150 (2x)
Good luck,
 
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Posted: #64
cincy is POY caliber. With or without Greene. It does not matter. I'm surprised you guys haven't asked yourself why the line isn't indy-6 or 7? They are keeping it low so you can pay nice juice and move it down below 3 if you want. Go ahead and take the bait. YOU WILL BE LUCKY (REAL LUCKY) IF INDY COVERS THE MONEY LINE. Cincy has had this game circled and THEY COME TO PLAY FOR WAY MORE REASONS THEN ONE. If you know what I mean...
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

cincy is POY caliber. With or without Greene. It does not matter. I'm surprised you guys haven't asked yourself why the line isn't indy-6 or 7? They are keeping it low so you can pay nice juice and move it down below 3 if you want. Go ahead and take the bait. YOU WILL BE LUCKY (REAL LUCKY) IF INDY COVERS THE MONEY LINE. Cincy has had this game circled and THEY COME TO PLAY FOR WAY MORE REASONS THEN ONE. If you know what I mean...



imho you could have said that about cincy last 3 times they lost in playoffs, colts will b just as focused, i think the reason cincy keeps it close is the running game n stopping the run. I just think that assuming a team will be more focused than the other in a playoff game doesnt make sense
 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:

[Quote: Originally







Posted by LeagueCapper] The Red Ginger will get his first playoff win against the Colts this weekend.Bengals +4 -105 (6x)Bengals Over 23 -110 (2x)Bengals +185 (2x)
Could not agree more. Bengals outright!


Same guy who picked wash bowl game of the year and works for covers along with league crapper as he said your a joke as so are the bungles


Same guy who picked wash bowl game of the year and works for covers along with league crapper as he said your a joke as so are the bungles
 
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Posted: #67
I don't usually go by trends because they aren't as reliable as the stats and the stats say this game goes under EASILY

Teams that can't run can't score in the playoffs and don't win and the Colts are the worst rushing team left after AZs loss. Less than 4 YPG for the season. That means they'll have to throw into one of the better secondaries in the league. Cincy is one of only 2 teams with more picks than TDs allowed. The don't get many sacks, in fact they only had 15 on the year so they play basic zone cover 2s and cover 3s.

Receivers are banged up for both teams and Indy does have a good pass rush and that is bad for Dalton. He only plays well when his uniform stays clean.

This will be an easy under, they won't score more than 37 total.

Under 48.5 Large
 
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Posted: #68
Geez LC. I thought was the only one who liked Carolina to go super bowl. But I have them winning it. Good luck
 
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Posted: #69
LC...think its Cowboys 27-24 tomorrow.....BOL with the Bengals....
 
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Posted: #70
Saying the Bengals have a better chance without AJ Green is just ignorant. Bengals will solely be depending on rookie Jeremy Hill & Gio Bernard to win this game for them. They'll always have to do all the work on the receiving end. Sanu drops everything. Gresham sucks. Who are their weapons without Green? They better rack up yardage on that short dump down pass to their RBs because that is all they're gonna have. Marvin Lewis is a terrible head coach. It's no secret. And Dalton sucks in pressure situations. This is Luck's 4th year. He should be fine. He has TEs & WRs who can make plays. The Bengals have neither. Stack 8 in the box and make Dalton beat you. He can't do it. Luck will have to throw 2-3 picks for Cincy to win.
 
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Posted: #71
indy at home..  luck vs dalton in a shootout...ill take luck
 
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Posted: #72
I'm gonna sleep on it but I don't trust the bungles, at least not with the amount you have on them. Luck is a rare talent, capable of winning a game by himself. They should have lost to KC last year (in the playoffs). No lead is safe against him. Meanwhile, Lewis and Dalton don't inspire confidence. 
 
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Posted: #73
LC.  Do you have the record of ats  dogs in wild card weeken d but also the playoffs.  
 
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Posted: #74
I like your thread when you just post your plays with no explanation or write-up. You have been doing this long enough. I value your judgment.
 
 
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