Posted:
#26
Yea, Pick, I think I saw +5 last night for this game.
Zona I think is finally getting the respect they deserve. Coming into the season, it was all NE, SEA, GB, INDY, DALLAS.
Then in the early weeks, a lot of Cincy and Denver love started sprouting. Finally it took Zona not only beating Seattle in Seattle, but how they beat them. They dominated and opened a big lead. Crazy set of events put Seattle in the lead 4th quarter. 99% of the time, Seattle holds on and it's the game "zona let slip away." But instead Palmer calmly and almost easily led Zona to two late TD drives and buried them.
So finally Zona is getting respect from the books and bettors both. Now throw in Cincy looked awful on MNF losing straight up on prime time as a 9.5-11.5 dog depending when u got it......here's a game that the line is a straight -3 if it was last Saturday before the week 10 games. Now it's -5(don't quote me but I think I saw 5 late last night).
What to make of it?? I don't think I'm gonna bet it, but I'm certainly gonna record the game and watch it closely on Tuesday after work to see how AFC vs NFC powerhouses play each other. I'm interested in how much pressure Cincy gets rushing 4. How Zona's o-line protects Palmer straight up and on blitzes. Also, I wanna see if zona can get to the QB for sacks. For a pretty good defense and a D who assaulted QB's last year, I think they are in the lower 1/3 of the NFL in QB hurries and sacks. I would like to see how Zona's run D does when Cincy comes out and looks to run Hill HARD off LT or RT. Or how their ends play contain and D as a whole stretches things out when Bernard tries to get to the outside.
Gun to my head, I agree with b-pickin. Gotta think Cincy and 5 points is the way to go, but I think I'm just gonna sit back and analyze how both of these teams handle business in a huge game on MNF.
As for the line, I would think it floats out there a little bit in the 4.5/5 range, and then Cincy money drives it back down on Monday. Settles in the -4 area while playing flip flop games with the juice trying to sucker as many people as they can at -115 or -120.
0
Hot Forum Topics
