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DAMN LINEMAKERS ARE GOOD, HUH?

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Posted: #26
who cares now but that game did look fishy
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:

thats why no one gets rich gambling

books wont allow it

thats it my friend  
 
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Posted: #28

Teams that covered last week and how much they covered by.   


philly 1.5
jax 14
giants 17
browns 9
lions 1
broncos 5
packers 9
vikings 19
bengals 2.5
cowboys 8.5
rams 10
falcons 1
steelers 6
patriots 38

 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by Greyhound:

Teams that covered last week and how much they covered by.   


philly 1.5
jax 14
giants 17
browns 9
lions 1
broncos 5
packers 9
vikings 19
bengals 2.5
cowboys 8.5
rams 10
falcons 1
steelers 6
patriots 38



One game lands close to the number and everyone forgets how these magical "all knowing" oddsmakers whiff horribly on a good majority of the games. Their job isn't to predict the score anyway.
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by S_A_I_N_T_S:


You shouldn't be. Just b/c they're close tonight doesn't make them good. Look at the Monday Night Game. 

NE favored by 4. NE wins by 42. 

They're wrong just as often as they're right. We just tend to give them more credit than they deserve when it's close and ignore the blowouts. 







 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



One game lands close to the number and everyone forgets how these magical "all knowing" oddsmakers whiff horribly on a good majority of the games. Their job isn't to predict the score anyway.


Guys and gals,

Yes the oddsmakers are not always as sharp all their lines. OBVIOUSLY.

BUT, when there is ONE NFL game on the card, THREE NBA games and a handful of ncaa games to bet on you better believe the lines will be SHARP.

You have to realize this.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



One game lands close to the number and everyone forgets how these magical "all knowing" oddsmakers whiff horribly on a good majority of the games. Their job isn't to predict the score anyway.


7 dogs and 7 favs too. 


philly 1.5 (fav)
jax 14 (dog)
giants 17 (fav)
browns 9 (dog)
lions 1 (dog)
broncos 5 (dog)
packers 9 (fav)
vikings 19 (fav)
bengals 2.5 (dog)
cowboys 8.5 (dog)
rams 10 (fav)
falcons 1 (fav)
steelers 6 (dog)
patriots 38 (fav)
  

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Vuudooo:

Games are not fixed...and I was on Colts today...If shit was fixed why did they have to wait till to very last play to score the td? Why didn't the colts db just let Tenn WR catch the ball then recover the onside and kneel? Waiting to the last play? What would have happened if ball was snapped incorrectly on the last TD play? Vegas gonna have there asses? ITs just part of the game...Because a spread was invovled it mattered more to us and anything that happens to affect our spread makes sports seems fixed...Every team in that situation would have done that same. Thats why we see so many backdoor covers. Teams really don't care if they win by 9 or 2....They just needed to go into prevent to take away the deep passes and make the opponent burn the clock, which COlts did..I was on Colts and shit happens


Well said  
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by byharleyjames:

Opening line Colts -1' is very good!!!

Unusual though as spread matters in only about 15 to 20 % of the games


where can I find these numbers? i'm interested in seeing the average scores for each key spread number
 
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Posted: #35
I've said it before, I'll say it again.  They don't need to fix games to beat you, Pal.
 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



One game lands close to the number and everyone forgets how these magical "all knowing" oddsmakers whiff horribly on a good majority of the games. Their job isn't to predict the score anyway.

I'm not sure they whiff as often as you think. Let's say they predict NE winning over NYJ by 3 TDs +. Obviously, they can't set the line at 10 much less 21. So what do we get instead ? 3.5 instead of 2.5 or 3. A subtle difference, but a tipoff nonetheless.

 
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by m15525:

Why do you think Cantor Fitzgerald bought LVSC, the historical data and algorithms. Its not a surprise these lines are so sharp. This is what these guys and their computers do 24/7. They know which team people are going to back, long before they even do themselves.

LMAO! I can tell you which teams people are going to back two weeks from now. Without any data and algorithims. It really isnt complicated.
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