Divisionals.......Early

I think you're in for a rough weekend.

This is going to seem like I'm bashing . . . . I'm not.  I'm truly and honestly asking a question.  What is your reason for liking Tennessee?  You wrote 10 lines worth (a paragragh or two), but never do you express any reasons or why you are taking the pick.  If anything, it confuses the heck out of me.  I value your picks which is why I'm asking.  I'm not getting on you to be a jerk. 

These all look decent with the exception of the Giants game.  I think it is going to be an awesome game but Iggles will NOT shut down the run game.  The Giants will run for 150 + yards but the game will fall somewhere within 6 pts.

Well, I think your statement of "being even on a neutral field" sums it up for me.  You just think Tennessee is a better team and playing at home <3> is a value play in your opinion.  I can respect that.  I disagree of course.  But, I understand where you're coming from in that standpoint.

I think with teams that have good defenses (I don't think the Titans defense is as strong as it has played this year - over achieved) and good running games meet in the playoffs, the QB play becomes very important.  However, I don't feel "experience" is the measuring factor to be the difference.  You disagree, and again I can respect that.  I think Flacco's ability to stretch the field and make the deep throws will help the Ravens ground game.  I don't think the Ravens will respect Collins throwing it deep.  In fact, I think they'll invite it.  That will be the difference in the game.  Either Clayton catches some long balls or pass interference calls will help move the ball for the Ravens and open up the ground game a bit as sticking 8 in the box won't fly.

Good luck this week, even though I'm against you in most of the games!

You know a part of me was afraid of SD last week, I mean Indy naturally always has trouble against a 3-4 Defense.  SD has had their number in the past, but i really thought there was a good chance Gates and LT would sit, which is what put me over the top with Indy although neither was really effective in the game, that stamped it for me.  This week, I think its important that they play, and i dont know what the word is yet, but i really dont think LT will go.  Furthermore, SD will have absolutely no run game against Pittsburgh.  Sproles was running all over the place and looked like a pinball, but this is the #2 Run Defense in the league. 

Phillip Rivers had the highest QB Rating but thats a dumb stat in my opinion and doesnt mean much.  Chad Pennington was #2 and what happened to him last week ????  Number 3 is Kurt Warner who will probably be sent home this weekend, and #4,6,7,8,9,10 did not make the playoffs....#5 Peyton got eliminated by The Chargers.  If Baltimore can frustrate the #2 QB in efficiency and basically make him inefficient i think the Steelers can do the same to this guy.

William....Thats a nice stat you bring up about Pittsburgh having a difficult time against playoff teams, but i mean at the end of the day, if your in the playoffs, your a good team, so i dont think its that bad that they went 3-4.  Theres always different circumstances i.e. Must win spots.  On the other hand....you fail to mention this. 

San Diego played 5 regular season games against playoff teams and went 0-5 SU.  Going 1-4 ATS.

The one they covered was against Pittsburgh, but lets go back to that game.  Pittsburgh dominated completely in every facet of the game and had a touchdown taken away.  Give Pittsburgh that touchdown and they cover.

I dont live in Philly, but the Eagles are my team so i respect anyone that says they are on the Giants, i cant put up a legitimate argument for Philly other than taking 4-4.5 is just of great value.  But i feel you with Baltimore, and that tease is cash !! Whoever wins, wins by less than 10 and honestly the way Baltimore has been playing lately, i can fault anybody for jumping on the Ravens.  This game is a momentum game and very commonly the winner of the SB is a team that won like 5 straight regular season games and then the 3-4 in the playoffs.  Agreed tho, the line is extremely short

Cool Ricker, Yeah basically, i see tremendous value here and im going to sell Baltimore high, I've been riding the ravens train for a little while now, they got me paid but its obvious here that people forget Tennessee had won 10 in a row.  While it looks like they had some hiccups down the stretch the only game that matters was a smashing of Pittsburgh the IMO other best team in the league.  Personally i cant wait for the rematch and will have a hard time deciding but we'll talk about that next week. 

I think Baltimore had some extra emotions last week, its always nice when an ex-head coach beats his former team that dumped him. 

What gives you reason to believe the Titans D over-achieved ? is that based on anything because statistics and play on the field say otherwise. 

So you talk about Joe Flacco's ability to stretch the field ?...This ability is a rarity though, I mean he averaged 2 passes over 20 yards per game this year.  He's not a Brees or Manning, he doesnt stretch the field.  And who is he passing to Mark Clayton you said ?  The guy had 600 yards receiving this year.  I think you meant Derrick Mason, but Mason is a shell of his former self, lets be real.  Its a complete mismatch, Courtland Finnegan shuts him down easy.  Collins isnt going to win this game for the Titans, but i think theres a higher probability that Flacco will lose it for Baltimore rather than KC losing it for Tennessee.  You mention 8 in the box but Albert Haynesworth is pretty much the best in the business, no need for all that.  Should be a good  game though, we'll see

Slingzz, Flacco definitely has a BIG arm.  The ability to toss it 60+ yards is there for sure. 

Mason is definitely not the Receiver who’s the deep threat on the Ravens.  Clayton is the Receiver they send deep.  You can simply look at their Yards Per Catch to find that out.

Clayton was banged up earlier in the year.  Demetrius Williams was the deep ball threat before he got hurt.  And, as a rookie and with that defense, the Ravens didn’t call too many deep balls (didn’t have to and didn’t want to put rookie in bad situation).  Growing confidence, improved O-Line, healthy Clayton, and a necessity to throw the deep ball in this game will be present.  I’m telling you and I promise you, Flacco will toss it deep at least twice to Clayton for completions or Pass Interference calls.  I PROMISE YOU THIS WILL HAPPEN.  These deep balls will help create running opportunities.

But, I guess that’s why they play the games.