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Divisionals.......Early

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Posted: #51
Rickenbockers' argument is very well taken!

Just pulled the trigger!

BAL +3
 
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Posted: #52
local weather for Nashville calling for rain most of the day, ending by gametime, temp. in the 40's and dropping, around kickoff. Cold, wet, damp day. Locked in the under, 34. I just had to pull the trigger on it. I think the defenses should totally control the game, and unless their is some crazy stuff happening, and we all know it can in football, the under is the right play. Believe if they played 10 times, at least 7 would play under the total. Playing the percentages here...
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
 
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Posted: #53
Great thread.

Regarding Baltimore I'd be more concerned about the rookie coach than the rookie QB.  To me, Fisher is worth the 3 points.
 
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Posted: #54
Slingzz- I was lovin AZ but no Bouldin has me worried, how big of an impact do you think his loss will be???
 
 
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Posted: #55
Pitt beat Balty twice, Tenn beat Pitt by 10.  Tenn -3 is a good bet.  I have them +4 and Ariz +17.  A hell of a teaser....
 
 
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Posted: #56
Play nice boys...I think one thing we can all agree on is the game will be close. No way you blow out either of these teams on this day. Not gonna happen. I think the line is short it should be 4 but you can see Vegas giving the Ravens alot of respect. No problem there they deserve it.
 
Question is who do we take? To me Ravens is the p[lay because in such a close matchup I want the points. Now it will be a small play my bigger play will be a tease Balt +9 and under 40. I love under 34 also. Both these coaches will play it very close in the first half because running game and turnovers will be the key to this game.
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by glyde69:

For some reason Covers is no longer blocked at my job.  This is great. 
 
As always, Slingzz....

That can be good or bad - good as you can post and read up on goodies like this thread. bad cause your boss more than likely can monitor where you go online and if he sees you spending time on a gambling website- it could come back to hurt you if your boss thinks your a gambling addict spending to much of his time/money
on other things.. Just a thought. GL this weekend - 

I am on at work,so I take the same risk, lol

 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by BLeeDat:

like the plays but the Bmore game.. Bmore has the #20 factor and their D is hot.. if flaco can execute the big plays, watch for tenn to fall apart.. game def goes under... Love the cards getting points in car.... but the lock is the moneyline on philly in ML

What if Tenn hits some big plays, have you forgotten about their strong Running backs who are the only guys that have a chance vs the Ravens, the giants have similar backs and that is the way Tenn can win -  if they can keep the run game on track..

Oh btw, there is no such thing as a LOCK. You want locks, go to a deli and order some with your bagel. 
GL on Eagles winning- and your other plays 
 
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Posted: #59
Rickerbockers - you can have your opinion and disagree w/ Slingzz, but you can't call his handicapping laughable.

he has had excellent results for as long as I have been here
 
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Posted: #60
Tito....I couldn't have said it better, he's been awesome since I've been here as well....one of the best year in and year out....!!
Course, you're no slouch........BOL to all this weekend!!!
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by Rickerbockers:

1.  Homefield Advantage - OK, not a secret and a small concern.

2.  Better Coaching - I think the head coach is better but I'm not so certain Cameron & Ryan is all that bad.

3.  Nope, I'm not blind, but I think you are.  "Flacco doesn't look good 9 completions" . . . . since when do successful handicappers use a sample size of 1 game????  Here's my favorite rebuttal to people who say Flacco is a rookie or not good . . . . COLLINS SUCKS!!!!  LOOK AT HIS CAREER QB RATING AND LOOK AT HIS 2008 QB RATING!!!!  COLLINS IS THE ONE THAT DOESN'T LOOK GOOD!!!!

4.  Baltimore's losses to Pitt & Tenn had a COMBINED score differential after 4 quarters of 7 points (2.34 points average).  1 Game in OT, 1 game with a very controversial TD call w/ less than 2 minutes left, and the Tenn loss was w/ less than 2:00 left and aided by phantom/controversial Pass Int. call.  The "luck" factor played a part in each of those games.  Using it for handicapping purposes is ridiculous.  AND THE MOST FUNNY IS THAT YOU'RE USING THESE GAMES AND THE RAVENS LOST BY 3, 4, & 3 POINTS IN EACH OF THEM . . . . SO, YOUR ARGUMENT HELPS MINE BY SAYING TAKE THE POINTS!

5.  Complete nonsense.  Not sure if you know this or not, but even Tennessee players who just had a bye week (and a normal bye week later in the regular season) is complaining about bruises, sprains, etc.

6.  This statement is completely irrelevant and laughable.  First, some players aren't even aware of the spread or even understand it.  Don't start in by saying I'm a complete idiot if I don't think players don't pay attention to it.  I know this.  But, the same amount that do pay attention to it, don't!  Second, what does it matter?  So what?  Let's assume the ridiculous proposition that Tennessee does care, what are they going to do now????  Play harder????  Poison Ray Lewis????  Stick Ed Reed Voodoo dolls with pins????  I mean, what will this information do to effect the game?

 

Hey, who knows . . . . maybe Tennessee wins and covers this game.  But the reasons that you're giving are NOT the reasons this will happen if it does happen.  These approaches to handicapping that you're listing is laughable and I am definitely NOT blind.



Ricker.....1st of all....I wasnt talking to u.....if u can see...u would see that i was replying to color999 who had just called me a jerk and said i have no reasons for playing Tenn...unless thats your undercover name on here, i dont know why your replying....

Secondly actually, i went back and looked at all your posts.....and your calling my reasons laughable, but you never had 1 real reason to choose Baltimore.  You agreed with all my reasons, but you didnt think they are all that important, thats fine, but give me your reasons for Baltimore....that DO NOT START OFF WITH....
"I Think".....
All your reasons are "I think Baltimore's defense is better"...."I think Flacco will throw atleast 2 deep balls that will get pass interference flags"......YOU CALL THAT HANDICAPPING ?......all your reasoning was "I think" "I think" "I think".....Please give me a fact.  Like the FACT Tennessee has homefield advantage, in a situation where homefield in divisional matchups hit over 70%.  Like a point where you also agreed that Jeff Fisher is a better head coach.
All this "I think" "I think" crap is meaningless.

If the Ravens win, thats great, they would set up for an amazing matchup the following week with Pittsburgh
 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by mrusso:

local weather for Nashville calling for rain most of the day, ending by gametime, temp. in the 40's and dropping, around kickoff. Cold, wet, damp day. Locked in the under, 34. I just had to pull the trigger on it. I think the defenses should totally control the game, and unless their is some crazy stuff happening, and we all know it can in football, the under is the right play. Believe if they played 10 times, at least 7 would play under the total. Playing the percentages here...


I agree with your points Mr.Russo. That if you played this game 10 times, 7 times it would go under.  But i just think the number will land too close to the total personally.  I think the game will be closer than the final score indicates.  ex. Tennessee up 6 with 3 minutes to play, Flacco forcing a situation that results in a T/O TD.  Sort of like how Philly-Minny was closer than the 12 point final differential.  But i keep seeing like 24-13, 24-10, 27-10, 23-13, 21-10, 21-14, that type of final score.  Good luck with it.  What do you think of the rest of the totals ?
 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

Great thread.

Regarding Baltimore I'd be more concerned about the rookie coach than the rookie QB.  To me, Fisher is worth the 3 points.


Exactly
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Bomkamp:

Slingzz- I was lovin AZ but no Bouldin has me worried, how big of an impact do you think his loss will be???
 


Boldin is a major threat, but Fitz and Breaston is still a problem for Carolina.  This game is having me a little worried as we inch closer to it, its not my favorite play on the board at all, I wouldnt go big on it, I'd prefer the total here.
 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by WilliamMunny:

Play nice boys...I think one thing we can all agree on is the game will be close. No way you blow out either of these teams on this day. Not gonna happen. I think the line is short it should be 4 but you can see Vegas giving the Ravens alot of respect. No problem there they deserve it.
 
Question is who do we take? To me Ravens is the p[lay because in such a close matchup I want the points. Now it will be a small play my bigger play will be a tease Balt +9 and under 40. I love under 34 also. Both these coaches will play it very close in the first half because running game and turnovers will be the key to this game.


Points well taken.  I think the teaser can fall in between the total in both ways whether over 28 or under 40.  Good luck this weekend
 
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Posted: #66
Final plays for Saturday....
Tennessee -3
Tease - Tennessee Over 27.5/Carolina Over 41.5
Arizona +10

 
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Posted: #67
This turned into a great thread.
 
Barring the Giant-Eagle game, we are in sync.  Let's nail the three "same" games, and then may the best capper win the Giant game.
 
 
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Posted: #68
Quote Originally Posted by Slingzz:

Final plays for Saturday....
Tennessee -3
Tease - Tennessee Over 27.5/Carolina Over 41.5
Arizona +10

3-0

 
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Posted: #69
Like it bol slingzz.
 
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Posted: #70


Remember the Titans
 
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Posted: #71
Slingzz...read a lot of these posts fast and obviously any well crafted writer can spin a fine bias on their points in alignment with their selection so please take what I am about to write with a grain of salt.
 
I like BAL 16-13 OR 19-13
 
When these two teams met in week # 5 ,Flacco was  still wearing diapers and had thrown 7 picks in 5 games and now he has come a long way.BAL really took it to them and were up 285-210 in yardage as well.A phantom interfence call on Suggs gave TEN a game I feel BAL would have won.He has thrown only 5 in his last 12 games.Cam Cameron has opened up the pkg. recently with the big play capability and they have been finding the receivers.
 
In as far as the rap that BAL only beats weaklings, let's be real- their two losses to PIT were both by 3 pts. and one was in OT. They were controlling PIT and up 10-6 when we had a call reversed that I felt lacked sufficient evidence to overturn.Otherwise with 43 sec. to go HC Tomlin is forced to make the toughest decision of his short career.BAL  was swinging with the big boys and easily could have walked out with 2 of those 3 THREE pt. losses to TEN/PIT.
 
Now, they have gone into DAL and bitch slapped them and just knocked off an 11-5 divisional winner (MIA) where the veteran QB lost the turnover game 5-0 (4 INT) ( should have been 6-0) if Reed didn't let his surefire 3rd INT of the game slip thru his hands.
 
These guys are gellin' like a felon ( props to Dr. Scholl) and rested divisional home teams have not fared well in the last few years.Mawae's absence under center is HUGE!...Leroy Harris will be asked to stop the Samoan ploughhourse DT Haloti Ngota ( like that is going to happen) plus you couple that with his signal calling going up against a savvy cerebral thinker like Lewis....can you say mismatch to the nth degree.
 
Lastly Collins is a very good intermediate thrower but if he tries to stretch the field , you can be sure he better account for Ed Reed, who may go down as the best ball-hawking safety the game has ever seen.Collins is not very accurate in his long range throws.
 
I did notice how bad Flacco was in the 2nd hal vs. a pass rush that is a lot tamer than what he will see today and they were tiring on defense in the 4th Q. and are now asked to vanquish the mighty Titans in their homefield on a short week in what is their 4th road game in 5 weeks but I feel one team is a lot more improved and that momentum will be their keeper. No one will know how healed Vanden Bosch is from that surgery until he gets battle tested in the trenches and I know for a fact that Haynesworth is far from 100%.
 
I feel this rookie QB ain't your average rook and he will win the turnover battle between him and Collins by a +2 margin.He is unflappable even when he's getting the kitchen sink thrown at him.Ravens will have to be very careful to prevent Chris Johnson from busting some big ones but you know that the Titans will have their hands full with up and coming running sensation FB McLain mixed with McGahee. I do not see Ron Rice on the injury reports yet I hear no talk of him this week.
 
My time is short as I have guests coming but here are the rest of my picks for TOTAL REMATCH  week.
 
 
CAR 34 AZ 17
NYG 24 PHI 17
PIT 21 SD 16
 
CAR will roll these guys and NYG will show everyone that all is fine in NYC and they will quell all of this talk about the resurging Iggles. Gimme a break.McNabb in a big game....does the biased Philly fanship forget the game vs. WAS ( also a must win at the time).I knew they would smoke DAL and the game vs. the Gmen in NYC-I even called for an exact 6 pt. win by PHI..it was my P.O.W....so many things were not right in that game for NYG and it was a nothing game as they had a 2 game lead on CAR at the time for HFA  all the way through.NO Jacobs, the "incident" the nite before which def affected Antonio Pierce  and Jason Tuck was sick.Their coaching and home field will bode well for the Gmen this week I truly feel...we'll see tomorrow.
 
Enjoy the game....WHAT A WEEKEND!
 
If all goes the way I predict we will have a TOTAL REMATCH weekend next week as well!
 
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Posted: #72
Love balty in this one as well..GL though bro....Its gonna be fun
 
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Posted: #73
Sorry for no write up just opinions bro
 
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Posted: #74
XFL.....nice argument....good luck to you
 
 
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Posted: #75

Doubling down on my boys....

Eagles +3 2nd half......

so Eagles ML and +3 2nd half

Pitt -6.....Under 39.....Teaser....Pit +1/Under 46

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