@BigNiner "Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves." I'm in no way thinking SF will get blown out. In fact, I had SF -0.5 on a neutral field but I gave Eagles 1.5 for HFA, so Eagles ML for me.
so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
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Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan:
@BigNiner "Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves." I'm in no way thinking SF will get blown out. In fact, I had SF -0.5 on a neutral field but I gave Eagles 1.5 for HFA, so Eagles ML for me.
so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan: @BigNiner "Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves." I'm in no way thinking SF will get blown out. In fact, I had SF -0.5 on a neutral field but I gave Eagles 1.5 for HFA, so Eagles ML for me. so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
Every teams has their own liabilities ! Again, this is gambling, you are right when you are right. I do not have a team I love or hate.
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Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
Quote Originally Posted by anNFLfan: @BigNiner "Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves." I'm in no way thinking SF will get blown out. In fact, I had SF -0.5 on a neutral field but I gave Eagles 1.5 for HFA, so Eagles ML for me. so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
Every teams has their own liabilities ! Again, this is gambling, you are right when you are right. I do not have a team I love or hate.
@anNFLfan Why do you think SF will abandon the run? Clearly you are not familiar with their offensive scheming. They don’t abandon the run ever. The 49ers under Shanahan are 6-2 in the playoffs. In the 2 losses, they had double digit leads in the fourth quarter. Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves.
The Eagles are vulnerable against the run but the 49ers can’t win this game by being one dimensional. Purdy will have to make plays at some point and I just don’t think he can in this environment. Eagles will blitz him all day long on passing downs and have good enough corners to play man to man without getting burned. Very few rookies can handle heavy pressure and a hostile environment, Purdy is not ready for what he will see. Unless Shanahan coaches the best game of his life, it’s hard to see the 49ers overcoming such a deficiency at QB. 27-16 type of game in my opinion. Not a blowout but a comfortable win for the Eagles.
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Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
@anNFLfan Why do you think SF will abandon the run? Clearly you are not familiar with their offensive scheming. They don’t abandon the run ever. The 49ers under Shanahan are 6-2 in the playoffs. In the 2 losses, they had double digit leads in the fourth quarter. Anyone thinking the 49ers are going to get blown out Sunday is lying to themselves.
The Eagles are vulnerable against the run but the 49ers can’t win this game by being one dimensional. Purdy will have to make plays at some point and I just don’t think he can in this environment. Eagles will blitz him all day long on passing downs and have good enough corners to play man to man without getting burned. Very few rookies can handle heavy pressure and a hostile environment, Purdy is not ready for what he will see. Unless Shanahan coaches the best game of his life, it’s hard to see the 49ers overcoming such a deficiency at QB. 27-16 type of game in my opinion. Not a blowout but a comfortable win for the Eagles.
this writeup is exactly what i would have written in my rookie days of gambling. consider the following ideas that were conveyed.
#1 is that SF being on the east coast, & in the early game, will make them play bad. because they lost twice already in that spot. Sorry, i played this angle many times. It works good for NBA capping. & college games. An NFL playoff game to go to the superbowl? no. Nobody is going to be tired, disoriented, or mal-adjusted to the game over its time & location.
#2 is that purdy will have fears or doubt over playing in philly. Those 2 paragraphs were the epitome of wishful thinking & naked speculation. OP has no idea to the thoughts in brock purdys mind. no proof either objective or otherwise was posited.
#3 all the capping on the superior lines & the superior offense of the eagles & SF has not faced this bla bla bla. again, rookie cappers line up stats & then draw conclusions that team A has 3 all pros & 25 sacks & team B has 0 so thats proof of outcome. Sometimes when a defense has gaudy stats its because they been feeding on garbage offenses all season long. How will the eagles crap ranked run defense fare againt the SF run? No writeup on that! Will phillys hi powered offense get to 17 points, nevermind 28, if they are never on the field because they cant stop the run? Point being, you can see what you want to see by lining up linear stats & ignoring others.
and the best was at the end, #4... a sunny day in philly is a "big" disadvantage for SF. I think i LOL'd for a solid minute. Because san fran has no sunny days, all year long, or something. watch out niners backers, SF has no chance if the sun is out.
thanks for letting me know who to back this weekend.
6
this writeup is exactly what i would have written in my rookie days of gambling. consider the following ideas that were conveyed.
#1 is that SF being on the east coast, & in the early game, will make them play bad. because they lost twice already in that spot. Sorry, i played this angle many times. It works good for NBA capping. & college games. An NFL playoff game to go to the superbowl? no. Nobody is going to be tired, disoriented, or mal-adjusted to the game over its time & location.
#2 is that purdy will have fears or doubt over playing in philly. Those 2 paragraphs were the epitome of wishful thinking & naked speculation. OP has no idea to the thoughts in brock purdys mind. no proof either objective or otherwise was posited.
#3 all the capping on the superior lines & the superior offense of the eagles & SF has not faced this bla bla bla. again, rookie cappers line up stats & then draw conclusions that team A has 3 all pros & 25 sacks & team B has 0 so thats proof of outcome. Sometimes when a defense has gaudy stats its because they been feeding on garbage offenses all season long. How will the eagles crap ranked run defense fare againt the SF run? No writeup on that! Will phillys hi powered offense get to 17 points, nevermind 28, if they are never on the field because they cant stop the run? Point being, you can see what you want to see by lining up linear stats & ignoring others.
and the best was at the end, #4... a sunny day in philly is a "big" disadvantage for SF. I think i LOL'd for a solid minute. Because san fran has no sunny days, all year long, or something. watch out niners backers, SF has no chance if the sun is out.
thanks for letting me know who to back this weekend.
this writeup is exactly what i would have written in my rookie days of gambling. consider the following ideas that were conveyed. #1 is that SF being on the east coast, & in the early game, will make them play bad. because they lost twice already in that spot. Sorry, i played this angle many times. It works good for NBA capping. & college games. An NFL playoff game to go to the superbowl? no. Nobody is going to be tired, disoriented, or mal-adjusted to the game over its time & location. #2 is that purdy will have fears or doubt over playing in philly. Those 2 paragraphs were the epitome of wishful thinking & naked speculation. OP has no idea to the thoughts in brock purdys mind. no proof either objective or otherwise was posited. #3 all the capping on the superior lines & the superior offense of the eagles & SF has not faced this bla bla bla. again, rookie cappers line up stats & then draw conclusions that team A has 3 all pros & 25 sacks & team B has 0 so thats proof of outcome. Sometimes when a defense has gaudy stats its because they been feeding on garbage offenses all season long. How will the eagles crap ranked run defense fare againt the SF run? No writeup on that! Will phillys hi powered offense get to 17 points, nevermind 28, if they are never on the field because they cant stop the run? Point being, you can see what you want to see by lining up linear stats & ignoring others. and the best was at the end, #4... a sunny day in philly is a "big" disadvantage for SF. I think i LOL'd for a solid minute. Because san fran has no sunny days, all year long, or something. watch out niners backers, SF has no chance if the sun is out. thanks for letting me know who to back this weekend.
Always love to see clowns come on covers with a superiority complex, attacking others handicapping because they can’t muster an original thought of their own. It’s actually pretty comical. Thank you for blessing us with your presence Josh. The fact that you now “know who to back” based on a writeup from someone you never met should tell us all we need to know about what you bring to the table.
We get it buddy, you’re one of those insufferable know-it-alls who reads 2.5 books a year and now lectures everyone in your life about what it takes to be successful. After reading 2 paragraphs of your work, there is no doubt in my mind that the majority of people who have ever met you have rolled their eyes behind your back within the first 5 minutes of you opening your mouth. But then again, I’m just a shaky rookie capper trying to figure out what a point spread is so what do I know!
Thanks for the laughs Josh, since you probably don’t understand sarcasm, I just want to thank you again for gifting us all with your brilliance. Take care friend.
5
Quote Originally Posted by joshfactor:
this writeup is exactly what i would have written in my rookie days of gambling. consider the following ideas that were conveyed. #1 is that SF being on the east coast, & in the early game, will make them play bad. because they lost twice already in that spot. Sorry, i played this angle many times. It works good for NBA capping. & college games. An NFL playoff game to go to the superbowl? no. Nobody is going to be tired, disoriented, or mal-adjusted to the game over its time & location. #2 is that purdy will have fears or doubt over playing in philly. Those 2 paragraphs were the epitome of wishful thinking & naked speculation. OP has no idea to the thoughts in brock purdys mind. no proof either objective or otherwise was posited. #3 all the capping on the superior lines & the superior offense of the eagles & SF has not faced this bla bla bla. again, rookie cappers line up stats & then draw conclusions that team A has 3 all pros & 25 sacks & team B has 0 so thats proof of outcome. Sometimes when a defense has gaudy stats its because they been feeding on garbage offenses all season long. How will the eagles crap ranked run defense fare againt the SF run? No writeup on that! Will phillys hi powered offense get to 17 points, nevermind 28, if they are never on the field because they cant stop the run? Point being, you can see what you want to see by lining up linear stats & ignoring others. and the best was at the end, #4... a sunny day in philly is a "big" disadvantage for SF. I think i LOL'd for a solid minute. Because san fran has no sunny days, all year long, or something. watch out niners backers, SF has no chance if the sun is out. thanks for letting me know who to back this weekend.
Always love to see clowns come on covers with a superiority complex, attacking others handicapping because they can’t muster an original thought of their own. It’s actually pretty comical. Thank you for blessing us with your presence Josh. The fact that you now “know who to back” based on a writeup from someone you never met should tell us all we need to know about what you bring to the table.
We get it buddy, you’re one of those insufferable know-it-alls who reads 2.5 books a year and now lectures everyone in your life about what it takes to be successful. After reading 2 paragraphs of your work, there is no doubt in my mind that the majority of people who have ever met you have rolled their eyes behind your back within the first 5 minutes of you opening your mouth. But then again, I’m just a shaky rookie capper trying to figure out what a point spread is so what do I know!
Thanks for the laughs Josh, since you probably don’t understand sarcasm, I just want to thank you again for gifting us all with your brilliance. Take care friend.
Purdy is a cyborg out there. A fly lands on his eye and he wont blink. He will snap the ball, go back to pass and get the ball to his receivers, just like he always ass.
Some fuckstick yelling from the stands is not gonna make him throw an errant pass. The pass rush might in the beginning, but the Niners have a great run game and Kyle will call some easy plays to take the heat off him.
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Purdy is a cyborg out there. A fly lands on his eye and he wont blink. He will snap the ball, go back to pass and get the ball to his receivers, just like he always ass.
Some fuckstick yelling from the stands is not gonna make him throw an errant pass. The pass rush might in the beginning, but the Niners have a great run game and Kyle will call some easy plays to take the heat off him.
You are not sharp, and those are not stats. By the way, where do you think this game is being played? You said the Niners are traveling 2500 miles. That puts them in the middle of Ohio, Dumb-Ass!
1
@SharpStatsGuy
You are not sharp, and those are not stats. By the way, where do you think this game is being played? You said the Niners are traveling 2500 miles. That puts them in the middle of Ohio, Dumb-Ass!
so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
Don't make shit up! The Eagles don't have the 21st ranked rush defense. They're ranked 16th in Opp Rushing Yards per Game, and 24th in Opp Yards per Rush.
1
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:
so if you don’t think they’ll get blown out, why don’t you think the Eagles 21st ranked rush defense will be a liability for Philadelphia?
Don't make shit up! The Eagles don't have the 21st ranked rush defense. They're ranked 16th in Opp Rushing Yards per Game, and 24th in Opp Yards per Rush.
was at the NYG game last week. Came away thinking this is an
Extremely tough place to play.
I don’t see a rookie who wasn’t too good last week running for his life in the cozy home confines, doing well. Couple of breaks and calls helped SF get by Dallas who lost Pollard and had a shaky Dak. Realistically SF hasn’t won a tough road game with Purdy. SF has a great D but Raiders pinned 34 on SF with rookie QB and took SF to OT. Washington at SF was right in that game till pulling away late. Seattle with Geno moved the ball really well.
I think the artificial turf at Philly gives an edge to Philly too
appreciate the write up as I too have a lot on Philly riding. Especially like the rookie 0-4 stat. Purdy gonna need to play well and I just do not think this 7th round draft pick who barely made the team out of Preseason camp can do it
1
was at the NYG game last week. Came away thinking this is an
Extremely tough place to play.
I don’t see a rookie who wasn’t too good last week running for his life in the cozy home confines, doing well. Couple of breaks and calls helped SF get by Dallas who lost Pollard and had a shaky Dak. Realistically SF hasn’t won a tough road game with Purdy. SF has a great D but Raiders pinned 34 on SF with rookie QB and took SF to OT. Washington at SF was right in that game till pulling away late. Seattle with Geno moved the ball really well.
I think the artificial turf at Philly gives an edge to Philly too
appreciate the write up as I too have a lot on Philly riding. Especially like the rookie 0-4 stat. Purdy gonna need to play well and I just do not think this 7th round draft pick who barely made the team out of Preseason camp can do it
Overlooking Washington as a common opponent is a mistake. The Commanders are the only team to beat Philly with Hurts this year and they did it by controlling the clock. Washington is #1 in the nfl at 33 minutes of possession a game. In a 32-21 win @ Philly they held the ball for over 40 minutes and the game was never really in doubt.
San Francisco ranks #2 in the nfl and has better weapons to run the ball + quick outs as extension of the run game. Think they’re very well equipped to win this game today.
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Overlooking Washington as a common opponent is a mistake. The Commanders are the only team to beat Philly with Hurts this year and they did it by controlling the clock. Washington is #1 in the nfl at 33 minutes of possession a game. In a 32-21 win @ Philly they held the ball for over 40 minutes and the game was never really in doubt.
San Francisco ranks #2 in the nfl and has better weapons to run the ball + quick outs as extension of the run game. Think they’re very well equipped to win this game today.
Common opponents doesn't really tell you alot as Big Niner pointed out, 2 sides there. The fact that the game is on the East coast won't matter either, it's also a 3 pm game. Now a rookie QB in a hostile environment could certainly come into play. However, Purdy has been surprisingly poised in the 4 games I've seen and has far more escape ability than I was aware of. Against the Eagles vaunted pass rush, maybe the key matchup of the game. No one ever mentions TOs in their write-ups, in big games that are likely going to be close, it should be addressed. It's the single most important stat of the game, disregard the anomaly in Jacksonville 2 weeks ago. These are actually 2 of the top 3 teams in that department, the 49ers at +13 were the best, regular season, and the Eagles were 3rd at +8. SF had 3 more takeaways and 2 less giveaways. While it's not a huge disparity, advantage 9ers. And penalties, I'll call this a "wash," including the playoffs, SF 19 games, 100 penalties, PHI, 18 games, 95. I like to look at pre-snap too, big difference between 2nd a 5 and 2nd and 10. SF had 37, Eagles 34, with the extra game, a wash again. Just to give you a comparison, KC was best in the league only 18, Bengals had 30. This number is especially important to SF today. They have to keep Purdy out of 2nd and 3rd and long. Hurts with his running ability can offset some of these situations. Lastly, kicking. Gould has not EVER missed a kick in the playoffs, 38 for 38 XPs, 29 for 29 FGs. Elliott, on a much smaller scale, is 13 of 13 FGs himself in the playoffs but has missed 2 XPs. Now if it comes down to a 55 yard FG, Elliott has the advantage there but anything around 50 or less Gould has truly been GOLD. Should be a great game. GL with your plays!
"I'm afraid all we may have done is awakened a sleeping giant."
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Common opponents doesn't really tell you alot as Big Niner pointed out, 2 sides there. The fact that the game is on the East coast won't matter either, it's also a 3 pm game. Now a rookie QB in a hostile environment could certainly come into play. However, Purdy has been surprisingly poised in the 4 games I've seen and has far more escape ability than I was aware of. Against the Eagles vaunted pass rush, maybe the key matchup of the game. No one ever mentions TOs in their write-ups, in big games that are likely going to be close, it should be addressed. It's the single most important stat of the game, disregard the anomaly in Jacksonville 2 weeks ago. These are actually 2 of the top 3 teams in that department, the 49ers at +13 were the best, regular season, and the Eagles were 3rd at +8. SF had 3 more takeaways and 2 less giveaways. While it's not a huge disparity, advantage 9ers. And penalties, I'll call this a "wash," including the playoffs, SF 19 games, 100 penalties, PHI, 18 games, 95. I like to look at pre-snap too, big difference between 2nd a 5 and 2nd and 10. SF had 37, Eagles 34, with the extra game, a wash again. Just to give you a comparison, KC was best in the league only 18, Bengals had 30. This number is especially important to SF today. They have to keep Purdy out of 2nd and 3rd and long. Hurts with his running ability can offset some of these situations. Lastly, kicking. Gould has not EVER missed a kick in the playoffs, 38 for 38 XPs, 29 for 29 FGs. Elliott, on a much smaller scale, is 13 of 13 FGs himself in the playoffs but has missed 2 XPs. Now if it comes down to a 55 yard FG, Elliott has the advantage there but anything around 50 or less Gould has truly been GOLD. Should be a great game. GL with your plays!
This one is too close to call so I will lay-off and play some props instead. It would be foolish to speculate on Mahomes leg because only he knows how much it will truly affect him. This game is without a doubt a coin flip with no significant edge from either team. Too many variables makes it a no play for me with a small lean towards Chiefs and Over 48.
Player Props ( All 1 unit)
AJ Brown Anytime TD +125
Brown was held in check against the Giants and expressed serious frustration to the coaching staff about it on the sidelines. He’s too big a part of the Eagles offense to not be featured in the game plan this week. In DFS there is a strategy (Studs off Duds) which basically means to back a star player off a bad game. AJ Brown is a star. DK Metcalf torched the 49ers 2 weeks ago and they have proven to be vulnerable against bigger WR this year. I expect AJ Brown to have a solid day.
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD -105
Chase has 4 TDs in his last 3 meetings against the Chiefs. Burrow knows he needs Chase to play well for the Bengals to have a chance. He will see plenty of targets and the Chiefs don’t have the personnel to stop him.
0
Adding….
Chiefs/Bengals
This one is too close to call so I will lay-off and play some props instead. It would be foolish to speculate on Mahomes leg because only he knows how much it will truly affect him. This game is without a doubt a coin flip with no significant edge from either team. Too many variables makes it a no play for me with a small lean towards Chiefs and Over 48.
Player Props ( All 1 unit)
AJ Brown Anytime TD +125
Brown was held in check against the Giants and expressed serious frustration to the coaching staff about it on the sidelines. He’s too big a part of the Eagles offense to not be featured in the game plan this week. In DFS there is a strategy (Studs off Duds) which basically means to back a star player off a bad game. AJ Brown is a star. DK Metcalf torched the 49ers 2 weeks ago and they have proven to be vulnerable against bigger WR this year. I expect AJ Brown to have a solid day.
Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD -105
Chase has 4 TDs in his last 3 meetings against the Chiefs. Burrow knows he needs Chase to play well for the Bengals to have a chance. He will see plenty of targets and the Chiefs don’t have the personnel to stop him.
@SharpStatsGuy You are not sharp, and those are not stats. By the way, where do you think this game is being played? You said the Niners are traveling 2500 miles. That puts them in the middle of Ohio, Dumb-Ass!
The shortest distance (air line) between SFO and PHL is 2,515.16 mi (4,047.75 km).
Thanks for stopping by
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Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:
@SharpStatsGuy You are not sharp, and those are not stats. By the way, where do you think this game is being played? You said the Niners are traveling 2500 miles. That puts them in the middle of Ohio, Dumb-Ass!
The shortest distance (air line) between SFO and PHL is 2,515.16 mi (4,047.75 km).
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